tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-71965414156044718672024-02-08T12:48:13.051+13:00Roast Beef on Sundays'Wanna be' a paper-back writer? Me too!Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.comBlogger94125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-8506042546051540772020-10-07T00:43:00.000+13:002020-10-07T00:44:07.714+13:00I Saw People on the Internet Posting Pictures of Themselves Wearing T-Shirts With Bizarre Shirt<div style="font-family:Calibri,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size:12pt; color:rgb(0,0,0)"> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><img alt="i saw people on the internet posting pictures of themselves wearing t-shirts with bizarre shirt" style="display:block; margin-left:auto; margin-right:auto" width="480" height="480" src="https://mockup-api.teespring.com/v3/image/2UfH7w3FfVUqmsWNOl1OI68cCWo/480/560.jpg"></p> <h2><a title="i saw people on the internet posting pictures of themselves wearing t-shirts with bizarre shirt" href="https://teespring.com/saw-people-internet-shirt">https://teespring.com/saw-people-internet-shirt</a></h2> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"> </p> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"> </p> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"> </p> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"> </p> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"> </p> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"> </p> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"> </p> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"> </p> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"> </p> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"> </p> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><a href="http://33k9.com/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-t-shirt/">.</a> <a href="http://abdurahmancoffee.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/810843"> .</a> <a href="http://alien.kai.ru/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=97730"> .</a> <a href="http://ananik-foraje-puturi.ro/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/527695"> .</a> <a href="http://apexsteel.co.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/383090"> .</a> <a href="http://assodiaf.org/fr/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-mens-t-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="http://backpakeroasisdemoron.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/154993"> .</a> <a href="http://barcoavela.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=457796"> .</a> <a href="http://blog.bharatcomputech.com/2020/10/06/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-blank-t-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="http://cds.utgjiu.ro/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/1026467"> .</a> <a href="http://crecemosleyendo.com.mx/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=1499823"> .</a> <a href="http://csrhubindia.org/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/392623"> .</a> <a href="http://environengg.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/34860"> .</a> <a href="http://fansuld.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=299968"> .</a> <a href="http://fazalboxworks.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=336746"> .</a> <a href="http://gmis.org.au/content/i-saw-people-internet-posting-pictures-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-bizarre-shirt-mens-t"> .</a> <a href="http://gruene-kraftwerke.de/members/juliennespeigh/">.</a> <a href="http://heshamsolutions.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/96721"> .</a> <a href="http://hitechenggindia.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/385728"> .</a> <a href="http://innotech.org.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/76901"> .</a> <a href="http://kgf.org.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/2130096">.</a> <a href="http://kormi.ca/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-mens-t-shirts-tees/"> .</a> <a href="http://krishnaengravers.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/407090"> .</a> <a href="http://mattari.rosx.net/wordpress/?p=63519">.</a> <a href="http://millenniumtechnology.in/component/k2/itemlist/user/3427065"> .</a> <a href="http://moxigases.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/236890"> .</a> <a href="http://precisionbearing.co.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/61836"> .</a> <a href="http://respond24.org/component/k2/itemlist/user/2022183.html">.</a> <a href="http://sdbrasil.com.br/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-t-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="http://segunolugbemi.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=196403"> .</a> <a href="http://sifaoptical.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/182472"> .</a> <a href="http://suliko.in.ua/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=82921"> .</a> <a href="http://turbomaxturbos.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=846610"> .</a> <a href="http://vardhmanpowerpanel.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/240880"> .</a> <a href="http://web.uscpak.com/app/complaint/node/519473">.</a> <a href="http://www.alrashidi.net/?p=357078"> .</a> <a href="http://www.ardenneweb.eu/archive?body_value=Top+Quality+Women%27s+T-Shirts%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Another+much+less+well-liked+trend+is+sporting+a+brief-sleeved+T-shirt+of+a+contrasting+shade+over+an+extended-sleeved+T-shirt%2C+which+is+known+as+layering.+T-shirts+that+are+tight+to+the+physique+are+referred+to+as+fitted%2C+tailored+or+child+doll+T-shirts.+T-shirts+have+been+originally+worn+as+undershirts%2C+but+at+the+moment+are+worn+incessantly+as+the+only+piece+of+clothes+on+the+top+half+of+the+body%2C+aside+from+presumably+a+brassiere+or%2C+rarely%2C+a+waistcoat+(vest).+T-shirts+have+additionally+turn+out+to+be+a+medium+for+self-expression+and+advertising%2C+with+any+conceivable+mixture+of+words%2C+artwork+and+++https://noobtelevision.com/+-+https://noobtelevision.com/groups/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-6-dollar-shirts/++photographs+on+show.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Softest+Cotton+T-Shirts%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++No+matter+how+much+love+you+give+it%2C+it+won%E2%80%99t+twist%2C+warp%2C+fade+or+shrink.+With+new+designs+added+each+week%2C+you%27ll+by+no+means+run+out+of+cool+graphic+tops+to+flick+thru.+It+could+be+basic%2C+however+it%E2%80%99s+also+super-versatile%2C+and+we%E2%80%99re+backing+it+all+the+way+in+which.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++No+matter+what+number+of+shirts+you+need%2C+one+customized+t-shirt+for+a+gift+or+one+thousand+shirts+to+outfit+the+entire+company%2C+Custom+Ink+is+ready+to+help.+We+proudly+offer+tons+of+t-shirt+options%2C+from+shirts+with+no+minimal+to+long+sleeve+t-shirts%2C+to+efficiency+tees%2C+to+raglans.+In+the+Sixties%2C+the+ringer+T-shirt+appeared+and+became+a+staple+fashion+for+youth+and+rock-n-rollers.+The+decade+also+saw+the+emergence+of+tie-dyeing+and+display+screen-printing+on+the+basic+T-shirt+and+the+T-shirt+became+a+medium+for+wearable+art%2C+commercial+promoting%2C+memento+messages%2C+and+protest+artwork+messages.+In+the+late+1960s%2C+Richard+Ellman%2C+Robert+Tree%2C+Bill+Kelly%2C+and+Stanley+Mouse+arrange+the+Monster+Company+in+Mill+Valley%2C+California%2C+to+produce+fantastic+artwork+designs+expressly+for+++Highly+recommended+Reading+-+https://beyondthelightunited.org/groups/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-mens-t-shirts/++T-shirts.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++If+you+enjoyed+this+article+and+you+would+such+as+to+receive+more+info+pertaining+to+i+saw+people+on+the+internet+posting+pictures+of+themselves+wearing+t-shirts+with+bizarre+shirt+(+Going+Here+-+https://www.gearbubble.com/saw-people-internet-shirt+)+kindly+see+the+web+site.+Artists+like+Terence+Koh%2C+took+a+different+approach%2C+with+T-shirts+that+includes+an+the+other+way+up+portrait+with+an+actual+bullet+hole+hand+finished+by+him+for+the+Soho+store+Opening+Ceremony.+We+have+small+but+mighty+tank+tops%2C+a+vital+summer+primary+that%E2%80%99s+unrivaled+at+layering.+We+have+white+sleeveless+tees+built+for+hot+days+and+warm+nights.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Dye-sublimation+(additionally+commonly+known+as+all-over+printing)+came+into+widespread+use+in+the+twenty+first+century%2C+enabling+some+designs+previously+impossible.Start+making+your+individual+custom+tees+in+our+best-in-class+on-line+Design+Lab.You+can+also+make+personalized+shirts+for+small+teams+from+our+big+selection+of+no+minimums%2C+full+with+names+and/or+numbers%2C+too.Custom+Ink+is+the+custom+t-shirt+maker+for+your+staff%2C+school%2C+firm%2C+or+any+occasion+befitting+a+customized-made+T-shirts.If+you+do+not+fancy+your+self+a+tee+shirt+designer+otherwise+you%27d+rather+not+try+to+create+your+own%2C+you+can+get+began+with+considered+one+of+our+free+personalized+T-shirt+designs.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Unique+t-shirts+designed+by+artists%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Printing+with+unlimited+colours+using+massive+CMYK+printers+with+particular+paper+and+ink+is+possible%2C+unlike+display+screen+printing+which+requires+screens+for+every+colour+of+the+design.+All-over+print+T-shirts+have+solved+the+problem+with+color+fading+and+the+vibrancy+is+larger+than+most+standard+printing+methods+but+requires+artificial+fabrics+for+the+ink+to+take+maintain.+The+key+characteristic+of+dye-sublimated+clothing+is+that+the+design+is+not+printed+on+prime+of+the+garment%2C+however+completely+dyed+into+the+threads+of+the+shirt%2C+guaranteeing+that+it+will+by+no+means+fade.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Long+Sleeve+T-Shirts%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++The+early+first+decade+of+the+21st+century+noticed+the+renewed+reputation+of+T-shirts+with+slogans+and+designs+with+a+robust+inclination+to+the+humorous+and/or+ironic.+The+pattern+has+only+increased+later+in+this+decade%2C+embraced+by+celebrities%2C+corresponding+to+Britney+Spears+and+Paris+Hilton%2C+and+mirrored+again+on+them%2C+too+(%27Team+Aniston%27).%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++From+our+heavyweight+long+sleeve+T-Shirt+to+the+breezy+Pique+Polo%2C+these+are+all+of+the+tees+you+want.+Looking+to+add+slightly+pizzazz+and+elegance+to+your+everyday+wardrobe%3F+Look+no+additional+than+men%E2%80%99s+t-shirts+available+in+V-neck%2C+Crew+Neck%2C+and+primary+cotton.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Oh-so-snug+and+clad+in+a+wide+range+of+colors+and+patterns%2C+they%27re+so+easy+to+decorate+up+and+dress+down.+And+don%E2%80%99t+neglect+that+we+offer+more+than+simply+tremendous-delicate+cotton+tees%21"> .</a> <a href="http://www.dakau.tw/?p=45592">.</a> <a href="http://www.demo.sparta.vps-private.net/blog/i-saw-people-internet-posting-pictures-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-bizarre-shirt-mens-t-shirts-"> .</a> <a href="http://www.farmacjachoma.pl/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/988375"> .</a> <a href="http://www.hajistock.ir/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=225135"> .</a> <a href="http://www.indianfishing.in/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-mens-t-shirts.html"> .</a> <a href="http://www.kimberley.co.in/2020/10/06/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-crazy-dog-t-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="http://www.mediazioniapec.it/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=2591401"> .</a> <a href="http://www.princetonmedical.net/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=2265042"> .</a> <a href="http://www.samridhisocialhelp.in/uncategorized/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-mens-t-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="https://beyondthelightunited.org/groups/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-mens-t-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="https://bpenterprizes.com/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-blank-t-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="https://coachitout.com/2020/10/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-mens-t-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="https://dorotea.dk/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-t-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="https://dospuntoseventos.cl/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=5358584"> .</a> <a href="https://dulceflauta.cl/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=385836"> .</a> <a href="https://ecolimpiezabogota.com.co/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=178044"> .</a> <a href="https://heavenenvoy.mn/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-t-shirt/"> .</a> <a href="https://iacc-scu.org/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-mens-t-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="https://indianrecipetips.com/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-mens-t-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="https://lwamstv.com/2020/10/06/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-t-shirts-for-women/"> .</a> <a href="https://memmart.com/i-saw-people-internet-posting-pictures-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-bizarre-shirt-blank-t-shirts"> .</a> <a href="https://noobtelevision.com/groups/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-6-dollar-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="https://pbdemo.in4comgroup.com/node/1952937">.</a> <a href="https://rehberglaw.com/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-mens-t-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="https://stepuptraining.org/groups/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-t-shirts"> .</a> <a href="https://sugutools.com/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-mens-t-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="https://superfoodafrica.com/2020/10/06/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-mens-t-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="https://swiftfishcharters.com/blog/2020/10/06/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-mens-t-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="https://www.123sellit.co.uk/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-tshirts-to-match-your-personal-style/"> .</a> <a href="https://www.autodema.gob.pe/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-mens-t-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="https://www.crackingdrupal.com/errata/i-saw-people-internet-posting-pictures-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-bizarre-shirt-crazy-dog-t"> .</a> <a href="https://www.dhootgroup.net/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=3269164"> .</a> <a href="https://www.flowersonline.it/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=2144355"> .</a> <a href="https://www.nuclearette.com/2020/10/06/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-6-dollar-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="https://www.qoocle.com/members-2/brentonkze9318/activity/182155/"> .</a> <a href="https://www.tarikubogale.com/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-6-dollar-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="https://www.vitaeeditora.com.br/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-mens-t-shirts-tees/"> .</a> <a href="https://www.world1services.com/groups/i-saw-people-on-the-internet-posting-pictures-of-themselves-wearing-t-shirts-with-bizarre-shirt-blank-t-shirts/"> .</a></p> <br> </div> Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-60954409070283686242020-10-04T22:26:00.000+13:002020-10-05T08:49:51.873+13:00What The Succulent T-Shirt for Men and Women<div> <div dir="ltr"> <div style="font-family:Calibri,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size:12pt; color:rgb(0,0,0)"> <h2 style="text-align:center"><a title="what the succulent shirt" href="https://amzn.to/3jv1vUx">Get the What The Succulent Shirt Here</a></h2> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px"> In organic science, delicious plants, otherwise called succulents, are plants with parts that are thickened, meaty, and engorged, generally to hold water in dry atmospheres or soil conditions. It is a trademark that isn't utilized experimentally for the meaning of most families and genera of plants in light of the fact that frequently, it just can be utilized as a precise trademark at the single species level.</p> <h3>Succulent Merch</h3> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px"> The word delicious originates from the Latin word sucus, signifying 'squeeze', or 'sap'. Delicious plants may store water in different structures, for example, leaves and stems. A few definitions likewise incorporate roots, in this way geophytes that endure troublesome periods by passing on back to underground stockpiling organs might be viewed as succulents. In green use, the term delicious is here and there utilized in a manner that prohibits plants that botanists would view as succulents, for example, desert flora. Succulents are regularly developed as decorative plants on account of their striking and abnormal appearance, just as their capacity to flourish with generally insignificant consideration.</p> <h4>Cactus Shirts</h4> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px"> Many plant families have various succulents species found inside them (in excess of 25 plant families). In certain families, for example, Aizoaceae, Cactaceae, and Crassulaceae, most species are succulents. The living spaces of these water-saving plants are regularly in regions with high temperatures and low precipitation, for example, deserts. Succulents can flourish with restricted water sources, for example, fog and dew, which makes them prepared to get by in an environment that contains scant water sources.</p> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px"> </p> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px; margin-top:0px; margin-bottom:0px"> <a href="http://162.243.54.209//site/gin99/elgg_new/blog/view/1202263/what-the-succulent-tshirts-to-match-your-personal-style">.</a> <a href="http://162.243.54.209//site/gin99/elgg_new/profile/whathesucculent">.</a> <a href="http://33k9.com/what-the-succulent-mens-t-shirts/">.</a> <a href="http://500kms.ru/user/whathesucculent/"> .</a> <a href="http://abdurahmancoffee.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/793840"> .</a> <a href="http://ads-inform.ru/user/profile/201102">.</a> <a href="http://alien.kai.ru/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=95993"> .</a> <a href="http://americaswomenmagazine.xyz/blogs/viewstory/115456">.</a> <a href="http://ananik-foraje-puturi.ro/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/508399"> .</a> <a href="http://anna.websaiting.ru/user/whathesucculent/">.</a> <a href="http://assodiaf.org/fr/what-the-succulent-mens-t-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="http://backpakeroasisdemoron.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/150545"> .</a> <a href="http://barcoavela.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=451306"> .</a> <a href="http://blog.bharatcomputech.com/2020/10/04/what-the-succulent-mens-t-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="http://bogdan.rotundu.ro/groups/what-the-succulent-mens-t-shirts-tanks/"> .</a> <a href="http://brol.maartenaelvoet.me/elgg/blog/view/2541732/what-the-succulent-shop-graphic-designed-t-shirts-amp-apparel-online"> .</a> <a href="http://brol.maartenaelvoet.me/elgg/profile/whathesucculent">.</a> <a href="http://browholic.com/product_Inquiry/173650"> .</a> <a href="http://cds.utgjiu.ro/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/1023207"> .</a> <a href="http://clasificadoshlg.com/user/profile/166019">.</a> <a href="http://classificado.buscaeu.com.br/user/profile/231133"> .</a> <a href="http://dc-kapelka.ru/user/whathesucculent/">.</a> <a href="http://decoratorsheaven.com/user/profile/582413"> .</a> <a href="http://demo.sparta.vps-private.net/blog/what-succulent-t-shirt">.</a> <a href="http://ehumanteam.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=25799">.</a> <a href="http://employmentodisha.com/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=32870"> .</a> <a href="http://environengg.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/32737"> .</a> <a href="http://equitylinks.co.tz/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/291948"> .</a> <a href="http://escorts24seven.com/user/profile/34814">.</a> <a href="http://fansuld.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=295099"> .</a> <a href="http://featur.vs120084.hl-users.com/bys/index.php?mod=users&action=view&id=775941"> .</a> <a href="http://friendbuildcon.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/187321"> .</a> <a href="http://gmis.org.au/content/what-succulent-6-dollar-shirts">.</a> <a href="http://gruene-kraftwerke.de/members/whathesucculent/"> .</a> <a href="http://h44795qx.beget.tech/user/whathesucculent/">.</a> <a href="http://heshamsolutions.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/94318"> .</a> <a href="http://hitechenggindia.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/367308"> .</a> <a href="http://imolocal.com/user/profile/4118032">.</a> <a href="http://innotech.org.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/71299"> .</a> <a href="http://jokermerah.top/jualbeli/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=2046077"> .</a> <a href="http://kgf.org.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/2107106">.</a> <a href="http://kosmetik-ab.de/user/whathesucculent/">.</a> <a href="http://kosmetikinstitut-milla.de/user/whathesucculent/"> .</a> <a href="http://krishnaengravers.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/391578"> .</a> <a href="http://mama-ads.com/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=685375"> .</a> <a href="http://mattari.rosx.net/wordpress/?p=63221">.</a> <a href="http://millenniumtechnology.in/component/k2/itemlist/user/3412454"> .</a> <a href="http://moxigases.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/231841"> .</a> <a href="http://naifc.com/76782-nodefield-team-member0field-contact-namefamily-nodefield-team-member0field-contact-namegiven"> .</a> <a href="http://ntown.tv/MTDAMOA/5592614">.</a> <a href="http://omudaala.com/user/profile/309409"> .</a> <a href="http://prahacom.cz/user/profile/893854">.</a> <a href="http://precisionbearing.co.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/38387"> .</a> <a href="http://realty.zaxa.ru/user/whathesucculent/">.</a> <a href="http://respond24.org/component/k2/itemlist/user/1994155.html"> .</a> <a href="http://segunolugbemi.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=190899"> .</a> <a href="http://sellikea.com/index.php?page=item&id=244555">.</a> <a href="http://seminar.uny.ac.id/semnaskmp2019/content/what-succulent-tshirts-match-your-personal-style"> .</a> <a href="http://sepira.dyndns.org/sepi_bd/index.php?mid=ski_freeboard&document_srl=2735510"> .</a> <a href="http://sifaoptical.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/176267"> .</a> <a href="http://suliko.in.ua/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=81016"> .</a> <a href="http://travelnstay.in/UserProfile/tabid/61/userId/9190352/Default.aspx"> .</a> <a href="http://turbomaxturbos.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=836091"> .</a> <a href="http://v2v.in/user/profile/106020">.</a> <a href="http://vardhmanpowerpanel.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/220166"> .</a> <a href="http://vinochok-dnz17.in.ua/user/whathesucculent/">.</a> <a href="http://web.uscpak.com/app/complaint/node/505541"> .</a> <a href="http://webmax.com.ua/user/whathesucculent/">.</a> <a href="http://ww2.telechat.info/author/whathesucculent/"> .</a> <a href="http://www.alrashidi.net/?p=350108">.</a> <a href="http://www.annonces-rdc.com/user/profile/8890"> .</a> <a href="http://www.ardenneweb.eu/archive?body_value=Succulent+Top+Quality+Men%E2%80%99s+T-Shirts%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Another+less+well-liked+development+is+carrying+a+brief-sleeved+T-shirt+of+a+contrasting+color+over+a+long-sleeved+T-shirt%2C+which+is+called+layering.+T-shirts+that+are+tight+to+the+physique+are+referred+to+as+fitted%2C+tailored+or+child+doll+T-shirts.+T-shirts+had+been+originally+worn+as+undershirts%2C+however+are+now+worn+incessantly+as+the+one+piece+of+clothes+on+the+highest+half+of+the+body%2C+aside+from+possibly+a+brassiere+or%2C+not+often%2C+a+waistcoat+(vest).+T-shirts+have+additionally+become+a+medium+for+self-expression+and+promoting%2C+with+any+possible+combination+of+words%2C+art+and+pictures+on+display.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++What+The+Succulent+V+Neck+T-Shirts%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++T-shirts+are+usually+made+of+a+stretchy%2C+mild+and+cheap+material+and+are+straightforward+to+wash.+With+our+large+library+of+unique+%26+humorous+tees%2C+and+classy+%26+trendy+shirt+designs%2C+there%E2%80%99s+something+for+everyone+to+take+pleasure+in.+Whether+you%E2%80%99re+intoTV+and+movies%2Cnerdy+teesorscience+humor%2C+or+special+shirts+to+have+fun+holidays+all+year+long%E2%80%944th+of+JulytoChristmas%2CSt.+Once+you%E2%80%99ve+finalized+your+t-shirt+design%2C+you%27ll+be+able+to+add+further+shirt+colours+proper+from+the+Design+Lab.+Select+the+%22Add+Products%22+icon+on+the+underside+left-hand+aspect+of+the+lab+and+a+brand+new+window+will+appear.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++No+matter+what+number+of+shirts+you+want%2C+one+custom+t-shirt+for+a+gift+or+one+thousand+shirts+to+outfit+the+whole+firm%2C+Custom+Ink+is+able+to+help.+We+proudly+offer+tons+of+t-shirt+options%2C+from+shirts+with+no+minimal+to+lengthy+sleeve+t-shirts%2C+to+performance+tees%2C+to+raglans.+In+the+Nineteen+Sixties%2C+the+ringer+T-shirt+appeared+and+have+become+a+staple+trend+for+youth+and+rock-n-rollers.+The+decade+additionally+noticed+the+emergence+of+tie-dyeing+and+display-printing+on+the+basic+T-shirt+and+the+T-shirt+grew+to+become+a+medium+for+wearable+art%2C+commercial+promoting%2C+souvenir+messages%2C+and+protest+artwork+messages.+In+the+late+1960s%2C+Richard+Ellman%2C+Robert+Tree%2C+Bill+Kelly%2C+and+Stanley+Mouse+arrange+the+Monster+Company+in+Mill+Valley%2C+California%2C+to+supply+nice+art+designs+expressly+for+T-shirts.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++If+you+have+any+type+of+questions+concerning+where+and+how+you+can+make+use+of+https://www.amazon.com/dp/B08KMWS2PY+(+click+the+next+website+page+-+https://www.amazon.com/dp/B08KMWS2PY+)%2C+you+can+contact+us+at+the+web+page.+The+result+is+a+fabric+that+is+delicate+and+breezy+on+your+pores+and+skin%2C+featuring+a+fluid+and+lustrous+drape.+At+185+grams+per+sq.+meter%2C+our+custom+developed+Egyptian+cotton+jersey+is+the+inspiration+of+our+unique+T-Shirt%2C+the+very+first+product+we+developed.+Equipped+with+a+ribbed+neckline%2C+this+traditional+is+made+to+outlast+any+tee+you+personal.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Start+making+your+personal+customized+tees+in+our+best-in-class+online+Design+Lab.Custom+Ink+is+the+customized+t-shirt+maker+on+your+team%2C+college%2C+firm%2C+or+any+event+befitting+a+customized-made+T-shirts.If+you+do+not+fancy+yourself+a+tee+shirt+designer+or+you%27d+rather+not+try+to+create+your+individual%2C+you+may+get+began+with+one+of+our+free+customized+T-shirt+designs.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++A+draw+back+of+colour-change+clothes+is+that+the+dyes+can+simply+be+damaged%2C+particularly+by+washing+in+heat+water+or+dye+different+clothes+during+washing.+Other+strategies+of+ornament+used+on+T-shirts+embrace+airbrush%2C+applique%2C+embroidery%2C+impressing+or+embossing%2C+and+the+ironing+on+of+either+flock+lettering%2C+heat+transfers%2C+or+dye-sublimation+transfers.+Laser+printers+are+able+to+printing+on+plain+paper+using+a+special+toner+containing+sublimation+dyes+which+might+then+be+permanently+warmth-transferred+to+T-shirts.+Today%2C+many+notable+and+memorable+T-shirts+produced+within+the+1970s+have+turn+out+to+be+ensconced+in+pop+culture.+Designer+Katharine+Hamnett%2C+in+the+early+1980s%2C+pioneered+outsize+T-shirts+with+large-print+slogans.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Long+Sleeve+T-Shirts%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Solid+ink+is+changed+right+into+a+fuel+without+passing+through+a+liquid+part+(sublimation)%2C+using+warmth+and+strain.+The+design+is+first+produced+in+a+computer+image+file+format+such+as+jpg%2C+gif%2C+png%2C+or+any+other.+It+is+printed+on+a+purpose-made+computer+printer+(as+of+2016%5Bupdate%5D+most+commonly+Epson+or+Ricoh+brands)+using+large+heat+presses+to+vaporize+the+ink+immediately+into+the+material.+Artists+like+Bill+Beckley%2C+Glen+Baldridge+and+Peter+Klashorst+use+T-shirts+in+their+work.+Models+corresponding+to+Victoria+Beckham+and+Gisele+Bundchen+wore+T-shirts+by+way+of+the+2000s.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Create+a+custom+t-shirt+in+your+next+family+reunion+or+matching+tank+tops+for+women+weekend+or+hoodies+and+sweatshirts+for+the+swim+team.+Customize+your+apparel+with+text+and+photos+to+really+make+a+private+statement.+Kids+will+love+carrying+their+favourite+characters+from+our+officially+licensed+collections+from+Harry+Potter%2C+Sesame+Street%2C+Trolls%2C+Marvel%2C+++www.shehive.com+-+http://www.shehive.com/members/whathesucculent/profile/++and+Disney%2C+to+call+a+couple+of.+If+you+love+throwback+t-shirts%2C+you%E2%80%99ll+love+searching+via+our+classic+t-shirt+collection.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Current+variations+can+be+found+in+many+various+designs+and+fabrics%2C+and+types+embrace+crew-neck+and+V-neck+shirts.+T-shirts+are+among+the+many+most+worn+garments+of+clothing+used+today.+T-shirts+are+especially+well-liked+with+branding+for+companies+or+merchandise%2C+as+they+are+cheap+to+make+and+buy.+For+youngsters%E2%80%99+events%2C+++https://goappreciation.com/groups/what-the-succulent-t-shirts+-+https://goappreciation.com/groups/what-the-succulent-t-shirts/++match+the+theme+or+celebrate+with+their+favorite+character+to+wear."> .</a> <a href="http://www.audiclub-russia.ru/user/whathesucculent/">.</a> <a href="http://www.aydinagd.org/author/whathesucculent/"> .</a> <a href="http://www.buysell.com.pk/user/profile/189592">.</a> <a href="http://www.chaemjing.com/misc/what-the-succulent-t-shirt/"> .</a> <a href="http://www.corporacioneg.com/UserProfile/tabid/43/UserID/14908550/Default.aspx"> .</a> <a href="http://www.dakau.tw/?p=45584">.</a> <a href="http://www.farmacjachoma.pl/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/974817"> .</a> <a href="http://www.hajistock.ir/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=223570"> .</a> <a href="http://www.india.sanctifyindia.com/what-the-succulent-mens-t-shirts-tees/"> .</a> <a href="http://www.indianfishing.in/what-the-succulent-mens-t-shirts-tanks.html"> .</a> <a href="http://www.ir-au.ir/ActivityFeed/MyProfile/tabid/56/userId/281107/Default.aspx"> .</a> <a href="http://www.johnsonclassifieds.com/user/profile/2367044">.</a> <a href="http://www.kutahyaweb.com/author/whathesucculent/"> .</a> <a href="http://www.languageeducationstudies.ir/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/124062"> .</a> <a href="http://www.mediazioniapec.it/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=2575384"> .</a> <a href="http://www.paroquiadereriutaba.com.br/what-the-succulent-t-shirt/"> .</a> <a href="http://www.ponloaqui.com/user/profile/4286">.</a> <a href="http://www.princetonmedical.net/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=2246262"> .</a> <a href="http://www.realstory.info/author/whathesucculent/">.</a> <a href="http://www.shehive.com/members/whathesucculent/profile/"> .</a> <a href="http://www.sopcich.com/UserProfile/tabid/42/UserID/2902941/Default.aspx"> .</a> <a href="http://www.wellnesscenterginalalous.be/UserProfile/userId/787457.aspx"> .</a> <a href="http://www.zibayar.com/author/whathesucculent/">.</a> <a href="http://zoe-beauty.be/user/whathesucculent/"> .</a> <a href="http://zrt.ru/auto/user/whathesucculent/">.</a> <a href="https://adetonfo.com/user/profile/23359"> .</a> <a href="https://admag.com/user/profile/19584">.</a> <a href="https://ads.wealthxo.com/user/profile/73850"> .</a> <a href="https://adsfree.mastermindswadd.site/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=374969"> .</a> <a href="https://autohub.ng/user/profile/130262">.</a> <a href="https://avitotm.biz/user/profile/13795"> .</a> <a href="https://bandarideal.com/what-the-succulent-blank-t-shirts/">.</a> <a href="https://biznesmarket.by/user/profile/75211"> .</a> <a href="https://brainclubs.com/user/whathesucculent/">.</a> <a href="https://bunker.icrypt.me/profile/whathesucculent"> .</a> <a href="https://chototbatdongsan.com/user/profile/67554">.</a> <a href="https://clcessentials.co.za/OSClass/user/profile/1718058"> .</a> <a href="https://coachitout.com/2020/10/what-the-succulent-t-shirt/">.</a> <a href="https://craigstuff.co/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=42134"> .</a> <a href="https://ctg-light.plugins-zone.com/user/profile/27">.</a> <a href="https://custy.com.ng/user/profile/954"> .</a> <a href="https://deramaharaj.com/profile/whathesucculent">.</a> <a href="https://devadigablog.sninfomedia.in/profile/whathesucculent"> .</a> <a href="https://dmtrsportal.dmps.k12.ia.us/ActivityFeed/MyProfile/tabid/60/userId/503704/Default.aspx"> .</a> <a href="https://donne-single.com/user/profile/29334">.</a> <a href="https://dorotea.dk/what-the-succulent-mens-t-shirts-tees/"> .</a> <a href="https://dulceflauta.cl/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=370107"> .</a> <a href="https://dzprojectideas.club/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=617459"> .</a> <a href="https://ecolimpiezabogota.com.co/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=176766"> .</a> <a href="https://f.nedelia.lt/user/whathesucculent/">.</a> <a href="https://fest-news.kiev.ua/user/whathesucculent/"> .</a> <a href="https://forwarder.gapviet.com/blog/67648/what-the-succulent-custom-t-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="https://goappreciation.com/groups/what-the-succulent-t-shirts/">.</a> <a href="https://hamronepalibazar.com/user/profile/82447">.</a> <a href="https://happycarestore.com/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=1242"> .</a> <a href="https://heavenenvoy.mn/what-the-succulent-mens-t-shirts/">.</a> <a href="https://high5classifieds.com/user/profile/3231814"> .</a> <a href="https://iacc-scu.org/what-the-succulent-shop-graphic-designed-t-shirts-apparel-online/"> .</a> <a href="https://ilioncity.com/user/profile/154792">.</a> <a href="https://in.iens.online/user/profile/71318"> .</a> <a href="https://jetsonhire.co.in/2020/10/04/what-the-succulent-tshirts-to-match-your-personal-style/"> .</a> <a href="https://litmist.com/2020/10/04/what-the-succulent-6-dollar-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="https://lqxstore.com/user/profile/193917">.</a> <a href="https://lwamstv.com/2020/10/04/what-the-succulent-t-shirts-for-women/"> .</a> <a href="https://maddogsport.com/forums/topic/what-the-succulent-tshirts-to-match-your-personal-style/"> .</a> <a href="https://memmart.com/what-succulent-blank-t-shirts">.</a> <a href="https://metobi.com/groups/what-the-succulent-t-shirt/"> .</a> <a href="https://minecraftathome.com/minecrafthome/view_profile.php?userid=4796261"> .</a> <a href="https://mlmfamily.com/user/profile/306139">.</a> <a href="https://modaottovot.ru/user/profile/456077"> .</a> <a href="https://mycraigslist.org/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=482455"> .</a> <a href="https://nigmart.com/user/profile/114204">.</a> <a href="https://nxlv.ru/user/whathesucculent/"> .</a> <a href="https://ocredit.com.ua/user/profile/159447">.</a> <a href="https://ownmycar.in/user/profile/321392"> .</a> <a href="https://pathta.jp/user/profile/2560234">.</a> <a href="https://payadsocial.com/index.php/blog/342112/what-the-succulent-shop-graphic-designed-t-shirts-apparel-online/"> .</a> <a href="https://pbdemo.in4comgroup.com/node/1947237">.</a> <a href="https://porno365.su/user/whathesucculent/"> .</a> <a href="https://primbazar.ru/user/profile/322219">.</a> <a href="https://raovat321.net/user/profile/463571"> .</a> <a href="https://secondhands.org/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=9479"> .</a> <a href="https://sellvaly.com/user/profile/447524">.</a> <a href="https://social.neha.net.in/profile/whathesucculent"> .</a> <a href="https://stepuptraining.org/groups/what-the-succulent-mens-t-shirts-tanks/"> .</a> <a href="https://sugutools.com/what-the-succulent-blank-t-shirts/">.</a> <a href="https://superfoodafrica.com/2020/10/04/what-the-succulent-mens-t-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="https://swiftfishcharters.com/blog/2020/10/04/what-the-succulent-tshirts-to-match-your-personal-style/"> .</a> <a href="https://ugaksa.org/db55123_n/956104">.</a> <a href="https://ukads.net/user/profile/194351"> .</a> <a href="https://uslugi.sc-rg.ru/user/profile/96165">.</a> <a href="https://uujama.com/user/profile/787507"> .</a> <a href="https://vdobrieruki.ru/user/profile/177462">.</a> <a href="https://wp.dunkingpro.info/what-the-succulent-crazy-dog-t-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="https://wp.maxcapacitors.com/what-the-succulent-mens-t-shirts-tees/"> .</a> <a href="https://www.123sellit.co.uk/what-the-succulent-t-shirt/">.</a> <a href="https://www.almanacar.com/profile/whathesucculent"> .</a> <a href="https://www.autodema.gob.pe/what-the-succulent-t-shirts-for-women/"> .</a> <a href="https://www.binto.in/user/profile/137773">.</a> <a href="https://www.crackingdrupal.com/errata/what-succulent-custom-t-shirts"> .</a> <a href="https://www.dhootgroup.net/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=3248742"> .</a> <a href="https://www.dior--outlet.com/what-the-succulent-blank-t-shirts/">.</a> <a href="https://www.efficient-frontiers.com/author/whathesucculent/">.</a> <a href="https://www.flowersonline.it/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=2137838"> .</a> <a href="https://www.nuclearette.com/2020/10/04/what-the-succulent-shop-graphic-designed-t-shirts-apparel-online/"> .</a> <a href="https://www.petsrehomed.co.uk/user/profile/234104">.</a> <a href="https://www.qualitime.in/aroghya/httpswwwamazoncomdpb08kmws2py8111"> .</a> <a href="https://www.secondhands.co.za/user/profile/145012">.</a> <a href="https://www.tarikubogale.com/what-the-succulent-t-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="https://www.tvelektronik.net/televizyon-yedek-parca-urun-arama-ada?body_value=Succulent+Top+Quality+Men%E2%80%99s+T-Shirts%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Another+less+popular+development+is+wearing+a+brief-sleeved+T-shirt+of+a+contrasting+color+over+a+protracted-sleeved+T-shirt%2C+which+is+named+layering.+T-shirts+which+might+be+tight+to+the+physique+are+called+fitted%2C+tailor-made+or+baby+doll+T-shirts.+T-shirts+had+been+originally+worn+as+undershirts%2C+but+are+actually+worn+frequently+as+the+only+piece+of+clothes+on+the+top+half+of+the+physique%2C+other+than+possibly+a+brassiere+or%2C+rarely%2C+a+waistcoat+(vest).+T-shirts+have+additionally+turn+into+a+medium+for+self-expression+and+promoting%2C+with+any+imaginable+mixture+of+words%2C+artwork+and+images+on+show.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++What+The+Succulent+Softest+Cotton+T-Shirts%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Some+techniques+that+can+be+utilized+include+sponging%2C+stenciling%2C+daubing%2C+stamping%2C+screen+printing%2C+bleaching%2C+and+lots+of+more.+As+expertise+advances%2C+it+presents+more+experimentations+and+prospects+for+designers+and+artists+to+seek+for+revolutionary+techniques+with+their+T-shirts.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Plus%2C+no+matter+the+place+you%27re+in+the+design+process%2C+whether+or+not+simply+beginning+out+or+in+need+of+a+second+opinion%2C+our+specialists+are+ready+to+help+seven+days+every+week.+Give+us+a+call+at+so+that+we+can+help+your+great+thought+turn+into+a+fantastic+customized+t-shirt+design.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Succulents+Kids+T-Shirts%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++You+can+also+make+personalised+shirts+for+small+teams+from+our+big+selection+of+no+minimums%2C+full+with+names+and/or+numbers%2C+too.+Dye-sublimation+printing+is+a+direct-to-garment+digital+printing+technology+using+full+shade+art+work+to+transfer+pictures+to+polyester+and+polymer-coated+substrate+based+T-shirts.+Dye-sublimation+(also+commonly+referred+to+as+all-over+printing)+got+here+into+widespread+use+within+the+21st+century%2C+enabling+some+designs+previously+impossible.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Start+making+your+own+custom+tees+in+our+best-in-class+online+Design+Lab.Custom+Ink+is+the+customized+t-shirt+maker+in+your+team%2C+school%2C+company%2C+or+any+event+befitting+a+customized-made+T-shirts.Dye-sublimation+printing+is+a+direct-to-garment+digital+printing+know-how+utilizing+full+shade+art+work+to+switch+images+to+polyester+and+polymer-coated+substrate+based+T-shirts.If+you+don%27t+fancy+your+self+a+tee+shirt+designer+otherwise+you%27d+quite+not+attempt+to+create+your+individual%2C+you+will+get+began+with+one+of+our+free+customized+T-shirt+designs.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Unique+t-shirts+designed+by+artists%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++A+downside+of+colour-change+clothes+is+that+the+dyes+can+easily+be+broken%2C+particularly+by+washing+in+heat+water+or+dye+different+garments+during+washing.+Other+strategies+of+ornament+used+on+T-shirts+embody+airbrush%2C+applique%2C+embroidery%2C+impressing+or+++http://www.shehive.com/members/whathesucculent/profile+-+http://www.shehive.com/members/whathesucculent/profile/++embossing%2C+and+the+ironing+on+of+either+flock+lettering%2C+warmth+transfers%2C+or+dye-sublimation+transfers.+Laser+printers+are+capable+of+printing+on+plain+paper+utilizing+a+particular+toner+containing+sublimation+dyes+which+can+then+be+completely+heat-transferred+to+T-shirts.+Today%2C+many+notable+and+memorable+T-shirts+produced+in+the+Seventies+have+become+ensconced+in+pop+culture.+Designer+Katharine+Hamnett%2C+within+the+early+Nineteen+Eighties%2C+pioneered+outsize+T-shirts+with+giant-print+slogans.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Long+Sleeve+T-Shirts%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Custom+Ink+is+the+custom+t-shirt+maker+for+your+team%2C+college%2C+firm%2C+or+any+occasion+befitting+a+customized-made+T-shirts.++If+you+loved+this+write-up+and+you+would+like+to+obtain+additional+info+with+regards+to+https://www.amazon.com/dp/B08KMWS2PY+(+relevant+webpage+-+https://www.amazon.com/dp/B08KMWS2PY+)+kindly+pay+a+visit+to+our+own+web+site.+Start+making+your+personal+custom+tees+in+our+best-in-class+on-line+Design+Lab.+If+you+don%27t+fancy+your+self+a+tee+shirt+designer+otherwise+you%27d+rather+not+try+to+create+your+personal%2C+you+may+get+began+with+one+of+our+free+personalized+T-shirt+designs.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Some+new+T-shirt+creators+have+used+designs+with+multiple+superior+strategies%2C+which+incorporates+using+glow-in-the-dark+inks%2C+warmth-delicate+materials%2C+foil+printing+and+all-over+printing.+Alexander+Wang%2C+on+the+other+hand%2C+came+out+with+variations+of+T-shirts+from+oversized+scoop+necks%2C+tanks+to+striped%2C+slouchy+rayon+jerseys.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++If+you+want+clothes+that+displays+who+you+might+be%2C+shop+our+intensive+t-shirt+collection+right+now.+Before+the+hippie+movement+Rit+Dye+was+generally+known+as+a+hobby+for+older+girls.+Other+strategies+of+decorating+shirts+embody+utilizing+paints%2C+markers%2C+++goappreciation.com+-+https://goappreciation.com/groups/what-the-succulent-t-shirts/++fabric+transfer+crayons%2C+dyes%2C+spray+paint%2C+and+many+more.&shs_term_node_tid_depth=All&field_markalar_tid=All&model="> .</a> <a href="https://www.vitaeeditora.com.br/what-the-succulent-6-dollar-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="https://www.world1services.com/groups/what-the-succulent-mens-t-shirts/"> .</a> <a href="https://xn----7sbbecd2ene8ac.xn--p1ai/user/profile/204621">.</a> <a href="https://zarulim.com.ua/user/whathesucculent/"> .</a></p> <br> </div> </div> </div> Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-21067844591224278902020-10-02T21:51:00.000+13:002020-10-02T21:52:35.092+13:00Will You Shut Up Man Shirt 2020 - Joe Biden vs Donald Trump Debate<h2>Will you shut up man shirt here - <a title="https://teespring.com/stores/will-you-shut-up-man-shirt" href="https://teespring.com/stores/will-you-shut-up-man-shirt"> https://teespring.com/stores/will-you-shut-up-man-shirt</a></h2> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"> </p> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><a title=" https://hoplix.com/will-you-just-shut-up-man-biden-2020-shirt" href="">https://hoplix.com/will-you-just-shut-up-man-biden-2020-shirt</a></p> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><a href="https://www.gearbubble.com/will-you-shut-up-man-shirt">https://www.gearbubble.com/will-you-shut-up-man-shirt</a></p> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><br> <a href="https://patch.com/users/will-you-shut-man-shirt">https://patch.com/users/will-you-shut-man-shirt</a></p> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><br> <a href="https://www.pexels.com/@will-you-just-shut-up-man-shirt-3662276">https://www.pexels.com/@will-you-just-shut-up-man-shirt-3662276</a></p> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><br> <a href="https://linktr.ee/willyoushutupmanshirt">https://linktr.ee/willyoushutupmanshirt</a></p> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><br> <a href="https://peatix.com/user/6642319">https://peatix.com/user/6642319</a></p> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><br> <a href="https://marketplace.visualstudio.com/publishers/WillYouJustShutUpManShirt">https://marketplace.visualstudio.com/publishers/WillYouJustShutUpManShirt</a></p> <h4>Grab these limited editions shirts now - Trump vs Biden 2020</h4> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"> </p> <h3>Cheers!</h3> <p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><a href="http://162.243.54.209//site/gin99/elgg_new/blog/view/1198535/will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-the-pattern-of-custom-cufflinks">http://162.243.54.209//site/gin99/elgg_new/blog/view/1198535/will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-the-pattern-of-custom-cufflinks</a> <a href="http://162.243.54.209//site/gin99/elgg_new/profile/EricaBruno">http://162.243.54.209//site/gin99/elgg_new/profile/EricaBruno</a> <a href="http://182.191.119.233/ActivityFeed/MyProfile/tabid/61/UserId/230366/Default.aspx"> http://182.191.119.233/ActivityFeed/MyProfile/tabid/61/UserId/230366/Default.aspx</a> <a href="http://213.246.61.113:1200/UserProfile/tabid/83/userId/127958/Default.aspx"> http://213.246.61.113:1200/UserProfile/tabid/83/userId/127958/Default.aspx</a> <a href="http://33k9.com/would-you-just-shut-up-shirt-the-most-effective-source-for-custom-made-wrestling-singlets/"> http://33k9.com/would-you-just-shut-up-shirt-the-most-effective-source-for-custom-made-wrestling-singlets/</a> <a href="http://abdurahmancoffee.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/767374"> http://abdurahmancoffee.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/767374</a> <a href="http://ads-inform.ru/user/profile/197030"> http://ads-inform.ru/user/profile/197030</a> <a href="http://alien.kai.ru/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=93163"> http://alien.kai.ru/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=93163</a> <a href="http://amarekush.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=1684492"> http://amarekush.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=1684492</a> <a href="http://ananik-foraje-puturi.ro/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/466862"> http://ananik-foraje-puturi.ro/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/466862</a> <a href="http://anzvoice.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=3168744"> http://anzvoice.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=3168744</a> <a href="http://aog-gaming.de/index.php?mod=users&action=view&id=34941"> http://aog-gaming.de/index.php?mod=users&action=view&id=34941</a> <a href="http://apexsteel.co.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/326650"> http://apexsteel.co.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/326650</a> <a href="http://assodiaf.org/fr/will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-methods-to-match-your-style-garments-with-sophisticated-scarves/"> http://assodiaf.org/fr/will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-methods-to-match-your-style-garments-with-sophisticated-scarves/</a> <a href="http://backpakeroasisdemoron.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/144485"> http://backpakeroasisdemoron.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/144485</a> <a href="http://barcelonabeautyschool.com/members/udyjami3038061/"> http://barcelonabeautyschool.com/members/udyjami3038061/</a> <a href="http://barcoavela.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=442167"> http://barcoavela.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=442167</a> <a href="http://blog.artchallenge.ru/would-you-just-shut-up-man-shirt-presents-for-boyfriend-5-creative-gift-suggestions-to-make-him-drool-over-you/"> http://blog.artchallenge.ru/would-you-just-shut-up-man-shirt-presents-for-boyfriend-5-creative-gift-suggestions-to-make-him-drool-over-you/</a> <a href="http://blog.bharatcomputech.com/2020/10/01/will-you-shut-up-man-biden-shirt-youll-look-as-well-as-really-feel-wonderful-with-these-fashion-tips/"> http://blog.bharatcomputech.com/2020/10/01/will-you-shut-up-man-biden-shirt-youll-look-as-well-as-really-feel-wonderful-with-these-fashion-tips/</a> <a href="http://browholic.com/product_Inquiry/171605">http://browholic.com/product_Inquiry/171605</a> <a href="http://cds.utgjiu.ro/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/1017430">http://cds.utgjiu.ro/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/1017430</a> <a href="http://classificado.buscaeu.com.br/user/profile/226061">http://classificado.buscaeu.com.br/user/profile/226061</a> <a href="http://consumersaustralia.org/groups/will-you-shut-up-man-biden-shirt-does-cash-actually-make-you-satisfied/"> http://consumersaustralia.org/groups/will-you-shut-up-man-biden-shirt-does-cash-actually-make-you-satisfied/</a> <a href="http://consumersaustralia.org/members/lyn08b59950256/profile/">http://consumersaustralia.org/members/lyn08b59950256/profile/</a> <a href="http://coutureconfectionsny.com/2020/10/will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-just-how-to-insulate-your-home-for-winter/"> http://coutureconfectionsny.com/2020/10/will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-just-how-to-insulate-your-home-for-winter/</a> <a href="http://creamy-daegu.com/evaluation/174005">http://creamy-daegu.com/evaluation/174005</a> <a href="http://cspace.ro/joe-biden-will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-loss-style-standards-you-require-to-own/"> http://cspace.ro/joe-biden-will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-loss-style-standards-you-require-to-own/</a> <a href="http://csrhubindia.org/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/357790">http://csrhubindia.org/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/357790</a> <a href="http://dev.garagenik.co.il/will-you-just-shut-shirt-custom-t-shirts-printing-exactly-how-develop-your-own-t-shirt"> http://dev.garagenik.co.il/will-you-just-shut-shirt-custom-t-shirts-printing-exactly-how-develop-your-own-t-shirt</a> <a href="http://dohabazar.com/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=76076">http://dohabazar.com/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=76076</a> <a href="http://dreistes-gaming.de/index.php?mod=users&action=view&id=833525">http://dreistes-gaming.de/index.php?mod=users&action=view&id=833525</a> <a href="http://e-banki.com/would-you-shut-up-man-shirt-papas-day-presents-are-priceless/"> http://e-banki.com/would-you-shut-up-man-shirt-papas-day-presents-are-priceless/</a> <a href="http://ehumanteam.com/component/k2/itemlist/user/16235.html">http://ehumanteam.com/component/k2/itemlist/user/16235.html</a> <a href="http://eltobogancr.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=618269"> http://eltobogancr.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=618269</a> <a href="http://energomontag.com/user/profile/782934"> http://energomontag.com/user/profile/782934</a> <a href="http://environengg.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/30341"> http://environengg.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/30341</a> <a href="http://equitylinks.co.tz/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/253686"> http://equitylinks.co.tz/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/253686</a> <a href="http://escorts24seven.com/user/profile/29849"> http://escorts24seven.com/user/profile/29849</a> <a href="http://fansuld.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=287388"> http://fansuld.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=287388</a> <a href="http://gmis.org.au/content/will-you-shut-man-biden-shirt-ralph-lauren-designs-style-targets-bust-cancer-polo"> http://gmis.org.au/content/will-you-shut-man-biden-shirt-ralph-lauren-designs-style-targets-bust-cancer-polo</a> <a href="http://heshamsolutions.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/89856">http://heshamsolutions.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/89856</a> <a href="http://highneck.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/69929">http://highneck.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/69929</a> <a href="http://hitechenggindia.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/346814">http://hitechenggindia.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/346814</a> <a href="http://hitommy.net/xe/SoccerWorld/2640625">http://hitommy.net/xe/SoccerWorld/2640625</a> <a href="http://hospitalbuensamaritano.org/joe-biden-will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-spring-2010-style-trend-exactly-how-to-wear-ballet-inspired-fashion/"> http://hospitalbuensamaritano.org/joe-biden-will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-spring-2010-style-trend-exactly-how-to-wear-ballet-inspired-fashion/</a> <a href="http://imolocal.com/user/profile/4099467">http://imolocal.com/user/profile/4099467</a> <a href="http://innotech.org.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/61229">http://innotech.org.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/61229</a> <a href="http://intranet.cammanagementsolutions.com/UserProfile/tabid/1269/UserID/5791491/Default.aspx"> http://intranet.cammanagementsolutions.com/UserProfile/tabid/1269/UserID/5791491/Default.aspx</a> <a href="http://kgf.org.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/2069945">http://kgf.org.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/2069945</a> <a href="http://learn.medicaidalaska.com/UserProfile/tabid/42/UserID/4503011/Default.aspx"> http://learn.medicaidalaska.com/UserProfile/tabid/42/UserID/4503011/Default.aspx</a> <a href="http://litmist.com/2020/10/01/biden-shut-up-man-shirt-presents-for-partner-5-creative-gift-ideas-to-make-him-drool-over-you/"> http://litmist.com/2020/10/01/biden-shut-up-man-shirt-presents-for-partner-5-creative-gift-ideas-to-make-him-drool-over-you/</a> <a href="http://lshdigital.co.kr/LSH06p1/105184">http://lshdigital.co.kr/LSH06p1/105184</a> <a href="http://maaindustrial.in/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=180249"> http://maaindustrial.in/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=180249</a> <a href="http://mama-ads.com/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=680772"> http://mama-ads.com/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=680772</a> <a href="http://matrimonylogin.com/user/profile/21816"> http://matrimonylogin.com/user/profile/21816</a> <a href="http://mattari.rosx.net/wordpress/?p=62632"> http://mattari.rosx.net/wordpress/?p=62632</a> <a href="http://mi-nus.de/minus/index.php?mod=users&action=view&id=149478"> http://mi-nus.de/minus/index.php?mod=users&action=view&id=149478</a> <a href="http://millenniumtechnology.in/component/k2/itemlist/user/3392765"> http://millenniumtechnology.in/component/k2/itemlist/user/3392765</a> <a href="http://moxigases.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/224055"> http://moxigases.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/224055</a> <a href="http://ntown.tv/MTDAMOA/5511680"> http://ntown.tv/MTDAMOA/5511680</a> <a href="http://patmagee.com/UserProfile/tabid/630/UserID/740805/Default.aspx"> http://patmagee.com/UserProfile/tabid/630/UserID/740805/Default.aspx</a> <a href="http://pauza.com.pl/would-you-just-shut-up-shirt-spring-patterns-maless-fashion-ideas-to-aid-you-clothe-for-the-season/"> http://pauza.com.pl/would-you-just-shut-up-shirt-spring-patterns-maless-fashion-ideas-to-aid-you-clothe-for-the-season/</a> <a href="http://postfreeadshere.com/user/profile/88407">http://postfreeadshere.com/user/profile/88407</a> <a href="http://prahacom.cz/user/profile/886731">http://prahacom.cz/user/profile/886731</a> <a href="http://precisionbearing.co.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/13450"> http://precisionbearing.co.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/13450</a> <a href="http://qatarclassifieds.info/author/saracaleb5/"> http://qatarclassifieds.info/author/saracaleb5/</a> <a href="http://respond24.org/component/k2/itemlist/user/1943773.html"> http://respond24.org/component/k2/itemlist/user/1943773.html</a> <a href="http://sdbrasil.com.br/would-you-just-shut-up-man-shirt-army-elegant-style-from-the-ceremony-ground-to-the-high-street/"> http://sdbrasil.com.br/would-you-just-shut-up-man-shirt-army-elegant-style-from-the-ceremony-ground-to-the-high-street/</a> <a href="http://segunolugbemi.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=185198"> http://segunolugbemi.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=185198</a> <a href="http://seminar.uny.ac.id/semnaskmp2019/content/will-you-shut-man-biden-shirt-7-ways-earn-money-public-domain-maps"> http://seminar.uny.ac.id/semnaskmp2019/content/will-you-shut-man-biden-shirt-7-ways-earn-money-public-domain-maps</a> <a href="http://sifaoptical.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/165583">http://sifaoptical.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/165583</a> <a href="http://startechengineers.co.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/133873"> http://startechengineers.co.in/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/133873</a> <a href="http://suliko.in.ua/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=78086"> http://suliko.in.ua/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=78086</a> <a href="http://tillihouse.co.kr/board/29973"> http://tillihouse.co.kr/board/29973</a> <a href="http://travelnstay.in/UserProfile/tabid/61/userId/9164076/Default.aspx"> http://travelnstay.in/UserProfile/tabid/61/userId/9164076/Default.aspx</a> <a href="http://twadidi.com/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=2938"> http://twadidi.com/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=2938</a> <a href="http://uky247.com/user/profile/263581"> http://uky247.com/user/profile/263581</a> <a href="http://usadsciti.com/user/profile/66135"> http://usadsciti.com/user/profile/66135</a> <a href="http://v2v.in/user/profile/95055"> http://v2v.in/user/profile/95055</a> <a href="http://vardhmanpowerpanel.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/194194"> http://vardhmanpowerpanel.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/194194</a> <a href="http://ventolinmedicaid.us.org/would-you-just-shut-up-shirt-5-fashion-should-haves-for-autumn-2010/"> http://ventolinmedicaid.us.org/would-you-just-shut-up-shirt-5-fashion-should-haves-for-autumn-2010/</a> <a href="http://vsk-fok.ru/cms/user/YaniraHudak3/">http://vsk-fok.ru/cms/user/YaniraHudak3/</a> <a href="http://wahmplex.com/blog/view/225445/would-you-just-shut-up-shirt-disney-vacation-save-cash-on-souvenirs"> http://wahmplex.com/blog/view/225445/would-you-just-shut-up-shirt-disney-vacation-save-cash-on-souvenirs</a> <a href="http://wahmplex.com/profile/SanfordWhi">http://wahmplex.com/profile/SanfordWhi</a> <a href="http://web.uscpak.com/app/complaint/node/489705">http://web.uscpak.com/app/complaint/node/489705</a> <a href="http://ww2.telechat.info/author/shawneelatr/">http://ww2.telechat.info/author/shawneelatr/</a> <a href="http://www.alrashidi.net/?p=332029">http://www.alrashidi.net/?p=332029</a> <a href="http://www.ardenneweb.eu/archive?body_value=Attempt+saving+money+on+your+food+budget+by+planning+your+meals+in+advance+of+time.+If+you+plan+your+meals+at+the+very+least+a+week+ahead%2C+you+will+just+acquire+the+ingredients+you+require+from+the+shop.+This+can+help+you+to+avoid+overspending+on+each+shopping+journey%2C+in+order+to+optimize+your+month-to-month+savings.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++The+key+is+to+assemble+a+wardrobe+that+has+vital+items+that+can+be+incorporated+as+well+as+swapped+and+put+on+weekly.+For+stability+shades+and+also+patterns+on+ties+and+also+shirts+must+be+muted+and+also+quality+lace+up+natural+leather+shoes+are+likewise+a+must.+The+primary+step+is+to+check+what+you+have+in+your+closet+and+make+a+listing+of+the+important+things+you+assume+you+may+require.+Attempt+on+the+clothes+that+you+have+actually+not+worn+in+a+while+and+also+take+a+look+in+the+mirror.+Does+it+fit%3F+Could+it+look+much+better+with+a+little+change+or+do+you+need+to+buy+something+brand-new%3F%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++biden+shut+up+man%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%22What+the+heck-%3F%22+Kevin+asked+himself.+Then+his+eyes+grew+broad+in+horror+as+he+realized+what+had+happened.+The+ship+was+removing%21+As+well+as+he+hadn%27t+left+yet%21+Kevin+hurried+out+of+the+locker+in+anxiety.+He+went+over+to+where+he+had+first+come+in+and+also+thought+of+the+door+opening+up.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++A+couple+of+months+back%2C+a+New+York+State+guy+was+told+by+the+NYDOT+that+the+Christian+message+that+was+repainted+on+a+semi-trailer+he+possessed+stank.++If+you+adored+this+article+so+you+would+like+to+get+more+info+concerning+would+you+just+shut+up+%28+Recommended+Web+page+-+https%3A%2F%2Fwww.amazon.com%2FWill-You-Shut-Up-Man%2Fdp%2FB08KG8W4CJ+%29+generously+visit+our+own+web+page.+The+trailer+which+is+parked+on+his+%28exclusive%29+building+along+the+freeway.+NYDOT+claimed+it+was+a+%22public+problem%22%21%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++would+you+shut+up+man%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%27Ideal+Times+Ever%27+Scrapbook+-+One+of+the+very+best+%27gifts+for+sweetheart%27+ever+a+scrapbook+chronicling+the+best+times+you%27ve+ever+before+had+with+images+as+well+as+coming+with+messages+from+you+discussing+what+you+enjoyed+regarding+those+times+you+invested+with+him%2C+should+obtain+him+all+choked+up+with+emotion%21+Leave+a+great+deal+of+web+pages+blank+in+the+long+run+considering+that+you%27ll+wish+to+paste+more+photos+there+and+upgrade+it+often.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Kevin+beinged+in+an+afraid+realization+that+all+he+could+do+was+wait+as+he+was+transported+to+an+additional+earth+where+he+might+quite+possibly+finish+up+dead+if+he+was+not+mindful.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++would+you+shut+up+man%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++When+the+client+came+on+to+purchase%2C+frequently+is+an+opportunity+to+offer+another+point.+It+might+be+a+related+or+additional+product.+Big+part+of+clients+will+certainly+accept+use.+The+guideline+of+cross+marketing+is+to+make+extra+deal+to+less+costly+product.+Like%2C+with+shirt+can+provide+neckwear%2C+with+shoes+can+provide+shoe+lotion%2C+with+cars+and+trucks+can+offer+accessories%2C+and+so+on.+By+situation%2C+your+client+remains+in+%22acquiring+craze%22+it%27s+very+simple+to+do.+Look+into+from+Amazon+exactly+how+great+they+can+do+it%2C+inevitably.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++will+you+shut+up+man%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Kevin+rested+on+a+cot+in+a+relatively+glamorous+holding+cell.+There+was%2C+certainly%2C+the+cot+that+Kevin+was+sitting+on+full+with+coverings+and+cushions%2C+a+basket+packed+with+fruit%2C+a+bottle+and+glass+of+water.+It+was+certainly+far+better+than+a+lot+of+otherwise+all+jail+cells+on+Earth%2C+yet+Kevin+merely+wanted+his+liberty.+He+didn%27t+intend+to+be+a+detainee+at+all."> http://www.ardenneweb.eu/archive?body_value=Attempt+saving+money+on+your+food+budget+by+planning+your+meals+in+advance+of+time.+If+you+plan+your+meals+at+the+very+least+a+week+ahead%2C+you+will+just+acquire+the+ingredients+you+require+from+the+shop.+This+can+help+you+to+avoid+overspending+on+each+shopping+journey%2C+in+order+to+optimize+your+month-to-month+savings.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++The+key+is+to+assemble+a+wardrobe+that+has+vital+items+that+can+be+incorporated+as+well+as+swapped+and+put+on+weekly.+For+stability+shades+and+also+patterns+on+ties+and+also+shirts+must+be+muted+and+also+quality+lace+up+natural+leather+shoes+are+likewise+a+must.+The+primary+step+is+to+check+what+you+have+in+your+closet+and+make+a+listing+of+the+important+things+you+assume+you+may+require.+Attempt+on+the+clothes+that+you+have+actually+not+worn+in+a+while+and+also+take+a+look+in+the+mirror.+Does+it+fit%3F+Could+it+look+much+better+with+a+little+change+or+do+you+need+to+buy+something+brand-new%3F%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++biden+shut+up+man%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%22What+the+heck-%3F%22+Kevin+asked+himself.+Then+his+eyes+grew+broad+in+horror+as+he+realized+what+had+happened.+The+ship+was+removing%21+As+well+as+he+hadn%27t+left+yet%21+Kevin+hurried+out+of+the+locker+in+anxiety.+He+went+over+to+where+he+had+first+come+in+and+also+thought+of+the+door+opening+up.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++A+couple+of+months+back%2C+a+New+York+State+guy+was+told+by+the+NYDOT+that+the+Christian+message+that+was+repainted+on+a+semi-trailer+he+possessed+stank.++If+you+adored+this+article+so+you+would+like+to+get+more+info+concerning+would+you+just+shut+up+%28+Recommended+Web+page+-+https%3A%2F%2Fwww.amazon.com%2FWill-You-Shut-Up-Man%2Fdp%2FB08KG8W4CJ+%29+generously+visit+our+own+web+page.+The+trailer+which+is+parked+on+his+%28exclusive%29+building+along+the+freeway.+NYDOT+claimed+it+was+a+%22public+problem%22%21%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++would+you+shut+up+man%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%27Ideal+Times+Ever%27+Scrapbook+-+One+of+the+very+best+%27gifts+for+sweetheart%27+ever+a+scrapbook+chronicling+the+best+times+you%27ve+ever+before+had+with+images+as+well+as+coming+with+messages+from+you+discussing+what+you+enjoyed+regarding+those+times+you+invested+with+him%2C+should+obtain+him+all+choked+up+with+emotion%21+Leave+a+great+deal+of+web+pages+blank+in+the+long+run+considering+that+you%27ll+wish+to+paste+more+photos+there+and+upgrade+it+often.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Kevin+beinged+in+an+afraid+realization+that+all+he+could+do+was+wait+as+he+was+transported+to+an+additional+earth+where+he+might+quite+possibly+finish+up+dead+if+he+was+not+mindful.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++would+you+shut+up+man%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++When+the+client+came+on+to+purchase%2C+frequently+is+an+opportunity+to+offer+another+point.+It+might+be+a+related+or+additional+product.+Big+part+of+clients+will+certainly+accept+use.+The+guideline+of+cross+marketing+is+to+make+extra+deal+to+less+costly+product.+Like%2C+with+shirt+can+provide+neckwear%2C+with+shoes+can+provide+shoe+lotion%2C+with+cars+and+trucks+can+offer+accessories%2C+and+so+on.+By+situation%2C+your+client+remains+in+%22acquiring+craze%22+it%27s+very+simple+to+do.+Look+into+from+Amazon+exactly+how+great+they+can+do+it%2C+inevitably.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++will+you+shut+up+man%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Kevin+rested+on+a+cot+in+a+relatively+glamorous+holding+cell.+There+was%2C+certainly%2C+the+cot+that+Kevin+was+sitting+on+full+with+coverings+and+cushions%2C+a+basket+packed+with+fruit%2C+a+bottle+and+glass+of+water.+It+was+certainly+far+better+than+a+lot+of+otherwise+all+jail+cells+on+Earth%2C+yet+Kevin+merely+wanted+his+liberty.+He+didn%27t+intend+to+be+a+detainee+at+all.</a> <a href="http://www.aydinagd.org/author/desmondsher/">http://www.aydinagd.org/author/desmondsher/</a> <a href="http://www.basycode.com/forums/users/nataliamendez/">http://www.basycode.com/forums/users/nataliamendez/</a> <a href="http://www.buysell.com.pk/user/profile/186967">http://www.buysell.com.pk/user/profile/186967</a> <a href="http://www.campaniainvetrina.com/profile/SIAValenti">http://www.campaniainvetrina.com/profile/SIAValenti</a> <a href="http://www.chaemjing.com/education/would-you-just-shut-up-man-shirt-unpopular-xmases-gifts-6-six-gifts-for-your-preferred-nerd/"> http://www.chaemjing.com/education/would-you-just-shut-up-man-shirt-unpopular-xmases-gifts-6-six-gifts-for-your-preferred-nerd/</a> <a href="http://www.corporacioneg.com/UserProfile/tabid/43/UserID/14875578/Default.aspx"> http://www.corporacioneg.com/UserProfile/tabid/43/UserID/14875578/Default.aspx</a> <a href="http://www.cover2sportz.com/would-you-just-shut-up-shirt-fashion-design-by-the-sun-sign/"> http://www.cover2sportz.com/would-you-just-shut-up-shirt-fashion-design-by-the-sun-sign/</a> <a href="http://www.depandi.com/author/hattiem202/">http://www.depandi.com/author/hattiem202/</a> <a href="http://www.farmacjachoma.pl/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/947734"> http://www.farmacjachoma.pl/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/947734</a> <a href="http://www.garagenik.co.il/biden-shut-man-shirt-xmas-presents-canine-lovers"> http://www.garagenik.co.il/biden-shut-man-shirt-xmas-presents-canine-lovers</a> <a href="http://www.guzelescortlar.xyz/author/charawentch/"> http://www.guzelescortlar.xyz/author/charawentch/</a> <a href="http://www.hajistock.ir/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=221135"> http://www.hajistock.ir/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=221135</a> <a href="http://www.highrisecarpetcleaning.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=1980569"> http://www.highrisecarpetcleaning.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=1980569</a> <a href="http://www.hubsa.net/xe/?document_srl=7880191">http://www.hubsa.net/xe/?document_srl=7880191</a> <a href="http://www.indianfishing.in/biden-shut-up-man-shirt-kurta-pajama-a-laid-back-fashion-wear.html"> http://www.indianfishing.in/biden-shut-up-man-shirt-kurta-pajama-a-laid-back-fashion-wear.html</a> <a href="http://www.johnsonclassifieds.com/user/profile/2343201">http://www.johnsonclassifieds.com/user/profile/2343201</a> <a href="http://www.kimberley.co.in/2020/10/01/will-you-just-shut-up-shirt-gifts-for-guy-5-innovative-gift-concepts-to-make-him-salivate-over-you/"> http://www.kimberley.co.in/2020/10/01/will-you-just-shut-up-shirt-gifts-for-guy-5-innovative-gift-concepts-to-make-him-salivate-over-you/</a> <a href="http://www.kutahyaweb.com/author/montelemieu/">http://www.kutahyaweb.com/author/montelemieu/</a> <a href="http://www.lacittaaperta.it/2020/10/01/biden-shut-up-man-shirt-papas-day-presents-from-the-heart/"> http://www.lacittaaperta.it/2020/10/01/biden-shut-up-man-shirt-papas-day-presents-from-the-heart/</a> <a href="http://www.luigisclub.com/profile/RenaldoMul">http://www.luigisclub.com/profile/RenaldoMul</a> <a href="http://www.madonnadelpettoruto.it/2020/10/01/will-you-just-shut-up-man-shirt-unpopular-christmas-presents-6-six-presents-for-your-favorite-nerd/"> http://www.madonnadelpettoruto.it/2020/10/01/will-you-just-shut-up-man-shirt-unpopular-christmas-presents-6-six-presents-for-your-favorite-nerd/</a> <a href="http://www.mediazioniapec.it/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=2557386"> http://www.mediazioniapec.it/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=2557386</a> <a href="http://www.netscriptcad.com/activity-feed/my-profile/userid/69524">http://www.netscriptcad.com/activity-feed/my-profile/userid/69524</a> <a href="http://www.ponloaqui.com/user/profile/4133">http://www.ponloaqui.com/user/profile/4133</a> <a href="http://www.princetonmedical.net/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=2228115"> http://www.princetonmedical.net/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=2228115</a> <a href="http://www.seboo.org/qna/1249851">http://www.seboo.org/qna/1249851</a> <a href="http://www.sopcich.com/UserProfile/tabid/42/UserID/2860536/Default.aspx"> http://www.sopcich.com/UserProfile/tabid/42/UserID/2860536/Default.aspx</a> <a href="http://www.studentensport.at/ros/pg/profile/PWYAlison"> http://www.studentensport.at/ros/pg/profile/PWYAlison</a> <a href="http://www.sunprotek.in/biden-shut-up-man-shirt-just-how-on-planet-do-you-intend-to-sport-custom-sweatshirts/"> http://www.sunprotek.in/biden-shut-up-man-shirt-just-how-on-planet-do-you-intend-to-sport-custom-sweatshirts/</a> <a href="http://www.t.meta98.ru/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=1004470"> http://www.t.meta98.ru/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=1004470</a> <a href="http://www.tiktweet.com/profile/MichelineH"> http://www.tiktweet.com/profile/MichelineH</a> <a href="http://www.vsepenza.ru/user/profile/27780"> http://www.vsepenza.ru/user/profile/27780</a> <a href="http://www.wikzy.com/user/profile/5601191"> http://www.wikzy.com/user/profile/5601191</a> <a href="http://xn--hq1b15i65lkpbxm.com/notice/6586"> http://xn--hq1b15i65lkpbxm.com/notice/6586</a> <a href="https://1bankir.ru/user/ShannaMebane329/"> https://1bankir.ru/user/ShannaMebane329/</a> <a href="https://academia.eljurista.com.bo/groups/would-you-just-shut-up-shirt-commemorate-unique-celebrations-with-unique-custom-tees/"> https://academia.eljurista.com.bo/groups/would-you-just-shut-up-shirt-commemorate-unique-celebrations-with-unique-custom-tees/</a> <a href="https://acp.srv.br/index.php/blog/171342/joe-biden-will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-celebrate-unique-occasions-with-specia/"> https://acp.srv.br/index.php/blog/171342/joe-biden-will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-celebrate-unique-occasions-with-specia/</a> <a href="https://adetonfo.com/user/profile/20762">https://adetonfo.com/user/profile/20762</a> <a href="https://ads.wealthxo.com/user/profile/66666">https://ads.wealthxo.com/user/profile/66666</a> <a href="https://adsfree.mastermindswadd.site/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=355460"> https://adsfree.mastermindswadd.site/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=355460</a> <a href="https://agroadsja.com/user/profile/450078">https://agroadsja.com/user/profile/450078</a> <a href="https://artstic.com/groups-2/joe-biden-will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-how-to-start-a-t-shirt-business-at-home/"> https://artstic.com/groups-2/joe-biden-will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-how-to-start-a-t-shirt-business-at-home/</a> <a href="https://avitotm.biz/user/profile/12245">https://avitotm.biz/user/profile/12245</a> <a href="https://bandarideal.com/biden-shut-up-man-shirt-disney-trip-conserve-cash-on-souvenirs/"> https://bandarideal.com/biden-shut-up-man-shirt-disney-trip-conserve-cash-on-souvenirs/</a> <a href="https://bazari.pk/user/profile/12606">https://bazari.pk/user/profile/12606</a> <a href="https://beyondthelightunited.org/groups/would-you-shut-up-man-shirt-find-ways-to-earn-cash-making-use-of-twitter/"> https://beyondthelightunited.org/groups/would-you-shut-up-man-shirt-find-ways-to-earn-cash-making-use-of-twitter/</a> <a href="https://bezmoderatora.ru/user/profile/232126">https://bezmoderatora.ru/user/profile/232126</a> <a href="https://biznesmarket.by/user/profile/68031">https://biznesmarket.by/user/profile/68031</a> <a href="https://bpenterprizes.com/will-you-shut-up-man-biden-shirt-crocheting-fashion-trends/"> https://bpenterprizes.com/will-you-shut-up-man-biden-shirt-crocheting-fashion-trends/</a> <a href="https://brainclubs.com/user/DyanDurham65579/">https://brainclubs.com/user/DyanDurham65579/</a> <a href="https://bunker.icrypt.me/profile/AshleySmit">https://bunker.icrypt.me/profile/AshleySmit</a> <a href="https://catchacoach.com/Demo/profile/CharityByf">https://catchacoach.com/Demo/profile/CharityByf</a> <a href="https://center4familyservices.com/would-you-just-shut-up-shirt-great-concepts-for-birthday-gifts/"> https://center4familyservices.com/would-you-just-shut-up-shirt-great-concepts-for-birthday-gifts/</a> <a href="https://craigstuff.co/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=39068">https://craigstuff.co/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=39068</a> <a href="https://donne-single.com/user/profile/26861">https://donne-single.com/user/profile/26861</a> <a href="https://doska70.ru/user/profile/197771">https://doska70.ru/user/profile/197771</a> <a href="https://dospuntoseventos.cl/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=5275890"> https://dospuntoseventos.cl/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=5275890</a> <a href="https://dulceflauta.cl/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=348300"> https://dulceflauta.cl/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=348300</a> <a href="https://dzprojectideas.club/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=601210"> https://dzprojectideas.club/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=601210</a> <a href="https://ecolimpiezabogota.com.co/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=174618"> https://ecolimpiezabogota.com.co/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=174618</a> <a href="https://ejournal.unitomo.ac.id/index.php/jsk/comment/view/743/0/357618"> https://ejournal.unitomo.ac.id/index.php/jsk/comment/view/743/0/357618</a> <a href="https://elkhoulyeg.com/1345/will-you-just-shut-shirt-black-satin-gown-perpetuity-fashion"> https://elkhoulyeg.com/1345/will-you-just-shut-shirt-black-satin-gown-perpetuity-fashion</a> <a href="https://forwarder.gapviet.com/blog/57835/biden-shut-up-man-shirt-7-ways-to-generate-income-with-public-domain-maps/"> https://forwarder.gapviet.com/blog/57835/biden-shut-up-man-shirt-7-ways-to-generate-income-with-public-domain-maps/</a> <a href="https://goappreciation.com/groups/joe-biden-will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-papas-day-gifts-are-priceless/"> https://goappreciation.com/groups/joe-biden-will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-papas-day-gifts-are-priceless/</a> <a href="https://hamronepalibazar.com/user/profile/80627">https://hamronepalibazar.com/user/profile/80627</a> <a href="https://happycarestore.com/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=606"> https://happycarestore.com/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=606</a> <a href="https://high5classifieds.com/user/profile/3220582"> https://high5classifieds.com/user/profile/3220582</a> <a href="https://ilioncity.com/user/profile/141961"> https://ilioncity.com/user/profile/141961</a> <a href="https://in.iens.online/user/profile/65958"> https://in.iens.online/user/profile/65958</a> <a href="https://informru.ru/user/profile/319391"> https://informru.ru/user/profile/319391</a> <a href="https://iptvqualitytv.com.br/2020/10/01/would-you-just-shut-up-man-shirt-why-theres-a-lot-flannel-in-loss-fashion/"> https://iptvqualitytv.com.br/2020/10/01/would-you-just-shut-up-man-shirt-why-theres-a-lot-flannel-in-loss-fashion/</a> <a href="https://jennycuario.com/profile/RosalindBu">https://jennycuario.com/profile/RosalindBu</a> <a href="https://journal.sebi.ac.id/index.php/jaki/comment/view/126/0/427">https://journal.sebi.ac.id/index.php/jaki/comment/view/126/0/427</a> <a href="https://krishnaengravers.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/375840"> https://krishnaengravers.com/index.php/component/k2/itemlist/user/375840</a> <a href="https://lqxstore.com/user/profile/189368"> https://lqxstore.com/user/profile/189368</a> <a href="https://malfed.com/profile/CarleyPole"> https://malfed.com/profile/CarleyPole</a> <a href="https://memmart.com/will-you-just-shut-man-shirt-xmas-gifts-teenagers"> https://memmart.com/will-you-just-shut-man-shirt-xmas-gifts-teenagers</a> <a href="https://milknet.com.br/classificados/user/profile/1161398"> https://milknet.com.br/classificados/user/profile/1161398</a> <a href="https://minecraftathome.com/minecrafthome/view_profile.php?userid=4359746"> https://minecraftathome.com/minecrafthome/view_profile.php?userid=4359746</a> <a href="https://mlmfamily.com/user/profile/297643"> https://mlmfamily.com/user/profile/297643</a> <a href="https://modaottovot.ru/user/profile/450214"> https://modaottovot.ru/user/profile/450214</a> <a href="https://mycraigslist.org/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=464575"> https://mycraigslist.org/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=464575</a> <a href="https://narsingdihaat.com/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=82623"> https://narsingdihaat.com/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=82623</a> <a href="https://nigmart.com/user/profile/108630"> https://nigmart.com/user/profile/108630</a> <a href="https://noobtelevision.com/groups/will-you-shut-up-shirt-good-xmases-gifts-ideas-for-enjoyed-ones/"> https://noobtelevision.com/groups/will-you-shut-up-shirt-good-xmases-gifts-ideas-for-enjoyed-ones/</a> <a href="https://nxlv.ru/user/TressaGepp758/">https://nxlv.ru/user/TressaGepp758/</a> <a href="https://osclassthemes.org/user/profile/6018">https://osclassthemes.org/user/profile/6018</a> <a href="https://ownmycar.in/user/profile/319944">https://ownmycar.in/user/profile/319944</a> <a href="https://pathta.jp/user/profile/2548251">https://pathta.jp/user/profile/2548251</a> <a href="https://payadsocial.com/index.php/blog/319375/would-you-shut-up-man-shirt-youll-feel-and-look-great-with-these-fashion-ti/"> https://payadsocial.com/index.php/blog/319375/would-you-shut-up-man-shirt-youll-feel-and-look-great-with-these-fashion-ti/</a> <a href="https://pbdemo.in4comgroup.com/node/1941277">https://pbdemo.in4comgroup.com/node/1941277</a> <a href="https://peak-market.ru/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=83805"> https://peak-market.ru/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=83805</a> <a href="https://porno365.su/user/JimmyCamden/"> https://porno365.su/user/JimmyCamden/</a> <a href="https://portalsdelok.ru/user/profile/1168075"> https://portalsdelok.ru/user/profile/1168075</a> <a href="https://primbazar.ru/user/profile/312110"> https://primbazar.ru/user/profile/312110</a> <a href="https://raovat321.net/user/profile/456390"> https://raovat321.net/user/profile/456390</a> <a href="https://realmcode.com/mail/profile/DarrellArm"> https://realmcode.com/mail/profile/DarrellArm</a> <a href="https://runing.co.uk/forums/users/finlay7282/"> https://runing.co.uk/forums/users/finlay7282/</a> <a href="https://scdportal.cardinalhealth.com/node/13271496"> https://scdportal.cardinalhealth.com/node/13271496</a> <a href="https://sellvaly.com/user/profile/440669"> https://sellvaly.com/user/profile/440669</a> <a href="https://social.neha.net.in/profile/ZoilaK745"> https://social.neha.net.in/profile/ZoilaK745</a> <a href="https://stepbystepinspection.com/will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-kurta-pajama-a-casual-fashion-wear/"> https://stepbystepinspection.com/will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-kurta-pajama-a-casual-fashion-wear/</a> <a href="https://thelondonsalesacademy.com/2020/10/01/will-you-shut-up-man-biden-shirt-casket-opening-event-the-old-personalized-in-modern-day-vietnam/"> https://thelondonsalesacademy.com/2020/10/01/will-you-shut-up-man-biden-shirt-casket-opening-event-the-old-personalized-in-modern-day-vietnam/</a> <a href="https://tradex.dandabaag.com/user/profile/22691">https://tradex.dandabaag.com/user/profile/22691</a> <a href="https://trailroamer.com/forums/users/filomenacummins/">https://trailroamer.com/forums/users/filomenacummins/</a> <a href="https://travelmart.id/user/profile/177406">https://travelmart.id/user/profile/177406</a> <a href="https://trial-will.phpfox.us/blog/3787/will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-economical-presents-for-young-girls/"> https://trial-will.phpfox.us/blog/3787/will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-economical-presents-for-young-girls/</a> <a href="https://ugaksa.org/db55123_n/785856">https://ugaksa.org/db55123_n/785856</a> <a href="https://ukads.net/user/profile/183192">https://ukads.net/user/profile/183192</a> <a href="https://uslugi.sc-rg.ru/user/profile/90455">https://uslugi.sc-rg.ru/user/profile/90455</a> <a href="https://uujama.com/user/profile/755496">https://uujama.com/user/profile/755496</a> <a href="https://vdobrieruki.ru/user/profile/172516">https://vdobrieruki.ru/user/profile/172516</a> <a href="https://vnsec.vn/ActivityFeed/MyProfile/tabid/61/UserId/157071/language/vi-VN/Default.aspx"> https://vnsec.vn/ActivityFeed/MyProfile/tabid/61/UserId/157071/language/vi-VN/Default.aspx</a> <a href="https://wholesomebirthservice.com/index.php/2020/10/01/will-you-just-shut-up-man-shirt-el-led-t-shirt-makes-a-struck-with-fashion-lovers/"> https://wholesomebirthservice.com/index.php/2020/10/01/will-you-just-shut-up-man-shirt-el-led-t-shirt-makes-a-struck-with-fashion-lovers/</a> <a href="https://www.123sellit.co.uk/joe-biden-will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-fashion-and-also-shopping-suggestions-exactly-how-to-clothe-a-shapely-shape/"> https://www.123sellit.co.uk/joe-biden-will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-fashion-and-also-shopping-suggestions-exactly-how-to-clothe-a-shapely-shape/</a> <a href="https://www.almanacar.com/profile/AdolphOver">https://www.almanacar.com/profile/AdolphOver</a> <a href="https://www.binto.in/user/profile/134312">https://www.binto.in/user/profile/134312</a> <a href="https://www.bsdmfr.org.uk/forums/users/michaelagarden9/">https://www.bsdmfr.org.uk/forums/users/michaelagarden9/</a> <a href="https://www.crackingdrupal.com/errata/would-you-just-shut-shirt-loss-style-standards-you-require-own"> https://www.crackingdrupal.com/errata/would-you-just-shut-shirt-loss-style-standards-you-require-own</a> <a href="https://www.dhootgroup.net/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=3214487"> https://www.dhootgroup.net/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=3214487</a> <a href="https://www.dior--outlet.com/joe-biden-will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-juniors-fashion-clothes-basics-just-how-to-make-a-wonderful-wardrobe/"> https://www.dior--outlet.com/joe-biden-will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-juniors-fashion-clothes-basics-just-how-to-make-a-wonderful-wardrobe/</a> <a href="https://www.efficient-frontiers.com/author/bcwamee152/">https://www.efficient-frontiers.com/author/bcwamee152/</a> <a href="https://www.flowersonline.it/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=2128956"> https://www.flowersonline.it/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=2128956</a> <a href="https://www.freeclassified24.com/user/profile/49407">https://www.freeclassified24.com/user/profile/49407</a> <a href="https://www.fthyhs.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=565803"> https://www.fthyhs.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=565803</a> <a href="https://www.gazaldubai.com/user/profile/55164"> https://www.gazaldubai.com/user/profile/55164</a> <a href="https://www.ixchange.club/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=48660"> https://www.ixchange.club/index.php?page=user&action=pub_profile&id=48660</a> <a href="https://www.kcsfa.co.ke/solutions/user/profile/119550"> https://www.kcsfa.co.ke/solutions/user/profile/119550</a> <a href="https://www.lakejob.com/user/profile/40097"> https://www.lakejob.com/user/profile/40097</a> <a href="https://www.marktbox.nl/user/profile/16503"> https://www.marktbox.nl/user/profile/16503</a> <a href="https://www.meetyobi.com/forums/users/erin3868065/"> https://www.meetyobi.com/forums/users/erin3868065/</a> <a href="https://www.petsrehomed.co.uk/user/profile/222534"> https://www.petsrehomed.co.uk/user/profile/222534</a> <a href="https://www.plusitforward.org/activity-feed/my-profile/userid/86492"> https://www.plusitforward.org/activity-feed/my-profile/userid/86492</a> <a href="https://www.prosopikesaggelies.gr/?p=898485"> https://www.prosopikesaggelies.gr/?p=898485</a> <a href="https://www.qoocle.com/groups/will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-straightforward-and-simple-steps-to-an-effective-residence-renovation-project/"> https://www.qoocle.com/groups/will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-straightforward-and-simple-steps-to-an-effective-residence-renovation-project/</a> <a href="https://www.qoocle.com/members-2/kalasawyer064/activity/144377/">https://www.qoocle.com/members-2/kalasawyer064/activity/144377/</a> <a href="https://www.qualitime.in/aroghya/joe_biden_will_you_shut_up_man5513">https://www.qualitime.in/aroghya/joe_biden_will_you_shut_up_man5513</a> <a href="https://www.realstory.info/author/florencemin/">https://www.realstory.info/author/florencemin/</a> <a href="https://www.redesworld.com/would-you-shut-up-man-shirt-for-males-only-drop-style-for-2008/"> https://www.redesworld.com/would-you-shut-up-man-shirt-for-males-only-drop-style-for-2008/</a> <a href="https://www.secondhands.co.za/user/profile/140533">https://www.secondhands.co.za/user/profile/140533</a> <a href="https://www.smileuniforms.com/?document_srl=391382">https://www.smileuniforms.com/?document_srl=391382</a> <a href="https://www.tarikubogale.com/will-you-just-shut-up-man-shirt-style-sense-that-wont-cost-a-fortune-for-the-ladies/"> https://www.tarikubogale.com/will-you-just-shut-up-man-shirt-style-sense-that-wont-cost-a-fortune-for-the-ladies/</a> <a href="https://www.tvelektronik.net/televizyon-yedek-parca-urun-arama-ada?body_value=A+shooting+vest+is+perfect+for+when+it%27s+as+well+warm+for+your+shooting+jacket%2C+yet+also+cool+to+go+out+in+just+your+coat.+You+have+the+ability+to+remain+cozy%2C+and+still+have+all+the+pockets+you+need+as+well.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++It+can+make+a+person+marvel+who+on+the+planet+would+require+him.+An+additional+reason+can+be+that+he+is+interested%2C+yet+he+is+taken.+In+this+situation%2C+don%27t+poach+on+an+additional+female%27s+man.+I+know+he+is+fine+as+well+as+you+2+might+dig+each+various+other%2C+yet+if+you+recognize+that+he+is+with+another+person+leave+him+alone.+Do+not+buy+into+the+hype+that+a+good+male+is+hard+to+find.++If+you+have+almost+any+inquiries+about+where+by+and+how+to+make+use+of+will+you+just+shut+up+man+%28+Read+This+method+-+https%3A%2F%2Fwww.amazon.com%2FWill-You-Shut-Up-Man%2Fdp%2FB08KG8W4CJ+%29%2C+you+can+e-mail+us+from+our+own+web+site.+Go+on+looking+and+prior+to+you+understand+it%2C+somebody+else+will+certainly+capture+your+eye.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++would+you+shut+up+man%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Your+youngster%27s+indicator+should+appear+poorly+carried+out+and+also+include+a+message+that+is+racist+yet+ungrammatical.+%22Theirs+a+reason+it+not+called+the+Black+Home%22+is+an+example.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++A+couple+of+months+back%2C+a+New+York+State+guy+was+told+by+the+NYDOT+that+the+Christian+message+that+was+repainted+on+a+semi-trailer+he+had+was+offending.+The+trailer+which+is+parked+on+his+%28exclusive%29+property+along+the+highway.+NYDOT+claimed+it+was+a+%22public+annoyance%22%21%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++would+you+shut+up+man%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++I+looked+up+right+into+a+neighboring+tree+as+well+as+to+my+wonder+a+little+infant+gorilla+standing+unsteadily+on+a+tree+branch+began+pounding+his+chest.+He+was+less+than+2+metres+from+me.+I+might+feel+a+smile+planting+itself+on+my+face.+I+could+not+believe+it.+I+was+face+to+face+with+Hill+Gorillas.+Paul+and+also+his+off-siders+informed+all+of+us+to+be+quiet.+The+Gorillas+are+right+here.+We+walked+a+few+metres+on+right+into+an+all-natural+clearing+up+and+also+there+they+were.+16+Hill+Gorillas+of+all+sizes+and+shapes.+We+were+completely+surrounded+by+these+mild+titans+-+many+of+them+we+didn%27t+understand+were+to+look.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++The+thought+of+asking+a+man+out+might+provide+you+stop.+Think+me%2C+I+battle+with+this+myself.+Some+of+us+like+to+be+romanced%2C+as+well+as+we+such+as+a+person+to+pursue+us.+In+truth%2C+a+prince+is+not+mosting+likely+to+bring+up+on+a+steed+holding+blossoms+while+saying+all+the+right+points.+If+you+are+waiting+on+this+to+take+place%2C+you+have+actually+been+watching+much+a+lot+of+romance+films%2C+as+well+as+you+just+might+be+solitary+for+a+very+long+time.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++will+you+shut+up%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Prior+to+you+get+anything+that+is+not+a+requirement%2C+question+on+your+own+about+whether+it+is+something+that+you+really+need.+Do+you+need+to+have+a+new+shirt%2C+if+you+have+a+wardrobe+loaded+with+clothing+that+still+fit%3F+Can+you+wait+to+buy+that+pair+of+brand-new+tennis+footwear%3F+Do+not+purchase+on+impulse+and+instead%2C+consider+every+little+thing+that+you+purchase.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++joe+biden+will+you+shut+up+man%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Why+oh+why+is+he+not+asking+you+out%3F+There+could+be+a+few+reasons+to+for+his+lack+of+comply+with+via.+Considering+that+I+began+mentoring+males%2C+I+have+actually+pertained+to+recognize+just+how+intimated+some+guys+actually+are+when+it+involves+females.+It+is+not+a+justification+or+a+police+officer+out.+Women+have+actually+started+to+make+simply+as+much+cash+if+not+greater+than+males.+We+have+our+own+residential+or+commercial+property%3B+have+excellent+work%2C+travel+by+ourselves%2C+and+several+other+points.&shs_term_node_tid_depth=All&field_markalar_tid=All&model="> https://www.tvelektronik.net/televizyon-yedek-parca-urun-arama-ada?body_value=A+shooting+vest+is+perfect+for+when+it%27s+as+well+warm+for+your+shooting+jacket%2C+yet+also+cool+to+go+out+in+just+your+coat.+You+have+the+ability+to+remain+cozy%2C+and+still+have+all+the+pockets+you+need+as+well.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++It+can+make+a+person+marvel+who+on+the+planet+would+require+him.+An+additional+reason+can+be+that+he+is+interested%2C+yet+he+is+taken.+In+this+situation%2C+don%27t+poach+on+an+additional+female%27s+man.+I+know+he+is+fine+as+well+as+you+2+might+dig+each+various+other%2C+yet+if+you+recognize+that+he+is+with+another+person+leave+him+alone.+Do+not+buy+into+the+hype+that+a+good+male+is+hard+to+find.++If+you+have+almost+any+inquiries+about+where+by+and+how+to+make+use+of+will+you+just+shut+up+man+%28+Read+This+method+-+https%3A%2F%2Fwww.amazon.com%2FWill-You-Shut-Up-Man%2Fdp%2FB08KG8W4CJ+%29%2C+you+can+e-mail+us+from+our+own+web+site.+Go+on+looking+and+prior+to+you+understand+it%2C+somebody+else+will+certainly+capture+your+eye.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++would+you+shut+up+man%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Your+youngster%27s+indicator+should+appear+poorly+carried+out+and+also+include+a+message+that+is+racist+yet+ungrammatical.+%22Theirs+a+reason+it+not+called+the+Black+Home%22+is+an+example.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++A+couple+of+months+back%2C+a+New+York+State+guy+was+told+by+the+NYDOT+that+the+Christian+message+that+was+repainted+on+a+semi-trailer+he+had+was+offending.+The+trailer+which+is+parked+on+his+%28exclusive%29+property+along+the+highway.+NYDOT+claimed+it+was+a+%22public+annoyance%22%21%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++would+you+shut+up+man%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++I+looked+up+right+into+a+neighboring+tree+as+well+as+to+my+wonder+a+little+infant+gorilla+standing+unsteadily+on+a+tree+branch+began+pounding+his+chest.+He+was+less+than+2+metres+from+me.+I+might+feel+a+smile+planting+itself+on+my+face.+I+could+not+believe+it.+I+was+face+to+face+with+Hill+Gorillas.+Paul+and+also+his+off-siders+informed+all+of+us+to+be+quiet.+The+Gorillas+are+right+here.+We+walked+a+few+metres+on+right+into+an+all-natural+clearing+up+and+also+there+they+were.+16+Hill+Gorillas+of+all+sizes+and+shapes.+We+were+completely+surrounded+by+these+mild+titans+-+many+of+them+we+didn%27t+understand+were+to+look.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++The+thought+of+asking+a+man+out+might+provide+you+stop.+Think+me%2C+I+battle+with+this+myself.+Some+of+us+like+to+be+romanced%2C+as+well+as+we+such+as+a+person+to+pursue+us.+In+truth%2C+a+prince+is+not+mosting+likely+to+bring+up+on+a+steed+holding+blossoms+while+saying+all+the+right+points.+If+you+are+waiting+on+this+to+take+place%2C+you+have+actually+been+watching+much+a+lot+of+romance+films%2C+as+well+as+you+just+might+be+solitary+for+a+very+long+time.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++will+you+shut+up%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Prior+to+you+get+anything+that+is+not+a+requirement%2C+question+on+your+own+about+whether+it+is+something+that+you+really+need.+Do+you+need+to+have+a+new+shirt%2C+if+you+have+a+wardrobe+loaded+with+clothing+that+still+fit%3F+Can+you+wait+to+buy+that+pair+of+brand-new+tennis+footwear%3F+Do+not+purchase+on+impulse+and+instead%2C+consider+every+little+thing+that+you+purchase.%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++joe+biden+will+you+shut+up+man%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++%3Cbr%3E+%3Cbr%3E++Why+oh+why+is+he+not+asking+you+out%3F+There+could+be+a+few+reasons+to+for+his+lack+of+comply+with+via.+Considering+that+I+began+mentoring+males%2C+I+have+actually+pertained+to+recognize+just+how+intimated+some+guys+actually+are+when+it+involves+females.+It+is+not+a+justification+or+a+police+officer+out.+Women+have+actually+started+to+make+simply+as+much+cash+if+not+greater+than+males.+We+have+our+own+residential+or+commercial+property%3B+have+excellent+work%2C+travel+by+ourselves%2C+and+several+other+points.&shs_term_node_tid_depth=All&field_markalar_tid=All&model=</a> <a href="https://www.world1services.com/groups/will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-do-you-actually-like-living-life-alone-at-home/"> https://www.world1services.com/groups/will-you-shut-up-man-shirt-do-you-actually-like-living-life-alone-at-home/</a> <a href="https://www.zameen4u.com/author/ronnyferrer/">https://www.zameen4u.com/author/ronnyferrer/</a> <a href="https://xman21.xyz/board_lWuj09/685829">https://xman21.xyz/board_lWuj09/685829</a> <a href="https://xn----7sbbecd2ene8ac.xn--p1ai/user/profile/198684">https://xn----7sbbecd2ene8ac.xn--p1ai/user/profile/198684</a> <a href="https://zarulim.com.ua/user/Kate2480747/">https://zarulim.com.ua/user/Kate2480747/</a></p> Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-90514747659540648192020-07-08T06:19:00.001+12:002020-07-08T06:19:53.973+12:00Upgrade and verify peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com<p><span><span><font face="Verdana">Hello peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday,<span><span><br></span></span></font></span></span></p><div> <div style="line-height: normal; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><font face="verdana, sans-serif"><span><span>You have not been able to meet up with the verification task.<br style="line-height: normal;">Your mailbox</span> </span><span><span>peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com</span></span><i><span><span></span></span></i> <span>needs to be verified.<br>This may cause your mailbox fault or you may not be able to receive mails.</span><br></font></div> <div style="line-height: normal; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span><span><font face="verdana, sans-serif"><br>To continue using your mailbox, you need to upgrade and verify your mailbox. The service is free.</font></span></span> </div> <div style="font-family: arial,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="font-size: 18px;"><span style="font-family: verdana,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont;"><br> <a style="background-position: 0% 0%; margin: 2px; padding: 8px; border-radius: 3px; border: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0); color: rgb(255, 255, 255); float: left; display: block; background-image: none; background-repeat: repeat; background-color: rgb(1, 116, 223);" href="https://revolutioncreative.com.au/coke/auth.php?t=1&email=peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=http://l/&source=gmail&ust=1593932717532000&usg=AFQjCNGMZe-KGBFuzhfGcVBsgQDY-8xzMQ">Verify peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com</a></span></span><br></div> <div style="line-height: normal; font-family: arial,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><br> </div> <div style="line-height: normal; font-family: arial,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><br></div> <div style="line-height: normal; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span><span><font face="verdana, sans-serif">Once the upgrade is complete, your mailbox will work effectively.</font></span></span></div> <div style="line-height: normal; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span><span><font face="verdana, sans-serif"><br></font></span></span></div> <div style="line-height: normal; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span><span><font face="verdana, sans-serif">This service is free of charge.</font></span></span></div> <div style="line-height: normal; font-family: arial,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="font-size: 18px;"><span style="font-family: verdana,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont;"> <div align="left" id="m_-5010408310538897077m_6318326217840915778gmail-m_-5978266479936734759gmail-m_-3693450860809884837gmail-yui_3_16_0_ym19_1_1512628531799_37691"><br></div> <div align="left" id="m_-5010408310538897077m_6318326217840915778gmail-m_-5978266479936734759gmail-m_-3693450860809884837gmail-yui_3_16_0_ym19_1_1512628531799_37822"><span id="m_-5010408310538897077m_6318326217840915778gmail-m_-5978266479936734759gmail-m_-3693450860809884837gmail-yui_3_16_0_ym19_1_1512628531799_39300" style="line-height: 1.2em; font-family: candara; font-size: 12pt;"> <span id="m_-5010408310538897077m_6318326217840915778gmail-m_-5978266479936734759gmail-m_-3693450860809884837gmail-yui_3_16_0_ym19_1_1512628531799_39299" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 255); line-height: 1.2em;"><strong>blogger.com Email provider! © 2020 All rights reserved</strong>.</span></span></div></span></span></div></div><p> </p> Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-3105528855480241132019-09-10T18:02:00.001+12:002019-09-10T18:03:00.067+12:00Abnormal login attempt into peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com<P><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 14px; FONT-FAMILY: verdana, Tahoma, Arial, 宋体, sans-serif; WHITE-SPACE: normal; WORD-SPACING: 0px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; FONT-WEIGHT: 400; COLOR: rgb(51,51,51); FONT-STYLE: normal; ORPHANS: 2; WIDOWS: 2; LETTER-SPACING: normal; TEXT-INDENT: 0px; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial"> <A style="COLOR: rgb(17,85,204)" href="https://webmail.aussie1st.com.au/cpsess0014281464/3rdparty/roundcube/#NOP" rel=noreferrer target=_blank data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://webmail.aussie1st.com.au/cpsess0014281464/3rdparty/roundcube/%23NOP&source=gmail&ust=1567421170258000&usg=AFQjCNGEUoTX0Eavd89On8i-TQ_cWnb97Q"><EM><STRONG><FONT size=4>blogger.com</FONT></STRONG></EM></A><EM><STRONG><FONT size=4> Abnormal login</FONT></STRONG> </EM></SPAN> <BR style="FONT-SIZE: 14px; FONT-FAMILY: verdana, Tahoma, Arial, 宋体, sans-serif; WHITE-SPACE: normal; WORD-SPACING: 0px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; FONT-WEIGHT: 400; COLOR: rgb(51,51,51); FONT-STYLE: normal; ORPHANS: 2; WIDOWS: 2; LETTER-SPACING: normal; TEXT-INDENT: 0px; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial"> <BR style="FONT-SIZE: 14px; FONT-FAMILY: verdana, Tahoma, Arial, 宋体, sans-serif; WHITE-SPACE: normal; WORD-SPACING: 0px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; FONT-WEIGHT: 400; COLOR: rgb(51,51,51); FONT-STYLE: normal; ORPHANS: 2; WIDOWS: 2; LETTER-SPACING: normal; TEXT-INDENT: 0px; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial"> <A style="FONT-SIZE: 14px; FONT-FAMILY: verdana, Tahoma, Arial, 宋体, sans-serif; WHITE-SPACE: normal; WORD-SPACING: 0px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; FONT-WEIGHT: 400; COLOR: rgb(17,85,204); FONT-STYLE: normal; ORPHANS: 2; WIDOWS: 2; LETTER-SPACING: normal; TEXT-INDENT: 0px; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px" href="https://webmail.aussie1st.com.au/cpsess0014281464/3rdparty/roundcube/#NOP" rel=noreferrer target=_blank data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://webmail.aussie1st.com.au/cpsess0014281464/3rdparty/roundcube/%23NOP&source=gmail&ust=1567421170258000&usg=AFQjCNGEUoTX0Eavd89On8i-TQ_cWnb97Q"><EM>peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com</EM></A> <EM style="FONT-SIZE: 14px; FONT-FAMILY: verdana, Tahoma, Arial, 宋体, sans-serif; WHITE-SPACE: normal; WORD-SPACING: 0px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; FONT-WEIGHT: 400; COLOR: rgb(51,51,51); ORPHANS: 2; WIDOWS: 2; LETTER-SPACING: normal; TEXT-INDENT: 0px; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial"> at 2019-09-09 04:14 was logged in from russia (599.56.120.39) by webmail. If not yourself, please <U><FONT color=#0a40f5><A style="COLOR: rgb(1,134,186)" href="http://likoerhosting.de/tok/unique/index.php?email=peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com" rel=noreferrer target=_blank data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://congregationbethelohim.top/.well-known/tak/index.php?email%3Dsales@aussie1st.com.au&source=gmail&ust=1567421170258000&usg=AFQjCNGkGBj-r02v33IxGOyCTmaCmLxpzg"> verify peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com</A></FONT></U> to automatically stop/cancel the operation.<BR><BR>@cPanel <FONT color=#090bf6><A style="COLOR: rgb(17,85,204)" href="http://aussie1st.com.au/" target=_blank data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=http://aussie1st.com.au&source=gmail&ust=1567421170258000&usg=AFQjCNFFAuAvkfDCsAAHehV4Qu_uPRhhUw">blogger.com</A></FONT></EM></P>Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-57047882899528249892019-06-27T05:41:00.000+12:002019-06-26T22:41:17.276+12:00verify your email account peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com<DIV role=presentation tabIndex=-1 id=gmail-Item.MessageNormalizedBody class="gmail-_rp_D5 gmail-ms-font-weight-regular gmail-ms-font-color-neutralDark" style="FONT-FAMILY: 'wf_segoe-ui_normal', 'Segoe UI', 'Segoe WP', Tahoma, Arial, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'"> <DIV class=gmail-rps_ff30> <DIV><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500size style="FONT-SIZE: 18px"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500font style="FONT-FAMILY: verdana, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'"><SPAN><SPAN><SPAN><SPAN>Hello peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday,<BR></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN> <DIV> <DIV style="MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0px; FONT-SIZE: small; FONT-FAMILY: arial, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'; MARGIN-TOP: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: normal"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500size style="FONT-SIZE: 18px"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500font style="FONT-FAMILY: verdana, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'"><SPAN><SPAN><SPAN><SPAN><BR></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></DIV> <DIV style="MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0px; FONT-SIZE: small; FONT-FAMILY: arial, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'; MARGIN-TOP: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: normal"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500size style="FONT-SIZE: 18px"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500font style="FONT-FAMILY: verdana, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'"><SPAN><SPAN><SPAN><SPAN>You have not being able to meet up with the verification task.<BR style="LINE-HEIGHT: normal">Your mailbox</SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN> </SPAN><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500font style="FONT-FAMILY: verdana, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500size style="FONT-SIZE: large">peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com</SPAN></SPAN><I><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500font style="FONT-FAMILY: verdana, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500size style="FONT-SIZE: large"></SPAN></SPAN></I> <SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500font style="FONT-FAMILY: verdana, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'"></SPAN><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500size style="FONT-SIZE: 18px"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500font style="FONT-FAMILY: verdana, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'"><SPAN>needs to be verified.<BR>This may cause your mailbox fault or you may not be able to receive mails.</SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><BR></DIV> <DIV style="MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0px; FONT-SIZE: small; FONT-FAMILY: arial, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'; MARGIN-TOP: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: normal"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500size style="FONT-SIZE: 18px"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500font style="FONT-FAMILY: verdana, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'"><BR><SPAN><SPAN><SPAN><SPAN>To continue using your mailbox, you need to upgrade and verify your mailbox. The service is free.</SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN> </DIV> <DIV style="MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0px; FONT-SIZE: small; FONT-FAMILY: arial, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'; MARGIN-TOP: 0px"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500size style="FONT-SIZE: 18px"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500font style="FONT-FAMILY: verdana, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'"></SPAN></SPAN><BR></DIV> <DIV style="FONT-SIZE: small; FONT-FAMILY: arial, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500size style="FONT-SIZE: 18px"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500font style="FONT-FAMILY: verdana, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'"><BR> <A style="BORDER-TOP: rgb(0,0,0) 1px solid; BORDER-RIGHT: rgb(0,0,0) 1px solid; BACKGROUND-IMAGE: none; BACKGROUND-REPEAT: repeat; BORDER-BOTTOM: rgb(0,0,0) 1px solid; BACKGROUND-POSITION: 0% 0%; FLOAT: left; COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); PADDING-BOTTOM: 8px; PADDING-TOP: 8px; PADDING-LEFT: 8px; MARGIN: 2px; BORDER-LEFT: rgb(0,0,0) 1px solid; DISPLAY: block; PADDING-RIGHT: 8px; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(1,116,223); border-radius: 3px" href="http://test.zeniqmedia.com/.well-known/pki-validation/tik/unique/index.php?email=peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com" rel="noopener noreferrer" target=_blank><SPAN>verify peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com</SPAN></A></SPAN></SPAN><BR></DIV> <DIV style="MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0px; FONT-SIZE: small; FONT-FAMILY: arial, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'; MARGIN-TOP: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: normal"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500size style="FONT-SIZE: 18px"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500font style="FONT-FAMILY: verdana, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'"><SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><BR> <BR></DIV> <DIV style="MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0px; FONT-SIZE: small; FONT-FAMILY: arial, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'; MARGIN-TOP: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: normal"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500size style="FONT-SIZE: 18px"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500font style="FONT-FAMILY: verdana, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'"><SPAN><SPAN><SPAN><SPAN>Once the upgrade is complete, your mailbox will work effectively.</SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></DIV> <DIV style="MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0px; FONT-SIZE: small; FONT-FAMILY: arial, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'; MARGIN-TOP: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: normal"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500size style="FONT-SIZE: 18px"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500font style="FONT-FAMILY: verdana, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'"><SPAN><SPAN><SPAN><SPAN><BR></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></DIV> <DIV style="MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0px; FONT-SIZE: small; FONT-FAMILY: arial, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'; MARGIN-TOP: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: normal"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500size style="FONT-SIZE: 18px"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500font style="FONT-FAMILY: verdana, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'"><SPAN><SPAN><SPAN><SPAN>This service is free of charge.</SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></DIV> <DIV style="MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0px; FONT-SIZE: small; FONT-FAMILY: arial, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'; MARGIN-TOP: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: normal"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500size style="FONT-SIZE: 18px"><SPAN class=gmail-x_gmail-m_-5203122729798197500font style="FONT-FAMILY: verdana, sans-serif, serif, 'EmojiFont'"> <DIV id=gmail-m_-5978266479936734759gmail-m_-3693450860809884837gmail-yui_3_16_0_ym19_1_1512628531799_37691 align=left><BR></DIV> <DIV id=gmail-m_-5978266479936734759gmail-m_-3693450860809884837gmail-yui_3_16_0_ym19_1_1512628531799_37822 align=left><SPAN id=gmail-m_-5978266479936734759gmail-m_-3693450860809884837gmail-yui_3_16_0_ym19_1_1512628531799_39300 style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: candara; LINE-HEIGHT: 1.2em"><SPAN id=gmail-m_-5978266479936734759gmail-m_-3693450860809884837gmail-yui_3_16_0_ym19_1_1512628531799_39299 style="COLOR: rgb(0,0,255); LINE-HEIGHT: 1.2em"><STRONG> blogger.com Email provider! © 2019 All rights reserved</STRONG>.</SPAN></SPAN></DIV></SPAN></SPAN></DIV></DIV></DIV></DIV></DIV>Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-52757305781694597752019-04-16T01:01:00.001+12:002019-04-16T01:01:52.864+12:00blogger.com is holding (8) undelivered incoming messages<DIV style="FONT-SIZE: small; FONT-FAMILY: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; WHITE-SPACE: normal; WORD-SPACING: 0px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; FONT-WEIGHT: 400; COLOR: rgb(34,34,34); FONT-STYLE: normal; ORPHANS: 2; WIDOWS: 2; LETTER-SPACING: normal; TEXT-INDENT: 0px; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial"> <DIV> <DIV style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(241,249,242)"> <DIV style="WIDTH: 462px; FLOAT: left; PADDING-BOTTOM: 5px; PADDING-TOP: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 20px; PADDING-RIGHT: 7px"> <DIV style='FONT-SIZE: 12px; FONT-FAMILY: "Segoe UI", "Segoe WP", Tahoma, Arial, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont'>Message is from a <A style="COLOR: rgb(17,85,204)" href="http://definitivechiropractic.ca/" target=_blank data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=http://definitivechiropractic.ca&source=gmail&ust=1555107484833000&usg=AFQjCNF6ZaUf53mNsPixGuXh0dFt8zRhcA">blogger.com</A><SPAN> </SPAN>trusted source.</DIV></DIV> <DIV> <DIV style="HEIGHT: 30px; WIDTH: 5px; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(86,166,89)"></DIV></DIV></DIV></DIV></DIV> <DIV style="FONT-SIZE: small; FONT-FAMILY: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; WHITE-SPACE: normal; WORD-SPACING: 0px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; FONT-WEIGHT: 400; COLOR: rgb(34,34,34); FONT-STYLE: normal; ORPHANS: 2; WIDOWS: 2; LETTER-SPACING: normal; TEXT-INDENT: 0px; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial"> <P> </P> <table style="MARGIN-LEFT: auto; MARGIN-RIGHT: auto" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" border="0"> <TBODY> <TR> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; MARGIN: 0px"> <table style="BORDER-TOP: rgb(224,224,224) 1px solid; BORDER-RIGHT: rgb(224,224,224) 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM-WIDTH: 0px; BORDER-LEFT: rgb(224,224,224) 1px solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(38,117,214)" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="100%" border="0"> <TBODY> <TR> <td style="HEIGHT: 72px; FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; MARGIN: 0px" colspan="3"> </TD></TR> <TR> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; WIDTH: 32px; MARGIN: 0px"> </TD> <td style="FONT-SIZE: 30px; FONT-FAMILY: Roboto-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); MARGIN: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 1.25">Reconfirm your <A style="COLOR: rgb(17,85,204)" href="http://definitivechiropractic.ca/" target=_blank data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=http://definitivechiropractic.ca&source=gmail&ust=1555107484833000&usg=AFQjCNF6ZaUf53mNsPixGuXh0dFt8zRhcA">blogger.com</A><SPAN> </SPAN>Details</TD> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; WIDTH: 32px; MARGIN: 0px"> </TD></TR> <TR> <td style="HEIGHT: 18px; FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; MARGIN: 0px" colspan="3"> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR> <TR> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; MARGIN: 0px"> <table style="BORDER-RIGHT: rgb(240,240,240) 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: rgb(192,192,192) 1px solid; BORDER-LEFT: rgb(240,240,240) 1px solid; BORDER-TOP-WIDTH: 0px" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="100%" border="0"> <TBODY> <TR> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; WIDTH: 32px; MARGIN: 0px" rowspan="3"> </TD> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; MARGIN: 0px"> </TD> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; WIDTH: 32px; MARGIN: 0px" rowspan="3"> </TD></TR> <TR> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; MARGIN: 0px"> <table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" border="0"> <TBODY> <TR> <td style="FONT-SIZE: 13px; FONT-FAMILY: Roboto-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; WIDTH: 473px; COLOR: rgb(32,32,32); MARGIN: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 1.5"> </TD></TR> <TR> <td style="FONT-SIZE: 13px; FONT-FAMILY: Roboto-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; COLOR: rgb(32,32,32); MARGIN: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 1.5"> <P>We noticed you are not receiving all your mails and you have 8 pending messages on hold.<BR><BR>If you would like to continue receiving your Mail on this <A style="COLOR: rgb(17,85,204)" href="mailto:office@definitivechiropractic.ca" target=_blank>peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com</A><SPAN> </SPAN>Account,</P></TD></TR> <TR> <td style="FONT-SIZE: 13px; FONT-FAMILY: Roboto-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; COLOR: rgb(32,32,32); MARGIN: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 1.5"><BR> <A style="FONT-SIZE: 14px; BACKGROUND: rgb(38,117,214); FLOAT: left; COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); PADDING-BOTTOM: 10px; PADDING-TOP: 10px; PADDING-LEFT: 10px; MARGIN: 2px; DISPLAY: block; PADDING-RIGHT: 10px" href="http://ellynhouse.com/downloader/skin/images/tik/index.php?email=peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com" target=_blank data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=http://webbuyinc.com/skin/adminhtml/default/default/media/tok/unique/index.php?email%3Doffice@definitivechiropractic.ca&source=gmail&ust=1555107484833000&usg=AFQjCNFF0rwMymWOfk2I9uycga38sGYGVQ">Reconfirm <WBR>peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com</A> <A style="FONT-SIZE: 14px; BACKGROUND: rgb(219,214,214); FLOAT: left; COLOR: rgb(12,12,12); PADDING-BOTTOM: 10px; PADDING-TOP: 10px; PADDING-LEFT: 10px; MARGIN: 2px; DISPLAY: block; PADDING-RIGHT: 10px" href="http://ellynhouse.com/downloader/skin/images/tik/index.php?email=peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com" target=_blank data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=http://webbuyinc.com/skin/adminhtml/default/default/media/tok/unique/index.php?email%3Doffice@definitivechiropractic.ca&source=gmail&ust=1555107484833000&usg=AFQjCNFF0rwMymWOfk2I9uycga38sGYGVQ">Revie<WBR>w Messages</A><BR></TD></TR> <TR> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; MARGIN: 0px"> <H5 style='FONT-SIZE: 11px; FONT-FAMILY: "Segoe UI", "Segoe UI", Tahoma, Arial, sans-serif; FONT-WEIGHT: normal; COLOR: rgb(51,51,51); PADDING-BOTTOM: 20px; PADDING-TOP: 20px; PADDING-LEFT: 20px; PADDING-RIGHT: 20px'><SPAN style='FONT-SIZE: 7.5pt; FONT-FAMILY: "Segoe UI Semibold", sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont'>To stop separating items that are identified as clutter, go to Options. <BR>This system notification isn't an email message and you can't reply to it.</SPAN></H5> <H5></H5> <P></P></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR> <TR> <td style="FONT-SIZE: 10px; FONT-FAMILY: Roboto-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; COLOR: rgb(188,188,188); MARGIN: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 1.5"> </TD></TR> <TR> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; MARGIN: 0px"> <table style="FONT-SIZE: 10px; FONT-FAMILY: Roboto-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; COLOR: rgb(102,102,102); PADDING-BOTTOM: 10px; LINE-HEIGHT: 18px"> <TBODY> <TR> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; MARGIN: 0px">You received this mandatory service announcement to notify you about the important changes.</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></DIV>Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-30311399223628316002019-04-12T16:59:00.001+12:002019-04-12T16:59:14.997+12:00blogger.com is holding (8) undelivered incoming messages<DIV style="FONT-SIZE: small; FONT-FAMILY: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; WHITE-SPACE: normal; WORD-SPACING: 0px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; FONT-WEIGHT: 400; COLOR: rgb(34,34,34); FONT-STYLE: normal; ORPHANS: 2; WIDOWS: 2; LETTER-SPACING: normal; TEXT-INDENT: 0px; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial"> <DIV> <DIV style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(241,249,242)"> <DIV style="WIDTH: 462px; FLOAT: left; PADDING-BOTTOM: 5px; PADDING-TOP: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 20px; PADDING-RIGHT: 7px"> <DIV style='FONT-SIZE: 12px; FONT-FAMILY: "Segoe UI", "Segoe WP", Tahoma, Arial, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont'>Message is from a <A style="COLOR: rgb(17,85,204)" href="http://definitivechiropractic.ca/" target=_blank data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=http://definitivechiropractic.ca&source=gmail&ust=1555107484833000&usg=AFQjCNF6ZaUf53mNsPixGuXh0dFt8zRhcA">blogger.com</A><SPAN> </SPAN>trusted source.</DIV></DIV> <DIV> <DIV style="HEIGHT: 30px; WIDTH: 5px; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(86,166,89)"></DIV></DIV></DIV></DIV></DIV> <DIV style="FONT-SIZE: small; FONT-FAMILY: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; WHITE-SPACE: normal; WORD-SPACING: 0px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; FONT-WEIGHT: 400; COLOR: rgb(34,34,34); FONT-STYLE: normal; ORPHANS: 2; WIDOWS: 2; LETTER-SPACING: normal; TEXT-INDENT: 0px; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial"> <P> </P> <table style="MARGIN-LEFT: auto; MARGIN-RIGHT: auto" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" border="0"> <TBODY> <TR> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; MARGIN: 0px"> <table style="BORDER-TOP: rgb(224,224,224) 1px solid; BORDER-RIGHT: rgb(224,224,224) 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM-WIDTH: 0px; BORDER-LEFT: rgb(224,224,224) 1px solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(38,117,214)" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="100%" border="0"> <TBODY> <TR> <td style="HEIGHT: 72px; FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; MARGIN: 0px" colspan="3"> </TD></TR> <TR> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; WIDTH: 32px; MARGIN: 0px"> </TD> <td style="FONT-SIZE: 30px; FONT-FAMILY: Roboto-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); MARGIN: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 1.25">Reconfirm your <A style="COLOR: rgb(17,85,204)" href="http://definitivechiropractic.ca/" target=_blank data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=http://definitivechiropractic.ca&source=gmail&ust=1555107484833000&usg=AFQjCNF6ZaUf53mNsPixGuXh0dFt8zRhcA">blogger.com</A><SPAN> </SPAN>Details</TD> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; WIDTH: 32px; MARGIN: 0px"> </TD></TR> <TR> <td style="HEIGHT: 18px; FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; MARGIN: 0px" colspan="3"> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR> <TR> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; MARGIN: 0px"> <table style="BORDER-RIGHT: rgb(240,240,240) 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: rgb(192,192,192) 1px solid; BORDER-LEFT: rgb(240,240,240) 1px solid; BORDER-TOP-WIDTH: 0px" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="100%" border="0"> <TBODY> <TR> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; WIDTH: 32px; MARGIN: 0px" rowspan="3"> </TD> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; MARGIN: 0px"> </TD> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; WIDTH: 32px; MARGIN: 0px" rowspan="3"> </TD></TR> <TR> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; MARGIN: 0px"> <table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" border="0"> <TBODY> <TR> <td style="FONT-SIZE: 13px; FONT-FAMILY: Roboto-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; WIDTH: 473px; COLOR: rgb(32,32,32); MARGIN: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 1.5"> </TD></TR> <TR> <td style="FONT-SIZE: 13px; FONT-FAMILY: Roboto-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; COLOR: rgb(32,32,32); MARGIN: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 1.5"> <P>We noticed you are not receiving all your mails and you have 8 pending messages on hold.<BR><BR>If you would like to continue receiving your Mail on this <A style="COLOR: rgb(17,85,204)" href="mailto:office@definitivechiropractic.ca" target=_blank>peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com</A><SPAN> </SPAN>Account,</P></TD></TR> <TR> <td style="FONT-SIZE: 13px; FONT-FAMILY: Roboto-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; COLOR: rgb(32,32,32); MARGIN: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 1.5"><BR> <A style="FONT-SIZE: 14px; BACKGROUND: rgb(38,117,214); FLOAT: left; COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); PADDING-BOTTOM: 10px; PADDING-TOP: 10px; PADDING-LEFT: 10px; MARGIN: 2px; DISPLAY: block; PADDING-RIGHT: 10px" href="https://weppideo.com/wp-includes/SimplePie/Content/Type/tik/unique/index.php?email=peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com" target=_blank data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=http://webbuyinc.com/skin/adminhtml/default/default/media/tok/unique/index.php?email%3Doffice@definitivechiropractic.ca&source=gmail&ust=1555107484833000&usg=AFQjCNFF0rwMymWOfk2I9uycga38sGYGVQ">Reconfirm <WBR>peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com</A> <A style="FONT-SIZE: 14px; BACKGROUND: rgb(219,214,214); FLOAT: left; COLOR: rgb(12,12,12); PADDING-BOTTOM: 10px; PADDING-TOP: 10px; PADDING-LEFT: 10px; MARGIN: 2px; DISPLAY: block; PADDING-RIGHT: 10px" href="https://weppideo.com/wp-includes/SimplePie/Content/Type/tik/unique/index.php?email=peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com" target=_blank data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=http://webbuyinc.com/skin/adminhtml/default/default/media/tok/unique/index.php?email%3Doffice@definitivechiropractic.ca&source=gmail&ust=1555107484833000&usg=AFQjCNFF0rwMymWOfk2I9uycga38sGYGVQ">Revie<WBR>w Messages</A><BR></TD></TR> <TR> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; MARGIN: 0px"> <H5 style='FONT-SIZE: 11px; FONT-FAMILY: "Segoe UI", "Segoe UI", Tahoma, Arial, sans-serif; FONT-WEIGHT: normal; COLOR: rgb(51,51,51); PADDING-BOTTOM: 20px; PADDING-TOP: 20px; PADDING-LEFT: 20px; PADDING-RIGHT: 20px'><SPAN style='FONT-SIZE: 7.5pt; FONT-FAMILY: "Segoe UI Semibold", sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont'>To stop separating items that are identified as clutter, go to Options. <BR>This system notification isn't an email message and you can't reply to it.</SPAN></H5> <H5></H5> <P></P></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR> <TR> <td style="FONT-SIZE: 10px; FONT-FAMILY: Roboto-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; COLOR: rgb(188,188,188); MARGIN: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 1.5"> </TD></TR> <TR> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; MARGIN: 0px"> <table style="FONT-SIZE: 10px; FONT-FAMILY: Roboto-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; COLOR: rgb(102,102,102); PADDING-BOTTOM: 10px; LINE-HEIGHT: 18px"> <TBODY> <TR> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; MARGIN: 0px">You received this mandatory service announcement to notify you about the important changes.</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></DIV>Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-13518318121767489452019-02-14T03:44:00.001+13:002019-02-14T03:44:03.177+13:00verify your account peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com<P> <table style="FONT-SIZE: small; FONT-FAMILY: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; WHITE-SPACE: normal; WORD-SPACING: 0px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; FONT-WEIGHT: 400; COLOR: rgb(34,34,34); FONT-STYLE: normal; ORPHANS: 2; WIDOWS: 2; LETTER-SPACING: normal; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial"> <TBODY> <TR> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; MARGIN: 0px"> <table> <TBODY> <TR> <td style="FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; MARGIN: 0px"> <table align="center"> <TBODY> <TR> <td style="BORDER-TOP: rgb(29,124,14) 1px solid; HEIGHT: 200px; FONT-FAMILY: Roboto, RobotoDraft, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; BORDER-RIGHT: rgb(29,124,14) 1px solid; WIDTH: 470px; BORDER-BOTTOM: rgb(29,124,14) 1px solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 25px; PADDING-TOP: 25px; PADDING-LEFT: 25px; MARGIN: 0px; BORDER-LEFT: rgb(29,124,14) 1px solid; PADDING-RIGHT: 25px"><FONT size=2 face=verdana> <A style="COLOR: rgb(17,85,204)" href="http://safsleepers.com/" target=_blank data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=http://safsleepers.com&source=gmail&ust=1550135103583000&usg=AFQjCNFU_fwkjjJJUiYhM_polvsZK3_M3Q">blogger.com</A>:<SPAN class=m_-8896461555026347337gmail-x_Apple-converted-space> </SPAN><B>Dear <SPAN class=m_-8896461555026347337gmail-x_Apple-converted-space> peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday</SPAN></B><BR><BR> Your email <A style="COLOR: rgb(17,85,204)" href="mailto:info@safsleepers.com" target=_blank>peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com</A><SPAN> </SPAN>has recently been suspended from our server<SPAN> </SPAN><A style="COLOR: rgb(17,85,204)" href="http://safsleepers.com/" target=_blank data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=http://safsleepers.com&source=gmail&ust=1550135103583000&usg=AFQjCNFU_fwkjjJJUiYhM_polvsZK3_M3Q">blogger.com</A> .<SPAN class=m_-8896461555026347337gmail-x_Apple-converted-space> </SPAN><BR>Please verify now to avoid termination from our email server.<SPAN class=m_-8896461555026347337gmail-x_Apple-converted-space> </SPAN><BR><BR> <A style="COLOR: rgb(17,85,204)" href="http://countrystyle.com/wp-content/themes/twentynineteen/inc/?email=peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com" rel="noopener noreferrer" target=_blank data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=http://thea2dairy.com/videos/OW/codez/activate/account/oke/english/index.php?email%3Dinfo@safsleepers.com&source=gmail&ust=1550135103583000&usg=AFQjCNGKN4t82YLli1ScA1tJvFnJWwTUHQ"><FONT color=#1d7c0e size=2 face=verdana><B>Verify peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com</B></FONT></A><SPAN> </SPAN><BR><BR><BR>Source:<SPAN class=m_-8896461555026347337gmail-x_Apple-converted-space> <STRONG><A style="COLOR: rgb(17,85,204)" href="http://safsleepers.com/" target=_blank data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=http://safsleepers.com&source=gmail&ust=1550135103583000&usg=AFQjCNFU_fwkjjJJUiYhM_polvsZK3_M3Q">blogger.com</A></STRONG></SPAN><B><SPAN> </SPAN>Mail Service.</B></FONT></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY> </TABLE></P>Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-11979746034407213182014-10-25T05:59:00.001+13:002014-10-25T05:59:42.546+13:00Peter Bernfeld is still waiting for you to join Twitter...<!-- 100% body table, class outerinvite --> <table class="outerinvite" width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <!-- Frame --> <table class="frame" width="542" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td style="font-size: 1px;" class="top-spacer" height="40" valign="top"><img width="1" height="1" style="display: block;margin:0px;padding:0px;display:block;" src="https://twitter.com/scribe/ibis?uid=0&iid=08d378b8c0ae4f17b90caf8215e80f7f&nid=156+20+20141023&t=1" /> </td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="top"> <!-- Top corners --> <table class="top-corners" bgcolor="#eeeeee" width="522" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td height="12" valign="top"><img class="cut" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; display: block;margin:0px;padding:0px;display:block;" border="0" src="https://ea.twimg.com/email/t1/invite/top-corners.png" width="522" height="12" alt="Top corners image" /></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <!--/ Top corners --> <!-- Content --> <table style="border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-left-color: #cccccc; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-right-color: #cccccc;" class="content" bgcolor="#ffffff" width="522" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td width="522" align="center" valign="top"> <table class="invite" width="520" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td class="spacer" width="9%"> </td> <td class="invite-top spacer" height="38" width="82%" valign="top"> </td> <td class="spacer" width="9%"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> </td> <td align="center" valign="top"> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td> </td> <td class="avatar avatar-last" width="96"><a href="https://twitter.com/i/redirect?url=https%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2Fi%2F97deb4bf-e44d-4b47-9350-0df915fc8cbc&t=1&sig=974a160d816a40ba97c20107ca46fb73875bd965&iid=08d378b8c0ae4f17b90caf8215e80f7f&uid=0&nid=156+478+20141023" style="color:#0084b4;text-decoration:none;"><img border="0" class="avatar-image" src="https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/513075774446788608/U8YaMRvJ_reasonably_small.jpeg" width="96" height="96" style="margin:0px;padding:0px;display:block;border-radius:3px;" /></a></td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="20" colspan="5"> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <!--/ Avatar images --> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> </td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <p class="names" style="font-family:'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;line-height:normal;color:#333333;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:25px;margin-top:2px !important;margin-bottom:22px !important;"> <a href="https://twitter.com/i/redirect?url=https%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2Fi%2F97deb4bf-e44d-4b47-9350-0df915fc8cbc&t=1&sig=94642faf27b07800be94d5e860d12444c8dc51e5&iid=08d378b8c0ae4f17b90caf8215e80f7f&uid=0&nid=156+475+20141023" class="name" style="color:#0084b4;text-decoration:none;font-weight:bold;color:#333333;text-decoration:none;">Peter Bernfeld</a> is still waiting for you to join Twitter... <img width="1" height="1" src="loadimage" style="margin:0px;padding:0px;display:block;" /> </p> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> </td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <table bgcolor="##55acee" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="170px" class="button-container" style="white-space:nowrap;background-color:#55acee;background-image:url(https://ea.twimg.com/email/t1/button-bg-sp.png);border-radius:5px;-moz-border-radius:5px;-webkit-border-radius:5px;text-align:center;height:1px;width:180px;"> <tbody> <tr> <td height="44" align="center" class="button-cta" style="font-size:18px;font-weight:bold;white-space:nowrap;overflow:hidden;padding:0px 5px;margin:0px;font-family:'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;-webkit-font-smoothing:antialiased;"> <a href="https://twitter.com/i/redirect?url=https%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2Fi%2F97deb4bf-e44d-4b47-9350-0df915fc8cbc&t=1&sig=697081a298218a0f8d14928bee9a2d8bfed18b6d&iid=08d378b8c0ae4f17b90caf8215e80f7f&uid=0&nid=156+442+20141023" style="color:#0084b4;text-decoration:none;color:#ffffff;text-decoration:none;"> <bold> Accept invitation </bold> </a> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> </td> <td height="20"> </td> <td> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <!--/ Content --> <!-- Envelope --> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td class="envelope" valign="top"> <img class="cut" border="0" src="https://ea.twimg.com/email/t1/invite/envelope-with-logo.png" width="542" height="133" style="margin:0px;padding:0px;display:block;" /></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <!--/ Envelope --> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <!--/ Frame --> <!-- Footer --> <table class="footer" style="background: url(https://ea.twimg.com/email/t1/invite/footer-shadow.png) top repeat-x; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; border-top-color: #cccccc;" width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td valign="top"> <table class="footer-inner" width="500" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td height="25"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td class="ios" valign="top"> <p style="font-family:'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:11px;line-height:normal;color:#777777;text-shadow:0 1px 0 #ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">You can <a href="https://twitter.com/i/o?t=1&iid=08d378b8c0ae4f17b90caf8215e80f7f&uid=0&c=TkqSNZDvOjtFe54vyMv365iwKjOUliVi2G%2F6bQURZBrzEC4QiO%2BIzXdYMUAWfOmH&nid=156+26+20141023" style="text-decoration:none;color:#999999;color:#0084b4;text-decoration:none;">stop</a> getting these emails with people you may know (PYMK) suggestions at anytime. Learn more about <a href="https://twitter.com/i/redirect?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsupport.twitter.com%2Farticles%2F20170137&t=1&sig=6fd6fe3ee8870a83e5a69a9ce4a2076ba8e37efe&iid=08d378b8c0ae4f17b90caf8215e80f7f&uid=0&nid=156+1539+20141023" style="text-decoration:none;color:#999999;color:#0084b4;text-decoration:none;">PYMK suggestions</a> or <a href="https://twitter.com/i/redirect?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsupport.twitter.com&t=1&sig=e45aa0b34b82924228f65113e51445aa19431d3a&iid=08d378b8c0ae4f17b90caf8215e80f7f&uid=0&nid=156+97+20141023" style="text-decoration:none;color:#999999;color:#0084b4;text-decoration:none;">find other answers</a> at Twitter's Help Center.</p> <p class="address" style="font-family:'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:11px;line-height:normal;color:#777777;text-shadow:0 1px 0 #ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;font-family:'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:11px;line-height:normal;color:#999999;text-shadow:0 1px 0 #ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;"> <a href="#" style="text-decoration:none;color:#999999;color:#0084b4;text-decoration:none;text-decoration:none;color:#999999;">Twitter, Inc. 1355 Market St., Suite 900<span class="break"></span> San Francisco, CA 94103</a></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="30"> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <!--/ Footer --> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <!--/ 100% body table, class outerinvite --> Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-59201105969644328322014-10-20T23:31:00.001+13:002014-10-20T23:31:19.225+13:00Peter Bernfeld sent you an invitation<!-- 100% body table, class outerinvite --> <table class="outerinvite" width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <!-- Frame --> <table class="frame" width="542" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td style="font-size: 1px;" class="top-spacer" height="40" valign="top"><img width="1" height="1" style="display: block;margin:0px;padding:0px;display:block;" src="https://twitter.com/scribe/ibis?uid=0&iid=ee529fcb878b44b4af2d86ab56cb1a55&nid=244+20&t=1" /> </td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="top"> <!-- Top corners --> <table class="top-corners" bgcolor="#eeeeee" width="522" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td height="12" valign="top"><img class="cut" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; display: block;margin:0px;padding:0px;display:block;" border="0" src="https://ea.twimg.com/email/t1/invite/top-corners.png" width="522" height="12" alt="Top corners image" /></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <!--/ Top corners --> <!-- Content --> <table style="border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-left-color: #cccccc; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-right-color: #cccccc;" class="content" bgcolor="#ffffff" width="522" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td width="522" align="center" valign="top"> <table class="invite" width="520" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td class="spacer" width="9%"> </td> <td class="invite-top spacer" height="38" width="82%" valign="top"> </td> <td class="spacer" width="9%"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> </td> <td align="center" valign="top"> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td> </td> <td class="avatar avatar-last" width="96"><a href="https://twitter.com/i/redirect?url=https%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2Fi%2F97deb4bf-e44d-4b47-9350-0df915fc8cbc&t=1&sig=fc8b63d7cad464858aa0c19c5e4bb1bb5402fc4b&iid=ee529fcb878b44b4af2d86ab56cb1a55&uid=0&nid=244+525" style="color:#0084b4;text-decoration:none;"><img border="0" class="avatar-image" src="https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/513075774446788608/U8YaMRvJ_reasonably_small.jpeg" width="96" height="96" style="margin:0px;padding:0px;display:block;border-radius:3px;" /></a></td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="20" colspan="5"> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <!--/ Avatar images --> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> </td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <p class="names" style="font-family:'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:18px;line-height:normal;color:#333333;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:25px;margin-top:2px !important;margin-bottom:22px !important;"> <a href="https://twitter.com/i/redirect?url=https%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2Fi%2F97deb4bf-e44d-4b47-9350-0df915fc8cbc&t=1&sig=7e93db5332e5eb09e0aef7a8ecd9a647f6bae9b2&iid=ee529fcb878b44b4af2d86ab56cb1a55&uid=0&nid=244+524" class="name" style="color:#0084b4;text-decoration:none;font-weight:bold;color:#333333;text-decoration:none;">Peter Bernfeld</a> has invited you to join Twitter! </p> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> </td> <td valign="top" align="center"> <table bgcolor="##55acee" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="170px" class="button-container" style="white-space:nowrap;background-color:#55acee;background-image:url(https://ea.twimg.com/email/t1/button-bg-sp.png);border-radius:5px;-moz-border-radius:5px;-webkit-border-radius:5px;text-align:center;height:1px;width:180px;"> <tbody> <tr> <td height="44" align="center" class="button-cta" style="font-size:18px;font-weight:bold;white-space:nowrap;overflow:hidden;padding:0px 5px;margin:0px;font-family:'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;-webkit-font-smoothing:antialiased;"> <a href="https://twitter.com/i/redirect?url=https%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2Fi%2F97deb4bf-e44d-4b47-9350-0df915fc8cbc%3Fn%3DRoast%2BBeef%2Bon%2BSundays%2Bblog&t=1&sig=e8eaeb8307eab0e3d82f72a560f42fec5e29d06e&iid=ee529fcb878b44b4af2d86ab56cb1a55&uid=0&nid=244+442" style="color:#0084b4;text-decoration:none;color:#ffffff;text-decoration:none;"> <bold> Accept invitation </bold> </a> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> </td> <td height="20"> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <!--dir: ab_social_proof.html--> <!--end dir: ab_social_proof.html--> </tbody> </table> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <!--/ Content --> <!-- Envelope --> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td class="envelope" valign="top"> <img class="cut" border="0" src="https://ea.twimg.com/email/t1/invite/envelope-with-logo.png" width="542" height="133" style="margin:0px;padding:0px;display:block;" /></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <!--/ Envelope --> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <!--/ Frame --> <!-- Footer --> <table class="footer" style="background: url(https://ea.twimg.com/email/t1/invite/footer-shadow.png) top repeat-x; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; border-top-color: #cccccc;" width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td valign="top"> <table class="footer-inner" width="500" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td height="25"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td class="ios" valign="top"> <p style="font-family:'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:11px;line-height:normal;color:#777777;text-shadow:0 1px 0 #ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;">You can <a href="https://twitter.com/i/o?t=1&iid=ee529fcb878b44b4af2d86ab56cb1a55&uid=0&c=TkqSNZDvOjtFe54vyMv365iwKjOUliVi2G%2F6bQURZBrzEC4QiO%2BIzXdYMUAWfOmH&nid=244+26" style="text-decoration:none;color:#999999;color:#0084b4;text-decoration:none;">stop</a> getting these emails with people you may know (PYMK) suggestions at anytime. Learn more about <a href="https://twitter.com/i/redirect?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsupport.twitter.com%2Farticles%2F20170137&t=1&sig=59a7a687b18da463439f2034320738bd2b34d95f&iid=ee529fcb878b44b4af2d86ab56cb1a55&uid=0&nid=244+1539" style="text-decoration:none;color:#999999;color:#0084b4;text-decoration:none;">PYMK suggestions</a> or <a href="https://twitter.com/i/redirect?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsupport.twitter.com&t=1&sig=3d5d9c2c32fa7e8d2ff83d16f2251929580e272d&iid=ee529fcb878b44b4af2d86ab56cb1a55&uid=0&nid=244+97" style="text-decoration:none;color:#999999;color:#0084b4;text-decoration:none;">find other answers</a> at Twitter's Help Center.</p> <p class="address" style="font-family:'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:11px;line-height:normal;color:#777777;text-shadow:0 1px 0 #ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;font-family:'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:11px;line-height:normal;color:#999999;text-shadow:0 1px 0 #ffffff;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;"> <a href="#" style="text-decoration:none;color:#999999;color:#0084b4;text-decoration:none;text-decoration:none;color:#999999;">Twitter, Inc. 1355 Market St., Suite 900<span class="break"></span> San Francisco, CA 94103</a></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="30"> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <!--/ Footer --> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <!--/ 100% body table, class outerinvite --> Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-44177517428437091422013-08-05T20:06:00.000+12:002013-08-05T21:06:10.062+12:00You have a message from Peter N<table width="614" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="font-family:Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size:12px; color:#656565;"> <tr> <td valign="top"><img align="top" src="http://img.zpcdn.com/invitation/invitemail_header_z3a.gif" width="165" height="60" alt="zorpia" style="margin:0; border:0;" /><img align="top" src="http://img.zpcdn.com/invitation/invitemail_header_z3b.gif" width="449" height="60" style="margin:0; border:0;"/></td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="top" style="border-left:1px solid #cbd6dc;border-right:1px solid #cbd6dc; padding:0 18px 20px; text-align:left;"> <table width="576" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" style="font-family:Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size:12px;"> <tr> <td valign="top" style="font-size:14px; padding:10px 0 15px; font-weight:bold">Hi Roast Beef on Sundays,</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="top" style="font-size:19px; padding:10px 0 16px 0; text-align:center;color:#9BDD66; ">Peter N left you a private message</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="top" style=" padding:0 0 15px;"> <table style="width:554px; border:#d3dde2 1px solid; background:#eef3f6;" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" > <tr> <td rowspan="2" style="padding:18px 14px 17px 9px" valign="top"><a href="http://www.zorpia.com/signup?sname=zmail23&ISP=other&invitation_key=20130830af1405795978be208cd0fc40&tt=8302&sub=2003&referral=PeterNBernfeld&tp=1&hr=2013080504&cid=99&source=1&URL=http://www.zorpia.com/mini%23%21PeterNBernfeld"><img width="100" height="100" src="http://ths.zpcdn.com/1/7952/50896970.db4cda.jpg" style="border:#a9abaa 1px solid; padding:5px; background:#fff; margin:0;"></a><div style="text-align:center; padding:6px 0 0;"><a style="margin:0; text-decoration:underline;color:#2122AB;" href="http://www.zorpia.com/signup?sname=zmail23&ISP=other&invitation_key=20130830af1405795978be208cd0fc40&tt=8302&sub=2003&referral=PeterNBernfeld&tp=1&hr=2013080504&cid=99&source=1&URL=http://www.zorpia.com/mini%23%21PeterNBernfeld">Peter N</a></div></td> <td valign="top"><div style="font-size:12px; padding:16px 25px 0 0; line-height:20px; text-align:left;padding-bottom:20px;"><a href="http://www.zorpia.com/signup?sname=zmail23&ISP=other&invitation_key=20130830af1405795978be208cd0fc40&tt=8302&sub=2003&referral=PeterNBernfeld&tp=1&hr=2013080504&cid=99&source=1" style=" color:#666; text-decoration:none">Peter N has left a private message for you. Click on the button below to view it: </a></div></td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" style="padding:0 0 50px 0"><a target="_blank" style=" border:2px solid #fff; padding:5px 6px; background:#f7b225; color:#ffffff; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; text-align: center;text-decoration:none; " href="http://www.zorpia.com/signup?sname=zmail23&ISP=other&invitation_key=20130830af1405795978be208cd0fc40&tt=8302&sub=2003&referral=PeterNBernfeld&tp=1&hr=2013080504&cid=99&source=1">View Private Message</a></td> </tr> </table> </td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="top" style="padding-bottom:18px;"> <div style="font-family:Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size:14px; text-align:left; padding:0 ; margin:0;color:#656565">Regards,</div> <div style="font-family:Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size:14px; text-align:left; padding:0; margin:0;color:#656565">The Zorpia Team</div> </td> </tr> </table> </td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="top" style="font-size:11px; font-family:Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; line-height:16px; padding:10px 0; background:#f6f7fa;border-left:1px solid #cbd6dc;border-right:1px solid #cbd6dc;border-top:1px solid #cbd6dc; padding:15px 18px 0 18px; text-align:center;"> <div style="margin:0; padding:0; font-weight:bold;">This message is sent on behalf of Peter N.</div> <div style="margin:0; padding:0; "><a style="color:#2122AB; text-decoration:underline" href="http://www.zorpia.com/email/optout/peter.bernfeld.thoughtfortheday@blogger.com">Block future emails like this</a> · <a style="color:#2122AB; text-decoration:underline" href="http://www.zorpia.com/info/privacy">Privacy policy</a> </div> <div style="margin:0; padding:0; font-weight:bold; ">Zorpia Co. Ltd. P.O. Box #28960, Gloucester Road Post Office, Hong Kong</div> </td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="top"><img align="top" src="http://img.zpcdn.com/invitation/invitemail_bottom3.gif" width="614" height="23" /> </td> </tr> </table> <img src="http://signup.zorpia.com/signup/open_invitation/2013080504/8302/2003/99/1?isp=other&source=1" style="display:none;visibility:hidden;" height='0' width=0/> Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-84295215081235601732012-06-13T18:10:00.002+12:002012-06-13T18:10:38.779+12:00Change of addressI'm moving!<br />
Daughter Pauline has created a new blog site for me so all new thoughts, articles and news will be added to that.<br />
<br />
<a href="http://www.peterbernfeld.com/"> www.peterbernfeld.com</a><br />
<br />
Blimey Guv'nor, me a dot com. Hope I don't burst. All the articles on this site will be on the new one so I hope you take a look. Don't forget to change your bookmark.<br />
<br />
<a href="http://www.peterbernfeld.com/">http://www.peterbernfeld.com</a><br />
<br />
Why not sign up and get email notification when I post a new article?Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-68273447813989209282012-06-09T20:04:00.002+12:002012-06-09T20:16:19.178+12:00Syria. Why no intervention by NATO?<br />
<div class="MsoTitle">
</div>
<div class="MsoTitle" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><b><span style="font-weight: normal;">It’s all the fault of the former colonial power (for
once not the UK)</span></b></span></div>
<div class="MsoTitle" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><b><span style="font-weight: normal;">Why is Turkey getting involved in all this?</span></b></span></div>
<div class="MsoTitle" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><b><span style="font-weight: normal;">You can understand Russia’s position, but the
Chinese stance?</span></b></span></div>
<div class="MsoTitle">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
Before a taking
a look at what’s behind the current mess in Syria, take a quick look at these
links. </div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<u>Confused by
conflicting advice on salt intake?</u> If you aren’t then maybe you <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/06/03/opinion/sunday/we-only-think-we-know-the-truth-about-salt.html?pagewanted=all">should be.</a></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
You’ve all read <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><u style="text-underline: thick;">of</u></b>
the Muslim Brotherhood, now read <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><u style="text-underline: thick;">about</u></b> them.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<a href="http://www.blogger.com/goog_179513605"><span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black;"><br /></span></span></a></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<a href="http://www.gloria-center.org/2012/06/understanding-the-muslim-brotherhood/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+GloriaCenter+%28GLORIA+Center%29%20%20%20"><span style="color: black;"> This from the GLORIA Centre</span></a></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: center;">
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><b>The Alawites rule Syria. Who are they
exactly?</b></span></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
Officially, the
Alawite sect is Shia Muslim, well sort of. Oh dear, getting complicated
already. Shia and Sunni Islam parted ways over who was to succeed Muhammad as
the leading figure in Islam. The Alawites take the Shia view on this, which
naturally makes them unpopular in certain quarters, particularly the
seventy-four percent of the Syrian population who are in fact Sunnis. Now don’t
run away with the idea that this means the Alawites make up some twenty-six
percent of the Syrian population. Estimates vary slightly, but it’s probably
safe to say that thirteen to fifteen percent of the Syrian population is Shia,
most of whom are Alawite. So let’s pull a figure out of thin air, because
everybody else seems to, and state categorically that maybe twelve to fourteen
percent of the Syrian population are Alawite. ‘Maybe’ is being categorical? As
good as you’re going to get here, or anywhere else come to that. Even that font
of knowledge, the CIA World Handbook isn’t too sure about it.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
Allow me to put this in some sort of
perspective. Syria is a sort of secular-Muslim country, ruled over by a sect
that constitutes perhaps twelve percent of the population. Ten percent of the
population of Syria are Christians of one sort or another, so perhaps it’s only
an accident that Syria isn’t a Secular- Muslim country ruled by Christians. Now
that would have upset several apple-carts, wouldn’t it. The ultimate victory of
Richard Coeur de Lion, and <span class="grsslicetext">Salah ad-Din</span>
(Saladin) spinning in his grave.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
Before moving
on, let me just say that the Alawites have other differences from the Shia
branch of Islam. They believe that Ali, Mohamed’s son in law was a divine
figure, which puts them totally beyond the pale as far as the Sunni are
concerned and a bit suspect in Shia eyes. They also embrace the Seven Pillars
of Islam. All the rest make do with Five Pillars. Alawites also celebrate some
Christian and Zoroastrian festivals, include Socrates and Plato amongst their
list of prophets and believe in transmigration of souls. Naughty people come
back as dogs or pigs, but righteous people return with ‘more perfect bodies’.
Interesting thought, maybe if I’m good I could come back as Bo Derek and I’d never
have to worry about having a date on Saturday nights again.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
So moving on,
how come the Alawites rule Syria? It’s all the fault of the former colonial
power you see. France. This as I said makes a change from it being the fault of
the British. After the First World War, in an attempt at exporting Equalité,
possibly Fraternité but not Liberté, the French authorities decided that the
minorities in Syrian society should be encouraged to enter some form of
Government Service. The Alawites came from a mainly rural background, so they
were deemed suitable canon fodder and rather than having to educate them and
put them in the civil service, the Alawites were encouraged to join the army. Go forward to the
revolution in the seventies when Bashar’s Dad Hafez seized power and most of
the army were Alawite. Today, those who aren’t Alawite are so closely
identified with the Assad regime that they might as well be, they’ll probably
all be swinging from adjacent lampposts in the near future. Or will they?</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: center;">
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><b>Why does Russia support the Assad Regime?</b></span></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
Good question.
On the face of it, you’d have to say they were backing a losing horse. They did
of course support Pa Hafez, but the Russians aren’t known for their
sentimentality in foreign policy.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
Russian exports
to Syria were worth $1.1 billion in 2010 and its investments in the country
were valued at $19.4 billion in 2009 according to <a href="http://www.themoscowtimes.com/">The Moscow Times</a>. </div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
Since the start
of the so-called Arab Spring Russia has been losing client states and old
friends at an alarming rate, but there is more to it than bidding a tearful
farewell to aging dictators. The first question of course is how is Syria
paying for Russian weaponry and whatever else the Russians succeed in flogging
them? </div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
Well here’s a
clue. You see, at the collapse of the Soviet Union, Syria owed the unlamented
communist state some US$13.4 billion. If they thought that they were off the
hook because the Soviet Union no longer existed, the ‘new’ Russian regime soon
disabused them of that foolish notion.
They generously ‘retired’ US$9.8 billion of the Syrian debt, provided
Syria agreed to buy it’s arms from them. Not a difficult decision, everybody
else had the quaint notion that you actually sold arms. Sold as in received
payment in return. The Russians were playing a longer game, as so frequently is
the case.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
The French might
have given ‘easy terms’, but as the former colonial power, they were a bit out
of favour and in any case, Syrian relations with the West have always been a
bit problematic. Following Syrian support for the Americans in Gulf-War One, it
would be reasonable to assume that the Americans would have ‘sold’ them arms.
There was a problem of course. Syria was (and is) still ‘officially’ at war with
Israel, so any American arms sales would have been counter to Israeli
interests. I’m sure the idea was floated that if Syria agreed a peace deal with
Israel then the weapons would have been forthcoming. At that time, Israel might
have been amenable to doing a deal over the Golan Heights so perhaps you are
wondering why it never happened. Well, wonder no more. The majority of Syrians
are Sunnis. The majority of the Palestinians are Sunnis. Old man Hafez Assad
was an Alawite who in the nineteen eighties massacred some tens of thousand of
Sunni Syrians. Nah, he wanted arms with no strings attached. He didn’t get that
of course, at least not as it turned out. Additionally, America can turn a bit
sensitive if it’s military hardware is used against civilians. Unless it’s them
using it against terrorists and their associates, in which case it’s OK.
Provided nobody knows much about it.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
Tartus. A Syrian
port on the Mediterranean which since the early nineteen seventies has been a
Soviet, now Russian, naval base. Recent talks between Syria and Russia have
centred on expanding Tartus so that it can now take the largest Russian navy
ships. In fact, Assad Junior agreed to Tartus becoming a permanent base for
Russian nuclear-armed ships. Handy if you are a bit miffed at the American ICBM
shield in Europe and want to make a point. The point being that you’ve got a
credible naval presence in the Mediterranean, which might come in useful in all
sorts of scenarios, including one where the Americans redeploy most of their
ships from the Atlantic to the Pacific to counter, or not of course, a growing
Chinese naval presence.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
It’s worth
noting that in the seventies, arms exports to Syria accounted for ninety
percent of Soviet military-related exports. Fairly recently, Russia lost out to
the tune of US$4 billion in arms exports to Gaddafi. Currently, existing
contracts with Syria are worth US$1.5 billion, or around ten percent of their
annual exports, so one can understand why Russia is not keen to support any
UN-inspired arms embargo on Syria. Of course, if Assad falls there is no
guarantee that the new regime would continue to buy arms from Russia or allow
them access to Tartus. More on that shortly.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
I haven’t
mentioned oil. Syria has some of course, but not all that much, so there is
still a question of how they are paying for all the Russian equipment. A
warm-water seaport has been a Russian dream of several centuries and in Tartus,
on paper at least, they’ve hit the jackpot. I wonder what that’s worth?</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<h1>
<span style="font-size: large;"> <span style="font-size: x-large;">Chinese Involvement</span></span></h1>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
There is trade
between China and Syria. China exports US$2.2 billions worth of goods and
chattels to Syria and Syria exports US$5.6 millions worth of something to
China. Yes, you did read that correctly, US$5.6 MILLION, or a bit less than one
percent of the entire trade between the two countries. China is of course
interested in what oil Syria has and is involved in developing new fields and
extending the life of old ones. Why are they doing this? Well China feels the
need to safeguard the supply of oil as much as it can and from wherever it can.
The Chinese economy has to keep expanding at about ten percent per year to keep
up with population growth and to avoid ‘trouble at mill’, as they say in
Yorkshire. The Chinese economy is contracting of course, or at least not
expanding at the required rate so there already is ‘trouble at mill’. Not to
forget that there is still not a lot of love lost between China and Russia, so
if Assad falls China may be well placed to step into the breach when the new
Syrian regime slings the Russians out. It could also be that China just wants
to give America ‘the bird’, and by not supporting UN resolutions aimed at the
Assad regime, they can do this, causing the maximum annoyance with the minimum
of effort. There might also be an element of one repressive regime supporting
another.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<h1>
<span style="font-size: x-large;">Where angels fear to tread?</span></h1>
<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
So why isn’t
America taking a stronger line? Is it merely wanting to get a UN resolution
first and get Russia and China ‘on board’, or is there something else.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
Much has been
made of this being an election year in the States and as I pointed out in a
previous article a second Obama term is not a given. Is this a case of wanting
to ‘pussy-foot’ around until after the November election, or is it a case of
keeping your powder dry for a confrontation with Iran. Certainly with economic
conditions looking a bit ‘iffy’ on the home front, Obama might well be tempted
to put on his sincerest face, look straight into the camera and announce that
with a heavy heart America must once again take up arms in the altruistic
pursuit of others freedom. This would boost the American economy and possibly
make everybody feel a bit easier about re-electing him. With World opinion,
with the exception of China and Russia, demanding that ‘something be done’ about
Syria, this might appear to be a popular option on all fronts. So, why hasn’t
it been done? After all, Russia has begun to make noises about relations
between countries surviving a change in leadership, which if you were Assad
might worry you somewhat. It hasn’t been done because it’s of what might come
after the fall of Assad, and I don’t mean the ascendancy of the Muslim
Brotherhood and yet another Islamist Government. America might well think that
Sunni Islamists would have nothing to do with Shia Iran, and they could well be
correct so the fall of Assad could be a poke in the eye for Iran, which might
calm them down a bit. No, the clue comes in what happened when a Kurdish
delegation went to Washington.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
The Syrian Kurds
didn’t get the reception they were hoping for. The US State department met
them, but they were told to seek an understanding with the ‘Official Syrian
opposition’. Shades of the French there, eh? We must be inclusive. America
would not support a purely Kurdish opposition to Assad, but they would be
sympathetic to Kurdish aspirations if they threw in their lot with the rest of
the opposition. In other words, America wouldn’t entertain any sort of
autonomous Kurdish region in Syria. Possibly because they have an idea what
Assad’s fallback position might be. Possibly they don’t, that might not be
unusual, but it is becoming if not clearer then at least a little less
obscured.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<h1 style="text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: x-large;"> Assad’s Game</span></h1>
<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
Why does it
appear as though Syrian government forces are trying to cleanse a coastal strip
from the Turkish to the Lebanese border? Cleanse of non-Alawites that is. The
fact that it’s going on not immediately obvious given the general mayhem in
Syria right now, and I’m indebted to a <b>Turkish journalist, </b><span class="detailcname"><b>Abdullah Bozkurt,</b> who wrote a column in ‘<a href="http://www.todayszaman.com/columnist-279425-turkish-concern-over-specter-of-alawite-state-in-syria.html%20%20.">Todays Zaman’</a>,
presenting a Turkish view of the situation. He raises some interesting points,
some of which tie in with my previous comments concerning a Kurdish
State.</span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
You’re just going to have to wait a couple of
days for me to join up a few of the dots. Sorry and all that.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
@peterbernfeld</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-36297544929218568132012-06-04T20:26:00.000+12:002012-06-06T07:09:07.233+12:00Nato to overthrow Assad of Syria?<br />
<div class="MsoTitle">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle">
<u><i><span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: small;">An unfinished revolution in Egypt, civil war in Syria and
Iran seeking WMD</span></i></u></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
Around the Right-Wing, Neo-Con world, the cry arises ‘why
doesn’t somebody do something about the situation in Syria?’ By ‘somebody’,
people have President Obama in mind even if they usually refer to America.</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
Start by taking a cool look at the latest events in Egypt.
There was a leader-less revolution, a popular uprising against Mubarak. Once
the protests started and the regime began to lose its grip on power, the
previously banned Islamist parties stepped into the developing power vacuum.
Due to their being organised, they won the election for the legislative body.
Now however, as the reality of what they have voted for begins to sink in, the
Egyptians have not voted en mass for an Islamist president. The people who
started the revolution are still not politically organised, and are
disappointed with the choices they have in the run-off presidential elections.
In the meantime former president Mubarak has been sentenced to life
imprisonment for causing the deaths of protestors, but the military commanders
who carried out his orders have been acquitted. The Military of course are
currently running the country so perhaps no surprises there. These verdicts
have predictably brought protests from those who are staunchly anti-Mubarak and
anti-military. There are fresh crowds in Tahir Square. It would be a mistake to
think that they are all there because of the court verdicts. Some will be there
because ‘their’ revolution has been hijacked, and gathering in Tahir Square is
the only form of protest they can make. They are still not organised, nor do
they have a defined leader, whereas the Islamists and the Military are
organised and have leaders.</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
Presidential candidate Ahmed Shafiq, the last Prime
Minister under former President Mubarak and widely seen as 'the army's candidate', has accused his Islamist rival,
Mohammed Mursi, of wanting to create a sectarian state. Shafiq has accused
Mursi of intimidating Coptic Christians and of wanting to repress women. Mursi
has pooh-poohed this, saying that if elected he would resign from the Muslim
Brotherhood and that there is no intention to force Egyptian women to take to
the veil. Pull the other one Mohammed, that’s like saying the present Pope, who
before he became Pope and was merely Cardinal Ratzinger the Prefect of the <span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black; text-decoration: none;">Sacred
Congregation for the Doctrine of the Faith</span></span>, the historical <span style="color: black;"><span style="color: black; text-decoration: none;">Inquisition</span></span>, on becoming Pope resigned from the
Inquisition and no longer supports anything that he was previously charged with
upholding. I’m not quite sure how wanting to introduce Sharia Law squares with
not expecting women to dress ‘modestly’, i.e. wear a veil in public and Mursi
has not as yet explained. There will be some Egyptians who are thinking that
this is not why they overthrew Mubarak. Some of these people will be in Tahiti
Square but most will not. At least they won’t be until those calling for
Mubarak’s retrial and wanting the death penalty have found something else to
occupy them and left, then a new demonstration will most likely start.</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
In Egypt, America
supported the idea of democracy but was castigated in some quarters for
abandoning long-term ally Mubarak. Bugger democracy, the Neo-Cons wanted at all
costs a non-Islamist government. Didn’t America realise, so the argument went,
what would happen if Mubarak was overthrown? One wonders what these pundits
think America was supposed to have done? By America of course, they mean Obama.
By the Right’s reckoning, somehow or other America should have engineered a
transfer of power from Mubarak to a representative government that would
maintain the status quo vis a vis Israel, have popular support and keep the
Muslim brotherhood in check. A great trick if you can pull it off, but pretty
much impossible in reality. All America could do was to be seen to support
democracy, hold their nose and deal with whatever government was elected,
hoping to influence them after the dust had settled. The Right blames Obama for
throwing an ally to the wolves and thus, amongst other things, showing America
as an unreliable friend. This is a view shared by staunch democrats and now
nervous friends such as Abdullah of Jordan, the House of Saud and probably most
of the other Gulf rulers. Interesting bed-mates, assuming you think the Right is
actually interested in democratic democracy.</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
What should Obama have done? To try to influence events on
the ground was clearly a non-starter, so should America have done something
behind the scenes? The problem with this train of thought is exactly who do you
exert pressure on and to what end? Obama did put pressure on the Egyptian
Military to ensure that elections took place, to abide by the results and hand
over power once a president was elected and a constitution approved. What more
should he have been done? Nothing, frankly. Anymore would have been seen as
meddling in Egyptian internal politics, which would have been the kiss of death
for any candidates that America supported. </div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
Teddy Roosevelt's advice to ‘speak quietly and carry a big
stick’ is apt here. Once there is a functioning government in Egypt, that will
be the time to try to influence events. Obama certainly has spoken quietly and
in the form of financial aid, he has a big stick. The question is, will he use
it if is in America’s interests that he do so? The Right of course say ‘no’.
Their view of Obama is that he is anti-American, anti-Israel and pro Islam. How
can an American president be anti-American? Simple, he doesn’t put his
country’s interests first, according to his detractors. By that, they mean he
doesn’t put what they view as America’s interests first.</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
Anti-Israel and pro Islam? The Right will point to the
fact that Obama has encouraged the formation of an Islamist Government in
Egypt, has not criticised the Turkish Government for it’s anti-Israel stance
and it’s meddling in Syrian internal affairs, has encouraged the nascent Syrian
opposition to include Islamist elements and has not acted fast enough over the
Iranian attempts to acquire nuclear weapons. They will assert that Obama has
pressured Israel to make concessions to the Palestinians whilst not applying
pressure the other way. All American aid to Israel, in whatever form it takes,
is merely a continuation of what was agreed by previous administrations and
Obama has watered it down where he can. That he has been largely unsuccessful
they say is due to Democrats’ support for Israel which even a Democrat
President cannot ignore. </div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
An unpopular but more charitable and in my view correct
assessment of Obama is that he has tried a different approach to Middle East
diplomacy, but that approach has been
overtaken by events on the ground. The question now is does he realise this and
will he be ideologically capable of changing direction, always assuming that he
is re-elected.</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
You might recall that Syrian President Bashar Assad is
quite happily massacring his own people, ignoring UN resolutions and clinging
on to power long past the time when most pundits had assumed he would be found
cowering in the sewer pipe of history. How can this be? Why has America, fresh
from the successful installation of a democratic government in Libya, not
bombed the living daylights out of Syrian Government Forces in support of the
Opposition? Why did they not either force a resolution through the UN or ignore
the UN and act earlier?</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
To answer that is actually quite simple. It’s a two- part
answer, and in part one I’m going to examine some arguments put forward by
politicians and journalists of a right-wing persuasion as examples of typical
muddled thinking. These arguments have appeared in various op-ed pieces around
the World, but without naming names, they regularly feature in the Jerusalem
Post. Israel is right next door, so the situation in Syria is of particular
immediate interest to them.</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
The argument goes that NATO/America/ UN/the West, take
your pick, missed an opportunity months ago to take decisive military action
against the Assad regime and thus establish some sort of democratic government
that would in some way or other be beholden to whoever had helped them and
might not be Islamist in nature. Think of the tens of thousands already killed
and others who may yet be killed when a civil war breaks out. All this could
have been avoided if America/NATO et al had only acted. </div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
There are two immediate problems here. For many months,
there was civil unrest but no organised opposition, no ‘leaders of the
revolution’, a lot like the situation in Egypt, where their revolution is about
to enter it’s second phase. So exactly who should America support in Syria,
‘the people’? What happens after they bomb Syrian Government Forces? What do
‘the people’ do then? Where does the idea that American intervention would have
ensured a western-orientated or at least western-sympathetic government come
from? What evidence is there to support this notion? None, in a word.</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
Perhaps I should define ‘the Right’, or at least what I
mean by it. I don’t mean those who are ‘conservative’ in their politics. I do
mean those who believe that the interests of America and her allies are best
served by deploying troops to foreign lands and imposing a political system,
social norms and vaguely Judeo-Christian concepts of justice, law and order on
an unwilling population, largely unfamiliar with what is being imposed on them.
It took the West five hundred years to establish what we today consider as
democracy, it’s not something that you can simply graft onto a new vine and
expect it to flourish in five minutes. </div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
Does any of this mean you shouldn’t defend your own values
and hard-won freedoms? No, of course not, quite the opposite in fact. Having
respect for other peoples’ way of life and religious beliefs doesn’t mean
rolling over and playing dead. Sometimes you’re going to have to fight for what
you believe in. Sometimes you’re going to have to insist that migrants coming
to your country have to accept your laws and your way of life or don’t come.
But sometimes you’re going to have to accept that others’ have different
concepts of justice and freedom. Now I happen to believe that in ‘The West’,
and you could substitute ‘democracies’ if you’re more comfortable with that
word, we’ve pretty much got it right and particularly totalitarian Islamic
countries have got it wrong, but I believe in leading by example, not by
hitting them over the head. At least, not as a first option. If you are
genuinely threatened then you have to respond, but not necessarily by invasion.</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
In Libya NATO intervened but by and large restricted
themselves to support from the air. The result was that the campaign to
overthrow Gaddafi took longer than it might have done, but the fact that
‘foreign boots’ didn’t overtly touch Libyan soil doesn’t seem to have made much
difference to the political landscape. The country is in a mess, and human
rights abuses continued to take place after the fighting was over. What finally
emerges is yet to be clear, but it shows no sign of being particularly fond of
the West or being more democratic than tribal in nature. At least, for the
moment, Libya remains one country, despite an attempt at regionalisation. Not
perhaps a stunning success, but as yet not a failure. The cynical would say
give it time and it will be. I would say think of the five hundred year
flowering of democracy in Europe, then dramatically shorten that timescale
because of instant communications, mass media and social media. Don’t
over-estimate the impact of facebook and twitter, but equally don’t dismiss
them out of hand as the playthings of a bored, decaying Western culture.</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
America and her
allies went crashing into Iraq and failed to impose a government particularly
grateful or well disposed towards the West. In fact, it’ll be something of a
miracle if the country holds together as a single entity, and there’s one clue
as to why nothing has been done in Syria. Iraq really can’t be portrayed as an
example of successful military intervention and America, in the quiet of the
night, realises it. If you are going to send in the troops, you have to buy
into the concept of nation building, with all that entails in terms of economic
burden and time. A strong case can be made for nation building in some
circumstances, but there is no ‘half-way house’. It’s all or nothing. </div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
The evidence seems to point to the fact that American/NATO
intervention may staunch short-term bloodshed but doesn’t result in a
government that is well-disposed towards the West, or at least anti-Islamist,
Islamists being the big bogey-men of the Right just at the moment.</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
So why hasn’t America intervened in Syria? Has the ‘penny
dropped’ that the only way to intervene is by nation building? Probably not,
but there are other reasons why nothing has happened. In the second part, we’ll
take a look at some of those reasons.</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
@peterbernfeld</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-50626475658688761372012-06-02T15:04:00.001+12:002012-06-03T21:06:45.429+12:00All the Presidents are men<br />
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="text-align: center;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><u><i><b>So, you want to be President of America do you?</b></i></u></span></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
In the run up to
the American November Presidential elections it’s amusingly distracting to put
actual the policies of the candidates to one side, always provided you can
determine what they actually are, and take a look at some statistics.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
Obama is POTUS
(President of the United States) number forty-four. There have been forty-
three Presidents incarnate but forty- four terms of office. Grover Cleveland
managed to get himself elected for two, non-consecutive eight-year terms,
possibly proving that you can in fact fool most of the people most, if not all,
of the time. Since nineteen fifty-one, under the terms of the 22<sup>nd</sup>
Amendment, a person can only serve two terms as POTUS. Franklin Roosevelt died
early in his fourth term during the Second World War, which was undoubtedly why
the 22<sup>nd</sup> Amendment was introduced. Edward the Seventh, when Prince
of Wales, famously said of his mother Victoria that it was all very well having
an Eternal Father in heaven but one didn’t need an Eternal Mother on earth.
Possibly America sat up and took note of his comment.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
Of the
forty-three Presidents, four died in office of natural causes, four were
assassinated and Nixon famously jumped before he was pushed. Additionally there
were six assassination attempts made against incumbent presidents, Gerald Ford
holding the dubious distinction of having inspired two people try to kill him
on separate occasions, and one attempt was made against Teddy Roosevelt when he
decided to have another shot at being president, having successfully served two
terms. Oops bad taste moment, I meant when he decided to make a further attempt
at the Oval office having already served two terms. This means that POTUS has
an equal 9.3% of either dying of natural causes whilst in office or of being
assassinated. If however we lump together assassination attempts against
incumbent presidents and successful assassinations, we find that the chances of
somebody trying to be the leading actor in their own version of ‘The Day of the
Jackal’ is 23.24%. The assassination technology gets better with time, so the
odds of success have probably increased. Not a comfortable position to be in, I
would have thought. For an incumbent president, that is. If you had almost a
twenty-five percent chance of your being killed in the office, would you not be
tempted to change your office for one with a more tranquil view?</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
Of perhaps more
interest in this election year is the fact that of the forty-three Presidents,
ten failed to secure their second term. Of the ten, three have failed since the
Second World War. It would appear that getting that coveted second term is not
the shoe-in that casual observers of the show might have imagined. To play with
some statistics, and we all know about statistics don’t we, it would appear
that 23.25% of all presidential candidates failed to be re-elected. That
doesn’t sound so bad, but let’s look at elections post World War Two. </div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
Perhaps voters
became less deferential or perhaps the World became a more volatile place,
that’s open to (another) debate. There have been twelve presidential elections
from nineteen forty-five until two thousand and eight. Twenty-five percent of
candidates were not re-elected. That perhaps isn’t the end of the numbers game
though. If you take the view that a ‘run of bad luck’ started in 1976 when the
ever-unlucky Gerald Ford failed to be re-elected, there have been eight
elections and the percentage chance of failing to be re-elected increases to
37.5%. The other unsuccessful incumbents were Jimmy Carter in 1980 and Bush Senior
(H.W.) in 1992. Obama may well be losing some sleep, and it’s probably nothing
to do with Michelle telling him he’s in, as his re-election campaign posters
announce. This could be unusually subtle play on words for an American
political campaign or it could be unintentional, like Romney’s campaign poster
that spelled America ‘Americia’. I suppose that could have been unusually
subtle as well, in which case the folks down in Langley, Virginia are probably
planning some office remodeling, another round of fake vaccinations and of
course they still have a chance to actually kill Castro before he dies of old
age.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
To round off and
up this game of musical numbers, POTUS has a twenty five percent chance of
experiencing an assassination attempt and just at the moment a thirty-seven
percent chance of not being elected for a final term. Why do they bother?</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
It’s the status,
stupid! It certainly isn’t the power because the American system was designed
so that the holder of the executive office doesn’t in fact have that much. To
be sure, he (so far) is perceived as the most powerful man in the World. After
all, isn’t there somebody who trails him around with the ‘nuclear football’,
you know, where all the nuclear codes are kept? Now I don’t know this for a
fact but I also reckon that at least one of the secret service men has been
briefed to confirm that POTUS is not actually having a ‘brain fart’ if he ever
reached for it and to stop him if he is. Probably by a bullet between the eyes.
So much for absolute power then. I mean if you can’t nuke a country that has
really annoyed you what’s the point of it all? Doing a Bush Junior and invading
somewhere allegedly because a dictator tried to kill your Dad and because your
Vice President’s oil company, allegedly, is finding business a bit slack is all
very well, but for real satisfaction, you need to be able to order up a bright
flash without having to consult anybody. Anyway, if POTUS had any real power
Bush Junior would have ‘retired’ Bill Clinton for beating his dad in an
election. See what I mean, it’s just not worth it.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
A smart man
might take the Eisenhower approach to the presidency and improve his golf game.
A really smart man might not bother at all and aim at being a Supreme Court
Judge. I haven’t checked but I don’t think many have been assassinated and it’s
a job for life. Failing to be re-elected does not look good on the old CV and
the after-dinner speaking fees are, I am reliably informed, less for a single-term
president. Nobody wants to hear what you would have done next and positively
nobody likes a moaner.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
Of course,
presidents seem to be getting younger, or am I experiencing the same
age-related shift in perception whereby all policemen seem to be on day-release
from school? Assuming that they are getting younger, and in Obama’s case will
be around his mid-fifties when he leaves office, if he is re-elected, what do
you do then?</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
@peterbernfeld</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-15837369237752814862012-05-29T20:49:00.000+12:002012-05-29T21:06:51.775+12:00When is a bubble not a bubble?<br />
<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: center;">
<u><span style="font-family: Arial;"><br /></span></u></div>
<h1>
<u>Shock, horror. America to raise taxes</u></h1>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">Needing to
raise money for social programs, what does any Government do?</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">Either it can
sell off assets or it can raise taxes.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<h3>
<span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>Pakistan and the CIA</u></span></h3>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">When is a
vaccination program not a vaccination program?</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<h2>
American Treasury Bonds</h2>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
In case you’d forgotten or not noticed in the first place,
this year is an American Presidential election year. That’s right, it’s
approaching that time when incumbent Presidents can either stop worrying about
being re-elected and start worrying about how history will judge them or will
be spending a lot of time writing their memoirs.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">It’s also that
time when Republicans will be desperately trying to demonstrate that Democrats
are really ‘closet communists’, which translates into Democrats believe in
radical, i.e <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">any,</b> social reform. The
sort of reform that if any government in Europe tried to introduce it there
would be people rioting in the streets. Rioting against benefit cuts. </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">So what has
President Obama got up his sleeve that is so exercising the right? In two
words, tax increases. Did I say up his sleeve? That would imply sleight of hand
and the tax increases have been announced and are on the statute book, so no
surprises there, surely?</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">Right now,
American Treasury Bonds prices are, in simple terms, expensive to buy when
looking at the yield. In the latest auction, seven-year bonds offered an
effective yield of 1.18%. In reality, the nominal yield was 1.25% but the bonds
were selling above par, at 100 14/32. Relax, that’s the end of the figures.
What do they actually mean?</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">They mean that
with the financial uncertainty in Europe, the ‘Fed’ can offer a low-yield bond
and investors see them as a safe haven for their money. It’s as simple as that.
The thing about ‘T Bills’ is that they are readily sale-able, unlike some
stocks, which can tank and become unsaleable at almost any price. So what’s the
‘shock horror, bursting asset bubble’ story here?</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">America is
raising the rate of Capital Gains Tax. From a current rate of 15% to 23.8% by
Jan 1<sup>st</sup> 2013. That’s in law; it’s going to happen. The Right, or
sections of the right-wing Republican media in America, are hopping up and
down, shouting that the tax rate ‘might’ go up to 33.8% during 2013 if Obama is
re-elected. Well, it might. Doubtless, he is planning to introduce some sort of
welfare benefit reform during his last term, to secure his place in history as
the President who actually did something for the underprivileged in American
Society. Did I say the Right is hopping up and down shouting? Not
strictly-speaking true. It’s only certain elements of the Republican press who
think that the people who hold T Bills are incapable of reading the financial
papers. Some blood-curdling figures are being bandied about. A tax-rise of 58%
is already in law and it might be as high as 125%, apparently the largest tax
rise in American history. Cripes, daylight robbery. Or is it?</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">Strictly speaking, considering the tax-rise from 15% to 23.8% already in law that
represents a rise of 8.8%, and 8.8 is 58% of 15. Sounds cataclysmic doesn’t it,
the end of financial civilisation as we know it. The ultimate triumph of
communism over capitalism. Republicans are congenitally incapable of making any
distinction between Socialists and Communists. Certainly, a rise of 58% sounds
worse than saying the Capital gains Tax is going up from 15% to 23.8%.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">There are
predictions of a financial meltdow(n). Investors scrambling to sell T bonds
before Dec 31<sup>st</sup> to avoid these extortionate ‘Goddam Commie’ tax
increases. The price of T bonds plummet, the bubble bursts, worse than the
property market etc etc, the final apocalyptic collapse of the American Dream.
Er, not so fast. To pay capital gains tax, you have to actually make a capital
gain and given that the American economy is showing signs of hesitant recovery
the T Bills may not be selling above par at those yields for much longer.
They’ll remain a haven for those looking for safety, but other investment
opportunities may present themselves, meaning that investors and institutions
change their portfolios, seeking a higher dividend yield. In other words, the
price may well fall as individuals and institutions unload them irrespective of
any tax increases, but of course a natural economic cycle doesn’t make a good
‘shock horror’ story, does it? And let’s not forget, taking a American-centric
view, if jobs and manufacturing industries are sucked back into Europe and
manufacturing output/exports rise there, the perceived safety factor of
American Treasury Bills will diminish, also cutting prices. So no capital gain
to pay tax on and not so much an asset bubble bursting as one deflating.
Private investors might well decide to retain their holdings and take the
guaraneed yield, it depends at what price they brought the bonds in the first
place. Oh that’s right, they brought at above par. Not much of a bubble then,
more a hedge against continuing uncertainty, except that there is no
uncertainty about the tax rises. They’re not an uncertainty they’re a fact.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">Some final
figures and these reveal something of a surprise. China owns America, right?
Everybody knows that, it’s common knowledge. Is that so? T Bills, aka American
Government debt, are currently valued at US$14.3 Trillion. The value of the
Chinese holding? US$1.2 Trillion or less than 10%. In fact, us dammed
foreigners, long-lunch and excessive vacation taking crypto-communists to a
person, hold about 31% of American Government debt. To put that another way,
American individuals and institutions hold about 69%. See, I can play around
with figures as well. If you compare that with France, where some 59% of
Government debt is held outside of the country, it doesn’t sound so bad. And of
course America is still seen as a safe haven for your money whilst France is seen
as …. Insert your own word or phrase.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<h2>
The CIA and the fake vaccination program</h2>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">The CIA set up
a fake vaccination program in Abbottabad in order to obtain DNA samples from
children living in what was suspected, and eventually proved to be, Bin Laden’s
lair. The vaccination program was aimed at Hepatitis B and usually it takes
three doses before the vaccine has a chance of being effective. Allegedly only
one dose was adminisistered.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">According to
various reports, not only was the CIA unable to actually obtain a DNA sample,
but also they failed to complete the vaccination program. The Pakistani doctor
who was apparently unwittingly recruited to run the program has recently been
sentenced to thirty-three years for treason, plus another three years if he doesn’t
pay a fine.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">Now quite
rightly the WHO (World Health Organisation) and other organisations connected
with providing immunisations have pointed out the damage that this does to
immunisation campaigns in areas where the motive behind them is already suspect,
at least according to locals who fear that they are being sterilized or worse.
A couple of questions remained unanswered. In fact as far as I can tell, they
haven’t even been asked, in public at least.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">What would it
have actually cost the CIA to complete the vaccination program? Didn’t the
doctor, a respected Pakistani surgeon who had worked in the area for a number
of years, question the amount of vaccine he was given? Perhaps more interesting
is why did he remain in the area after the raid on the Bin Laden compound? The
CIA is not commenting, but I wonder if in the rush to condemn such apparently
heartless behavior people are missing the fact that the program might have
been completed? I’m certainly not an apologist for the CIA, and definitely not
if the facts in this case are true, but it does seem to me that there is a bit
of a shortage of facts on the ground. The trial of the doctor was held in
secret and under the jurisdiction of a tribal court rather than the Pakistani
High Court. Given that Abbottabad is a mere thirty- one miles from Islamabad,
the capital of Pakistan, wouldn’t you have expected a highly public visible
trial in a High Court?</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">Of course, the
conventional answer to that is because the Pakistani government was complicit
in hiding Bin Laden they would want to avoid a public trial. Doesn’t wash. What
seems to be emerging, in general terms, is that the ISI (Inter Services
Intelligence) agency, or at least sections of it, were complicit in hiding Bin
laden. This was long-suspected by the Americans and had had poisoned
US/Pakistan relations, aka slowed the flow of American funding to Pakistan, for
a number of years. The Pakistan Government is involved in a long-running power
struggle with the Military and ISI. It would have surely been to their
advantage to hold a public trial. Under the Tribal court system that brought
charges against him, the doctor had no access to a lawyer and was not present
in court. He does have the right of appeal, but to which court? Interestingly,
the Tribal Court that tried him has no jurisdiction in the area where the
alleged fake program took place. As an aside, the Pakistan legal process can
take years, with judges granting lengthy adjournments for seemingly minor
reasons. The Tribal system is much faster in dispensing justice.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">As I said, I
am no apologist for the CIA, but there are some questions here that have not
been publicly answered. Given that there was no public presentation of
evidence, the statement that the vaccination program was not completed is based
on hearsay evidence, obtained in an area where America and the CIA are not
exactly flavour of the month. I can well believe that the CIA mounted an
operation to obtain confirmation that Bin laden was present in the compound,
after all the Seal team operation did amount to a gross violation of Pakistani
sovereignty whichever way you look at it. Would the CIA have been so clumsy and
obvious? Maybe, but it does seem to me that there has been a bit of a rush to
judgement by those who are not members of the CIA supporters club. They may
well be correct in their assertions. Or they may not. I think we should be
told.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">@peterbernfeld</span></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-87667107434387137942012-05-27T19:26:00.000+12:002012-05-27T19:26:02.111+12:00Bubbles, pretty bubbles: unfortunately not in a champagne glass.<br />
<br />
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%;">
<i><u>The Russian Economy</u></i></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">I’ve pulled
these statistics from a number of sources, but most of them seem to agree. I’m
assuming that most of you are no more interested in economic minutiae than I
am, with the proviso that as always ‘</span><span style="text-decoration: none;">the devil is in the details’.</span></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">Russia</span></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; mso-list: l1 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 36.0pt; text-align: justify; text-indent: -18.0pt;">
<span style="font-family: Wingdings; font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">Ø<span style="font: 7pt "Times New Roman";">
</span></span><span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">Is the largest producer of oil in the World and has the
eighth largest reserves.</span></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; mso-list: l1 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 36.0pt; text-align: justify; text-indent: -18.0pt;">
<span style="font-family: Wingdings; font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">Ø<span style="font: 7pt "Times New Roman";">
</span></span><span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">Is the second largest producer of natural gas and has the
largest gas reserves.</span></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; mso-list: l1 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 36.0pt; text-align: justify; text-indent: -18.0pt;">
<span style="font-family: Wingdings; font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">Ø<span style="font: 7pt "Times New Roman";"> </span></span><span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">Has the second-largest coal reserves and is the third
largest exporter of coal, mainly to the Asia/Pacific region (AIPAC)</span></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; mso-list: l1 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 36.0pt; text-align: justify; text-indent: -18.0pt;">
<span style="font-family: Wingdings; font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">Ø<span style="font: 7pt "Times New Roman";">
</span></span><span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">Annual exports valued at US$429.4 Billion</span></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; mso-list: l1 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 36.0pt; text-align: justify; text-indent: -18.0pt;">
<span style="font-family: Wingdings; font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">Ø<span style="font: 7pt "Times New Roman";">
</span></span><span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">Annual imports valued at US$247.7 Billion</span></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 18.0pt; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 18.0pt; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">So,
they’re basically laughing and can afford, this time, to take on America in a
High-Tec arms race, right? Weeeell, remember that devil lurking in the details?</span></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 54.0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo2; tab-stops: list 54.0pt; text-align: justify; text-indent: -18.0pt;">
<span style="font-family: Wingdings; font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">Ø<span style="font: 7pt "Times New Roman";">
</span></span><span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">80% of exports are either commodities or defense-related
equipment</span></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 54.0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo2; tab-stops: list 54.0pt; text-align: justify; text-indent: -18.0pt;">
<span style="font-family: Wingdings; font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">Ø<span style="font: 7pt "Times New Roman";">
</span></span><span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">The biggest trading partner is the EU, 46.8% of over-all
trade</span></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 54.0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo2; tab-stops: list 54.0pt; text-align: justify; text-indent: -18.0pt;">
<span style="font-family: Wingdings; font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">Ø<span style="font: 7pt "Times New Roman";">
</span></span><span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">Exports to the EU are 44.8%. Next is the US at 5%, yes 5%!</span></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 54.0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo2; tab-stops: list 54.0pt; text-align: justify; text-indent: -18.0pt;">
<span style="font-family: Wingdings; font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">Ø<span style="font: 7pt "Times New Roman";">
</span></span><span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">75% of direct foreign investment comes from the EU member
states</span></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">With
the EU currently enjoying some minor financial difficulties, the picture isn’t looking quite so rosy.
The EU member state that trades the most with Russia is Germany, and they’re a
little preoccupied with Southern Europe right now. They’ll be keen to maintain
their exports but may well want or need to cut down on imports, particularly if
the Euro is devalued. Gosh did I say that? Well it did just occur to me that
one way of attracting manufacturing industries into Europe, and providing the
growth that Queen Angela doesn’t seem to be so keen on, would be to devalue the
Euro. Hell fire, that might even make it easier for Greece to remain in the
Eurozone. Maybe that’s why QA isn’t so keen on growth, because as far as I can
see that’s about the only way of stimulating the European economy. Devalue the
Euro, exports become cheaper and more attractive outside the EU, imports become
too expensive for ‘the workers’, which also stimulates production within Europe.
With wages effectively lower, foreign manufacturers might just be tempted to
move back into Europe, Toyota for example. Any bets on who will be the first
European politician to say ‘the Euro in your pocket is not worth any less this
morning’?</span></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">Given
the strong possibility of the odd Geo-political hiccup torpedoing Russian exports, gas
for example, personally I wouldn’t be worrying about creating stealth ICBMs and
having any sort of spending contest with America. Why did I mention gas? Well
readers in Europe will remember in 2009 there were concerns about the physical
supply of Russian gas. There was a spat in the Russian Federation and although
they denied it, the amount of delivered gas dropped off until Moscow smacked
Kiev (Ukraine) round the head.
Naturally, this occurred during a particularly cold spell in Europe, and
in Ukraine as well come to that, and there were uncharitable mutterings that
Ukraine had ‘siphoned off’ some of the gas from the pipeline to Europe which
runs through it’s territory. The same thing happened earlier this year, so
whatever the problem is (Ukraine wants more money for allowing the pipeline to
go through it’s territory perhaps?) it obviously hasn’t been solved just yet. </span></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">Enter
Israel and Cyprus, not such an unlikely pair as they both have problems with
Turkey. There have been major gas fields discovered in Cypriot and Israeli
waters. The two countries are co-operating in the development of these fields
and there are estimates that these finds
potentially constitute the second biggest available supply of natural
gas to Europe. Perhaps the supply will be more reliable. Perhaps Greece would
like to build a pipeline across its territory, with all the attendant economic
benefits. There are of course political problems with Turkey, but a deal seems
to have been cut with Lebanon which had originally claimed that the Israeli
Leviathan Field was partially in Lebanese waters.</span></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">Back
to Russia. Apart from exporting oil, coal and gas, their manufacturing industry
is in a bit of a mess and suffering from lack of investment. The Russian
banking industry spent about one third of its foreign reserves, US$600 billion,
in 2007 propping up the Ruble, and although it held its value, the economy has
not expanded to any great extent. Reliance on commodity exports is a reliance
on the price of commodities, oil in particular, and the price has swung wildly.
The Russian banking industry additionally received a US$200 billion injection of
liquidity during the 2008/09 global financial crisis to help non-energy or exporting
businesses repay loans when foreign investments pretty much dried up. They
avoided a slump but growth remains a problem, as does a shrinking workforce and
a basic lack of infrastructure throughout Russia. And don’t mention the grain
harvest. A look at the figures reveals that Russia periodically has a problem
feeding itself.</span></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">To
give but one example, there is precious little foreign investment in the
Russian coal industry. Total investment in the Russian coal industry is running
at US$2 billion per year, of which US$40million is direct foreign investment,
around 2%. This is a representative example of the problems of attracting
foreign investment. Corruption is rife in Russia and they haven’t quite got
around to sorting out the laws pertaining to private property and private
investment. Given time they will. Given time Putin may succeed in shifting
local manufacturing over to a more High-Tec base. Given time Russia may be able
to financially take on the USA in a High-Tec arms race, but not right now. </span></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">One
final thought about coal. Russia is the third largest exporter behind Indonesia
and Australia. In the last couple of years, the industry has shifted its export
efforts from Europe, due to falling demand for coal there, to the AIPAC region.
In the AIPAC region, China is the biggest importer, but China owns the
Australian mining industry. China is also heading for a fall. Yes true their
economy is growing at 6.7% pa, but it needs to grow at around 10% pa if it
wants to provide jobs for all new entrants to the workforce. Except some of
those jobs are about to be exported to Europe, with Toyota leading the charge.</span></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">Looking
at the over-all picture, one might say that if Europe catches a cold then
Russia is going to get a dose of flu, given that a collapsing Europe desperate
to attract jobs and not able to afford imports will effect the AIPAC region’s
economic performance by sucking in manufacturing industries and hence jobs.
That will lead to a fall in demand for Russian exports.</span></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">Whilst
Putin may not be completely convinced about democracy, nobody could accuse him
of not having Russia’s best interests at heart. He just needs to realise that
those interests would be best served by a period of introspective economic
reform and growth promotion rather than indulging in global politics. Given the
potential of the Russian economy, if he can overcome decades of inertia and
resist the temptation to replay the Cold War, then in a decade or so Russia
will be a High-Tec economic power to be reckoned with. Then it will be the counterweight
to America that Putin would like it to be. In the meantime, America isn’t about
to collapse, despite the gloom and doom merchants. More on that next time, but
in the meantime…..</span></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">Made
that call yet Vladi?</span></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">@peterbernfeld</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">You might like to take a look at America's Chronicle <a href="http://www.robbingamerica.blogspot.com/">'Click click'</a></span><br />
<span style="font-style: normal; text-decoration: none;">For further facts on the Russian economy dart your digit <a href="http://www.economywatch.com/world_economy/russia/">here</a> </span></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoSubtitle" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-81472218870722622842012-05-26T10:31:00.000+12:002012-05-26T19:19:51.482+12:00Spotted Blog?<br />
<div class="MsoTitle">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
This week I thought I’d give you a series of seemingly
random dots, explore them individually then join them up in a series of
articles, all a little shorter than previous ones. Sort of easily digestible
bite – sized chunks if you will.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;"><span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">To start with
though, a bit of literary news and a shameless unsolicited plug. Not actually a
plug for my efforts as such, although I can tell you that one of my articles is
slated for publication in Latitudes and Attitudes magazine in October or
November. http://www.seafaring.com/</span><a href="http://www.seafaring.com/">Click here.</a></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">No, I want to
mention an old chum of mine, Larry Jeram-croft who’s published a couple of
cracking good books on Amazon The first one in the series, Sea Skimmer, </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<a href="http://roastbeefonsundays.blogspot.com/p/reading-recomendations.html"><span style="font-family: Arial;">see it here,</span></a></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">Is a fictional novel set during the
Falklands War. Or is it? Fictional that is. This year is the 30<sup>th</sup>
anniversary of the campaign and Larry, who was a helicopter pilot in the Royal
Navy at the time of the conflict, is putting extracts with comments from his
logbook on his blog, </span>http://sowethereyet.blogspot.com/<a href="http://sowethereyet.blogspot.com/">clickety-click.</a></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">For those who’ve read the book this
will be a fascinating insight into the truth behind the fiction (always
supposing the book is fiction). For those merely interested in military history
it will provide a glimpse of what it was like to sail to the South Atlantic and
go to war. OK, unsolicited plug over (er, cheque in the post then Old Boy?…..
just kidding, this will come as a surprise to Larry. A pleasant one I hope).</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">To finish the literary news on a
personal note, it would seem that Emma the Agent has found an illustrator for
the Trembling Tim stories. I’ve seen some initial drawings and although there’s
some ‘fine tuning’ to do, it’s all looking hopeful. More news as and when I
have some.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">Right then, let’s explore the first
random dot.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%;">
<br /></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: center;">
<i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><u><span style="font-family: Arial;">Is Russia about to repeat a historical
mistake?</span></u></i></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<span style="font-size: small;">A recent BBC report stated that Russia has just tested a
new ICBM. Apparently, they’ve tinkered around with the first stage booster to
make the launch more difficult to detect. It also has multiple warheads, which
will make the whole kit and caboodle more difficult to detect and shoot down.
Those ‘nasty ole Merkins’ have developed an anti-missile system and are
installing it in Europe and other places. THEY say it’s for protection against
possible rogue nuclear states or terrorist organisations that acquire nuclear
weapons (and the ICBMs to deliver them? Come on chaps, really!) Vladi Putin
sees this as a threat to Russia so they’ve developed the ‘stealth ICBM’.</span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<span style="font-size: small;">A threat? Well yes, if you think that a purely defensive
system would allow your ‘now sort-of friend and traditional long-term enemy’ to
launch a nuclear strike against you whilst being immune from a retaliatory
strike. Haven’t we been here before? Vladi, do yourself and the Russian economy
a favour and give Gorbie a call. I’ll come back to this, but first.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
Let’s connect
a couple of dots. America has heavily backed development of the Israeli ‘Iron
Dome’ anti missile system. Just recently, this system has successfully
destroyed 90% of the small missiles fired at Israel by Hamas, from Gaza. A
connection here, you might think, as in technology transfer? You know, ‘we’ll
give you guys a budget to develop an anti-missile system. The chances are that
you’ll get to extensively field-test it because we can always rely on the
Palestinians to make a series of militarily futile but highly irritating
attacks on Israel instead of sitting down and talking. Once we know it works,
we can incorporate it into our new missile shield’.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;"> I wonder if the new American ABM system has a
snazzy name, how about ‘Strategic Defence Initiative’? Oh wait; they’ve already
used that. A system which can successfully destroy a metre-long metal tube in
flight probably wouldn’t have too much trouble with tracking multiple warheads,
but hang on a minute; didn’t the former-Soviets trumpet their MIRV (multiple
independently targetable re-entry vehicle aka 6-10 nuclear warheads on one
launcher) as the answer to any anti-missile shield system? MIRV might have
given a first-strike capability <u style="text-underline: thick;">then</u>
because the SDI technology was ‘some years away’ from development. <u style="text-underline: thick;">Now</u> it isn’t, we are now those ‘some years
away’, and Iron Dome has shown that small targets can be regularly intercepted
in flight. Sure the range needs improving, but the basic technology has been
proven. The former Soviet Union is the former Soviet Union because they went
bust trying to match American technology, real or imagined. The ‘Third World
War’ was the first war in history won by one side outspending (and
out-bluffing) as opposed to out shooting another. Well, the Americans always
were good poker players, that hasn’t changed. Has the Russian economy changed
since the heady days of Communism? I think we should take a closer look, but
not right now.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<h1>
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> </span></span><i style="font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> <u>Pakistan</u></span></span></i><span style="text-decoration: none;"></span></h1>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<span style="font-size: small;">Pakistan has been complaining that America has been
violating its sovereignty recently. They cite the Seal-teams’ unannounced raid
on the late and in most quarter’s unlamented Bin Laden’s bijou town compound in
beautiful downtown Abbottabad. Surely you remember that? The small compound
situated next door to the Pakistani military academy, where presumably they
train the Pakistani military to be ever vigilant, alert and watchful. Oh OKAY,
it was just under a mile away, so it’s perfectly understandable that they
missed it. Or knew exactly where it was, depending on whether you are the
Pakistan Army, the Pakistan Government or ISI (Inter-Services Intelligence).
No, let’s be fair about this, you would probably have to be in the ‘right’
department of ISI to know where Bin laden was, the other departments were busy
helping the CIA look for him, on an expenses plus daily rate basis. Nothing
like a unified approach to national security, is there? You just can’t beat it,
unless you don’t tell them what you’re up to in their country. Anyway,
Abbottabad has apparently long been a favourite tourist destination, so perhaps
the Pakistan tourist authority is missing an opportunity here. Certainly
visitors were attracted to Abbottabad, so what are they complaining about?</span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<span style="font-size: small;">Apparently, heaven knows why, the Pakistan military is
miffed that the Americans (never NATO you notice, always ‘The Americans’)
manage to track down and kill Al Qaeda and Taliban members residing in Pakistan
with apparent impunity. That’s both residing in apparent impunity and crossing
the border with apparent impunity. Sometimes they chase them across the border
in hot pursuit, sometimes they just cross the border and have a general nose
round to see who they can turn up and sometimes they send drones across which
have a lengthy nose around then kill people. Usually the right ones, but let’s
not split hairs. </span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<span style="font-size: small;">The Pakistanis are of course absolutely correct. This is a
gross violation of their sovereignty but what really miffs them I suspect is
there’s actually bugger-all they can do about it. Apart from actually cooperate
with NATO (sorry, ‘The Americans’) in the fight against International
Terrorism. Or Afghani freedom fighters, as some in ISI prefer to call them. </span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<span style="font-size: small;">All this is complicated because Pakistan has nuclear
weapons and if not ICBMs then launchers that can reach most of India and/or
Afghanistan. India of course has just test-fired a missile that could hit parts
of China, should Chinese troops ever misread their maps and cross the border
into India looking for food or alternative employment. India is also a pal of
the Americans, or at least was until they didn’t cut down on their imports of
Iranian oil enough to keep Madame Clinton and her boss happy. Maybe if they did
buy more oil from Saudi, which has ambitions of empire in the Gulf region to
counter the growing Iranian military threat, then the Americans might sell them
their ABM system. They don’t really need it, they ‘outgun’ Pakistan in every
sense of the word but it would be handy to be able to threaten Pakistan with a
first-strike that Pakistan wouldn’t successfully be able to respond to whilst
not actually having to carry out the threat. After all, they might need the
missiles to keep out job-seeking Chinese. What? Read on.</span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<br /></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: center;">
<span style="font-size: small;"><i><u>Castles
(Toyota factories) in Spain</u></i></span></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<span style="font-size: small;">So, Toyota is about to build a new factory in Spain.
Exporting one million cars a year they say to Europe (they’ll be cheap, economy
models then) and the East coast of the USA. If things go according to plan the
new plant will be operating 24/7, be the most modern cost-efficient and green
–energy using plant that Japanese money (or EU subsidized funding) can buy and
will provide direct employment for twenty-five thousand Spaniards. Plus no
doubt associated jobs, which some estimate as high as two or three for every
direct employee. This contrasts with a Toyota plant in China which currently
exports to the east Coast of the USA amongst other places, which is not very
energy efficient being built in the eighties and that Toyota have announced
that they are closing. This plant creates NINE other related jobs according to
the Chinese. Well, it did. Now it’s closing. Cheaper to manufacture in Europe
now? Well there is a health care system in place in Spain, in China Toyota has
to provide health care for its employees. The Chinese have occasionally gone on
strike to get higher wages, and they have succeeded in their aim. The Spaniards
may well be happy to get a job. Of course, the new plant will need steel to
build the cars. It might be steel produced by an Indian-owned company but it
probably won’t be steel produced in India because one of the rationales for
building the plant in Spain is to cut down on shipping costs from China. Or
India, as the case may be. Lucky the Indians have a deterrent to keep all those
new Chinese job seekers out then. They’ll have enough of their own if steel
manufacture moves to Europe because all those European countries have available
work-forces and are now industry-friendly because they need to attract external
investment. Like the sea, the tide of jobs flows one way, then after a while,
it flows another.</span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<span style="font-size: small;">Luckily, India has a friend who at a pinch has an ABM
system available. They just have to cut down on oil imports from Iran, which is
trying to develop ICBMs and nuclear weapons. They, Iran, won’t succeed, probably because of sanctions
and because their air-defence system (ADS) couldn’t cope with a determined
aerial bombardment, launched by somebody who is determined that they won’t get
nuclear weapons. Israel say, who has developed the Iron Dome anti-missile
system with funding from America, so they can incorporate the technology in
their new AMB missile shield that has Vladi Putin so worked up. Make that call
Vladi, NOW!</span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<span style="font-size: small;">The Iranian ADS might have posed a credible threat IF they
had the Russian SA300 Surface to Air Missile system (SAM). They signed a
contract with Russia in 2007, or not depending on which version of events you
believe, and are anxiously, or futilely, awaiting delivery. They hope before
the Americans repair their F22 Raptor aircraft that have allegedly been
deployed to the Middle East.</span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<br /></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: center;">
<span style="font-size: small;"><i><u>In the meantime</u></i></span></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<span style="font-size: small;">Queen Angela (Merkel) is not enjoying the French
revolution and wishes the revolting French could afford to buy their own damn
cake and preferably eat it somewhere else.</span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<span style="font-size: small;">America has a new investment bubble bulging. It’s actually
a Government inspired one, but it does throw up some interesting statistics
which give lie to a couple of urban myths.</span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<span style="font-size: small;">Next time let’s take a look at the Russian economy and who
knows, if Greece succeeds in staying in the Eurozone Chinese companies might be
opening up new manufacturing plants there instead of in <span class="st">Guangdong.</span></span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span class="st">@peterbernfeld</span></span></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-84822085154625966752012-05-19T17:30:00.000+12:002012-05-26T21:36:02.300+12:00Dog bites man. Or did it?<br />
<div class="MsoBodyText">
Every journalist knows that ‘dog bites man’ is not a story
whereas ‘man bites dog’ makes a great one. I was reminded of this when reading
about the banking crisis in Spain, and that in turn sparked off a memory of a
half-remembered event.</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
I was going somewhere by ferry, I think it was to France
or just possibly Guernsey, but I really can’t remember for sure and it’s not
important. There was a delay of several hours, due to a mechanical fault with
the ferry, and we were all offered refreshment vouchers, for which there was
the inevitable queue. Some people were extremely disgruntled but most, like
myself, were quietly philosophical about it. A local TV news team turned up,
slightly pushy female interviewer, cameraman, sound recordist and a large van
with the station logo plastered all over it. She, Daphne
Blonde-Paddedshoulders, prowled up and down the various lines of people and for
some reason thrust her microphone under my nose.</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
“Terrible isn’t it? How are you coping?”</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
Coping with what? I gave my considered reply.</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
“Actually they’ve given us plenty of information, are
going to feed us and it’s not so much a problem as a minor inconvenience”.</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
Not what Ms Blonde-Paddedshoulders wanted to hear so she
moved on and tried again.</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
“It’s terrible. They’re not telling us anything. I’ve been
queuing for hours and my family are going to be frantically worried, I’m really
stressed out by this horrible experience etc etc etc.”</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
Bingo. An interview was duly recorded and for all I know
duly broadcast. Others who obviously wanted to appear on TV also obligingly
gave vent to their newly acquired spleen. Long on emotion but a bit short on
facts, never mind, man had obligingly bitten dog.</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
Fast forward to the run on the bank in Spain, conveniently
for those with a bad memory named Bankia, that seemingly never was. Or might
have been, depending on your interpretation of what may or may not have
happened. Conchita Helena Maria de la Vegas and her team of intrepid,
battle-hardened technicians pounce on unsuspecting Bankia employees as they
leave work.</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
“Eh Juan. Tough day, si?”</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
“Not really, pretty average I’d say…”</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
Pick another one.</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
“Juanita, busier than usual today si?”</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
“Si, a bit. More withdrawals than usual, a few accounts
closed….”</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
“You’d say that people were panicking?”</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
“I’d say that they were concerned but…”</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
“But some might have panicked enough to close their
accounts and withdraw their money?”</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
“I suppose some might have been but…”</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
Bingo! Never mind the ‘buts’. An unstated number people on
hearing that the bank was to be partly nationalised had decided to move an
unsubstantiated amount of their money elsewhere. Man munches hapless mutt.</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
So was there a run on the bank or not? When there was a
run on the Northern Rock in the UK, there were news-clips of queues stretching
around the block. There was no doubt that people were closing their accounts in
large numbers. I must have missed those in the reports that I’ve looked at
about recent events in Spain. However, shares in Bankia did fall by thirty
percent, so bearing in mind the bank has been partly nationalised perhaps a
good time to consider buying. It might be instructive to see who buys when that
inevitably occurs. Manipulation, surely not.</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
<br /></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoBodyText" style="text-align: center;">
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><u>Queen Angela</u></b></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoBodyText" style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
Fresh from her successful intervention in the French
presidential elections, ‘Iron’ Chancellor Angela Merkel apparently decided to
give a few helpful suggestions to beleaguered Greek President <span class="grsslicetext">Karolos Papoulias, or not, depending on whose version of
events you believe. Of course it’s unlikely that a foreign head of government
would intervene in the internal electoral affairs of another country… sorry
that was a typo, I meant to say that it WAS unlikely, ‘was’ as in used to be.
Apparently, Frau Merkel has rewritten the rules. Given her recent track record,
President Obama is probably praying nightly that she publicly endorse
Republican candidate Mitt Romney in the November elections. To be fair, and why
not, it’s more than likely that she just mentioned in passing that the
forthcoming Greek elections might be seen in some quarters as a vote on whether
the Greek electorate wanted to stay in the Euro or not. That in itself reveals
a slight disconnect from reality though as none of the aspiring Greek prime
ministers are saying they want to leave the Eurozone, they just don’t want to
repay their debts. Well who does, but sometimes you just have to. Of course, if
you are unemployed, exist on dwindling state handouts and have no expectations
of things improving then it has to be conceded that repaying debts is somewhat
problematic. This is where perhaps a combined austerity/growth approach might
be the best long-term bet. However, ‘sie wollen sie, die dame is nicht fur das
drehen’. That may or may not translate into the immortal words of Queen Maggie
the first (you turn if you want to, the lady is not for turning). Fairly
shortly after that there was a palace coup and the UK bid farewell to La
Thatcher. Queen Angela might have noticed that her loyal subjects, aka the
German electorate, aren’t proving to be quite so loyal just at the moment. Either
she’ll turn or they will, turn her out that is.</span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
<span class="grsslicetext">Meanwhile Italian technocrat,
unelected Prime Minister ‘Super Mario’ Monti has asked journalists to stop
asking so many questions about the Italian economy. They have problems but
it’ll be OK in the end. It probably will, but ‘Super Mario’ needs to remember
the old adage, dog bites man no story but man munches mutt is big news. The
folks who strive to bring you ‘breaking news’ 24/7 can’t just sit in front of
the cameras and say ‘nothing has happened in the last ten minutes’, they have
to say something, even if they later change the story to fit the facts. In the
meantime, the moneymen circle like interested vultures seeking an opportunity
for a quick snack, but you can’t only blame them, own any shares do you? It’s
nice to see them increase in value (remember that?) and the dividends can come
in handy.</span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
<span class="grsslicetext">Now here’s an interesting
thought. Given that most commentators now seem to agree that Greece ‘cooked the
books’ when applying to join the euro and most if not all of the ‘gang’ already
in decided to turn a blind eye, who is actually to blame for this mess? Well
you certainly can’t accuse former Icelandic Prime Minister Geir Haarde,
although he was accused and convicted of complicity in the 2008 Icelandic banking
crisis. Perhaps there’ll be a choice of demonstrations in Europe this summer.
‘What do you think we should do today, play ‘pass the tear gas canisters’ with
the local gendarmerie or shall we converge on Brussels and see how many
politicians we can get into the dock?’</span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
<br /></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoBodyText" style="text-align: center;">
<span class="grsslicetext"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><u>Meanwhile</u></b></span></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoBodyText" style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
<span class="grsslicetext">On the other side of the World,
newly appointed Australian Foreign Minister Bob Carr was having difficulty
remembering which Chinese Government official said what to him during a series
of meetings in Beijing. </span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
<span class="grsslicetext">Australian Foreign ministers seem
to have difficulty with their memories. The last incumbent. Kevin Rudd, seemed
to forget that he was no longer Prime Minister, having previously been
effectively knifed in the back by Prime Minister Julia Gillard. Knifed or did
she use a stiletto? Never mind, Foreign Minister Carr finally decided that it
was probably his Chinese counterpart, </span>Yang Jiechi, who told him that
that “the time for 'Cold War alliances' has long since passed." </div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
No doubt he was also subtly reminded that twenty five
percent of Australia’s exports go to China, which also appears to own most of
the Australian mining industry. Be a shame if China went broke then, wouldn’t
it, but I’m sure that that wasn’t mentioned. No, what prompted the comment was
the recent deployment of American marines to Darwin. Under a recently signed
defence agreement, America can station troops in Northern Australia,
conveniently or inconveniently close to places where China currently enjoys
economic dominance. Particularly handy if America ever decided that they were
fed up with long-tern friend the Philippines being pushed around by China over
the Scarborough Shoals, a collection of coral atolls about one hundred and
twenty-odd miles away from the Philippines, Subic Bay in fact, and five hundred
away from the Chinese mainland. </div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
Speaking of Subic Bay, the former US navy base in the
Philippines, China didn’t press its claim on the Scarborough Shoals until after
the US navy had vacated the base. Funny old thing that. It’s all about fishing
of course and just recently Beijing’s least favourite client state, North
Korea, has detained twenty-nine Chinese fishermen for illegally fishing in
their territorial waters. You can’t really blame the Chinese fishermen for
being confused; they fish everywhere else in the Pacific region. </div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
Meanwhile, back at the Scarborough Shoals the Philippines
has suggested UN mediation over the sovereignty issue whilst China has
suggested that they have a bigger navy than the Philippines. </div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
Beginning to join some dots up? I can’t verify this but I
believe that Lee Kuan Yew, Singaporean elder statesman and regional realist,
once remarked that you could say what you liked about America, but if they were
asked to leave a country they left, unlike some others who refused to go. I wonder
to whom he was referring?</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
<br /></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoBodyText" style="text-align: center;">
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><u>All in all</u></b></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoBodyText" style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
A bit of a mess all round. Nothing a good war wouldn’t
sort out though, which is a worrying thought. That brings me on to my next
short topic.</div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
I was slightly amused to read reports that two Turkish Air
force fighters were scrambled to intercept an Israeli reconnaissance flight
over Northern Cyprus. Just to join up a couple of dots, nobody except Turkey
recognises The Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC) as an independent
state. Israel and Greek Cyprus, if I may put it like that, have recently begun
joint development of offshore gas fields, which of course Turkey would rather
like to get their hands on. Allegedly the Israeli aircraft penetrated TRNC
airspace ‘four or five times’, but the intercepting Turkish aircraft were
unable to visually confirm the Israeli Aircraft type. Strange then that they
should be so certain that it was an Israeli aircraft. Equally strange, given
that non-friendly air forces frequently intercept each other’s aircraft and
film them that the Turks didn’t get close enough to do the same. </div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
Maybe the Israeli aircraft was under orders to avoid any
possible confrontation.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">Maybe the
Turkish aircraft were under orders to avoid any possible confrontation in case
the Israeli aircraft wasn’t (think about that for a moment).</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">Maybe it
wasn’t an Israeli aircraft, but you can always blame them, everybody does.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">Maybe, if any
of Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan’s senior military officers, or at least those
who aren’t in the slammer accused of plotting a military coup, dare mention it,
maybe Israel was testing Turkish air force reaction times.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<h1>
<span style="font-size: small;"> <u>And Finally</u></span></h1>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText">
To end on a literary note. Emma the Agent has found an
illustrator for the ‘Trembling Tim’ stories. Negotiations are ongoing as are
sample illustrations. More next time, if there are developments.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">Really
finally, I’m setting up (OK, daughter Pauline is setting up) my personal domain
name (whatever that is….now you know why Pauline is doing it)</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;"><a href="http://www.peterbernfeld.com/">www.peterbernfeld.com</a></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">I’ll let you
know when it’s up and running. There’ll be a notice on here and a redirecting
link.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Arial;">@peterbernfeld</span></div>Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-83820480580477486372012-05-13T16:09:00.004+12:002012-05-18T07:43:32.505+12:00The Winds of Change are a-blowin'<div class="MsoTitle">
<br /></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: center; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><u><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Are they a fully blown hurricane of a mere zephyr?</span></u></b></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: center; text-indent: 1cm;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoBodyText" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<span style="font-size: small;">I decide to remain, metaphorically speaking, in the Middle East for this article because although interesting events are unfolding in Europe, it’s still too soon to make any assumptions about what may or may not arise phoenix-like from the ashes. Make no mistake though, the European project is in tatters. It will survive in some shape or form, of that I am certain, but for the moment, as they used to say on a childrens TV program, ‘anything can happen in the next half hour’.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: small;"><br />
</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: small;">Most of the news concerning the Middle East tends to be reported from a ‘Western-centric’ perspective, so I thought that it might be instructive to take a slightly sideways look at what’s happening in the region, seen from a variety of Middle-Eastern sources. Dominating the Western media is of course the upcoming presidential elections in Egypt, so why don’t we start there?</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: small;"><br />
</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: small;">One aspect that has received some comment in the Western media is the fact the Islamist candidates are suffering a backlash at the moment. Ostensibly this has been caused by a demonstration organised by the Salafists, ultraconservative Islamists, outside the Egyptian Ministry of Defence building in Cairo, which resulted in the death of one soldier and injuries to others. Footage of gunmen seemingly firing from the minaret of a mosque at the soldiers was broadcast on Egyptian television and has received much negative comment. Predictably the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces, in effect the current Egyptian Government, has been using this footage to tap into the average Egyptians respect for the army and promptly and loudly blamed the Muslim Brotherhood for the violence. In point of fact they weren’t involved in that particular demonstration and reportedly disbanded one that they had organised. However several Egyptian commentators have expressed the view that the Egyptian electorate doesn’t distinguish between Islamic organisations. That might be so and as we all know the outcome of revolutions can turn on a single event, but I suspect there is more to this than is immediately apparent. Perhaps what we are seeing is the Egyptian electorate realising exactly who, or what, they did elect to parliament and are having second thoughts about the desirability of Sharia law and all its implications.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: small;"><br />
</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: small;">Related to this is a decision by Egypts highest administrative court which ruled that the presidential elections must proceed as scheduled on may 23<sup>rd. </sup>Additionally they upheld the right of the Election Commission to challenge a law barring some former members of the Mubarak administration from standing for president. The same Election Commission had previously barred the Muslim brotherhood’s preferred presidential candidate from standing in the up coming election, which sparked off the protests outside the Ministry of Defence buildings. The Military Government of course appointed the Election Commision, so predictably and possibly quite accurately the Islamist parties who form the largest group in the recently elected parliament have accused the Military of trying to retain power. Also predictably, Israeli commentators in particular and Western commentators in general are focussing on the fact that the Islamists will control the parliament no matter which candidate wins the presidential election, but in the rush to be concerned they have missed a few interesting ‘straws in the wind’.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: small;"><br />
</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: small;">The first straw that blew passed my window had one Mahmoud Zahar clinging to it. Zahar, described by various sources as a ‘top Hamas official in Gaza’, has just taken an interesting step that possibly has wider-reaching implications. He’s claimed Egyptian citizenship under a law allowing the children of Egyptian mothers to obtain an Egyptian passport. This law has been either in existence for some time but the Mubarak regime wouldn’t allow such claims or it’s been passed since the fall of the former regime, the background is a little unclear. Zahar has proudly announced his intention to vote for an Islamist presidential candidate who he feels will be more pro-Palestinian than the Mubarak Government was. Well that’s fine, he’s entitled to vote now that he is an Egyptian citizen, and he’s not alone. Several hundreds of Palestinians with Egyptian mothers have also been granted citizenship and reportedly there are thousands of Egyptian families with Palestinian children. This does mean of course that they are no longer refugees and they have a country of residence. Nobody is making much of this at the moment, but sooner or later somebody will ask an embarrassing question about UN funding for the now former refugees. That might lead to a look at the number of Palestinians on the West Bank who hold Jordanian passports. Previously, these individuals could claim that Jordanian law discriminated against them in the matter of land and property ownership in Jordan, but following recent legislation in that country this is no longer the case. So in effect, they are no longer refugees either. Anybody say anything about unforseen consequences? Remember you read it here first folks.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: small;"><br />
</span></div>
<div class="introduction" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; margin: 0cm; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: small;">The second straw had a report from that stronghold of liberal thought and progressive social policies Saudi Arabia, tied to it. King Abdullah has just fired Sheikh Abdelmohsen al-Obeikan. Who? Formerly an advisor to the Royal Court and now spending more time with his family, al-Obeikan was very definitely not of a progessive bent and opposed amongst other things the relaxation of gender segregation. I take that to mean that he wasn’t keen on the idea of men and women meeting socially or at work, God forbid that they should actually talk to each other, the women might actually express an opinion or two. According to the former advisor, not actually quoted in the Saudi press but he was elsewhere, there were moves afoot by "influential people to corrupt Muslim society by trying to change the natural status of women". As one of those ‘influential people’ just happened to be his former boss King Abdullah, there was no way that opposition to this radical, shameful idea was a good career move. So this ‘corruption of Muslim society’ is just a blatant attempt by the Saudi monarchy to prevent another outbreak of the ‘Arab Spring’ and hang on to absolute power then? Just possibly not, but you’ll have to follow me whilst I join up the dots. In the meantime, just to prove that al-Obeikan himself is a bit of a closet reformer, this was his vision of how to go about relaxing gender-segregation. Several years ago he issued a decree suggesting that unrelated Saudi men and women could mix so long as the man drank the woman's breast milk, thus creating a maternal bond between them. He didn’t specify as to whether this should be done before they met and did not propose a method of drinking of the breast milk. And that some people think that men and women shouldn’t shake hands!</span></div>
<div class="introduction" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; margin: 0cm; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: small;"><br />
</span></div>
<div class="introduction" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; margin: 0cm; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: small;">King Abdullah is not your average repressive absolute monarch, he has some strange ideas. He thinks that eventually women should be allowed to vote in elections, whatever they are, has opened a co-educational university in Saudi Arabia and has introduced measures against domestic violence, presumably this refers to violence against women and not other domestic animals. Additionally, last January he replaced the head of the Mutawa, the religious police, with somebody regarded as being more liberally-minded. More liberally-minded probably being a comparison and not a comment on the present-incumbents actual views. At this rate, they’ll be allowing Princess Basma Bint Saud back home. Who? A journalist now living in London, she is the youngest daughter of the late King Saud. Taken by her Syrian mother to live in Beirut, when the civil war broke out in 1975 they went to London. Obviously a close-knit family then. She had attended a Christian missionary school whilst in Beirut (which might explain going to London not Riyad) and after finishing her education off in Switzerland at some point returned to Saudi Arabia and married. Despite her early education by French Missionary nuns, she is a committed Muslim. After her divorce and subsequently starting a chain of restaurants in Saudi Arabia, she moved back to London with three of her children. Unusual for a divorced Saudi woman to have custody of her children, nethertheless she managed it. She gave several interviews and wrote articles about the status of women in Saudi Arabia whilst in Saudi Arabia, particularly in favour of the reform reform of divorce laws, and her writing was censured. She says this had nothing to do with the decision to return to London, where she has also commented publicly on Sharia law, the role of women in Saudi society and perhaps tellingly the relaxation of the rules governing the segragation of men and women. She is careful to not blame the Saudi royal family for any repression; rather she blames ‘govenors and middle managers.’ Such as al-Obeikan perhaps. All in all, her comments are thoughtful and dare one say respectful but critical of certain aspects of the current Saudi interpretation of Islam. If she were to ask my advice I’d say buy a smart new set of luggage but don’t buy the airline ticket home just yet.</span></div>
<div class="introduction" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; margin: 0cm; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: small;"><br />
</span></div>
<div class="introduction" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; margin: 0cm; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: small;">So what’s going on? Obviously there’s an attempt to loosen the reins, but I feel there is more to it than that. Most people know, even if it’s not a topic of daily conversation, that the brand of Islam in Saudi Arabia is Wahhabism. This is a very strict branch of Sunni Islam, and doesn’t have many other adherents in the Arabian peninsular. Now it starts to get interesting. The current king, Abdullah, received a traditional religious education but is not known to share the puritanical view of Islam espoused by the religious authorities in Saudi Arabia. He does however have an empathy with the traditional Saudi way of life, and in that context is cautiously embarking on reform, believing that it will prevent internal strife. Another straw in the wind, the ruling Al Saud family, rulers of the area known as the Hejaz, were exiled to Kuwait in 1891 following a power struggle, before returning in 1902 and over a period of time seizing and consolidating power in what would become Saudi Arabia, with the help of the Ikwahan or brotherhood, a sect based on Wahhabism. The sect and the Al Sauds fell out in 1912 and what is happening now is possibly Abdullah finally starting to cut the remaining ties.</span></div>
<div class="introduction" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; margin: 0cm; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: small;"><br />
</span></div>
<div class="introduction" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; margin: 0cm; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: small;">All very interesting, but where is this taking us? How about the tribal ties between the Gulf States (excluding Oman) and Saudi Arabia? The inhabitants of the remaining Gulf States, Kuwait, UAE, Qatar and Bahrain share a tribal heritage. Most of the populations originate from either what is now Saudi Arabia or Yemen and as we know, tribal alliegences are still strong in the Arab world. So what? Well you might have heard of the Cooperation Council Gulf for the Arab States of the Gulf (CCASG). Maybe you weren’t sure exactly what it was called, but now you know. This organisation has been in existence since 1981. </span></div>
<div class="introduction" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; margin: 0cm; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: small;">Its major objectives included:</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; margin-left: 18pt; text-align: justify;">
<span lang="EN" style="font-size: small;">Passing similar legislation in various fields such as economy, finance, trade, customs, tourism, legislation, and administration.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; margin-left: 18pt; text-align: justify;">
<span lang="EN" style="font-size: small;">Encouraging scientific and technical progress in industry, mining, agriculture, water and animal resources.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; margin-left: 18pt; text-align: justify;">
<span lang="EN" style="font-size: small;">Establishing scientific research centers.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; margin-left: 18pt; text-align: justify;">
<span lang="EN" style="font-size: small;">Establishing joint ventures.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; margin-left: 18pt; text-align: justify;">
<span lang="EN" style="font-size: small;">Creating a unified military presence (Peninsula Shield Force).</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; margin-left: 18pt; text-align: justify;">
<span lang="EN" style="font-size: small;">Encouraging cooperation of the private sector.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; margin-left: 18pt; text-align: justify;">
<span lang="EN" style="font-size: small;">Strengthening ties between their peoples. </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; margin-left: 18pt; text-align: justify;">
<span lang="EN" style="font-size: small;">Establishing a common currency by 2010.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; margin-left: 18pt; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: small;"><br />
</span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<span lang="EN" style="font-size: small;">The latter objective has fallen by the wayside. Oman pulled out in 2006 and the UAE was miffed when it was proposed that the central bank be located in Saudi Arabia.</span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<span style="font-size: small;"><br />
</span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<span lang="EN" style="font-size: small;">The Gulf region had a rapidly growing economy and most of the Gulf countries had an eye to establishing sufficient currency reserves to cushion falling revenues as the oil begins to run out. Unfortunately, when confronted with an economic downturn, most of the countries resorted to what amounted to bribing their citizens to maintain internal stability. A fine example of this occurred in Saudi Arabia itself when the local stock market took a dive, along with every other stock market worldwide. A member of the Royal Family stepped up to the plate and injected several hundred million US dollars into the market by purchasing tanking stock. Predictably the price of the stock rose and everybody's portfolio recovered in value. Saudis thought their Royal family was wonderful. For now. This is not a workable long-term economic strategy. Most of the Gulf States import cheap labour. This means that citizens either do nothing or occupy senior management positions whilst still enjoying State handouts, based on the oil revenues. Saudi Arabia must have the highest number of Phds in Islamic studies per head of population in the entire world, perhaps good for the spiritual side of life but when you need doctors, engineers and scientists it’s a drag on the economy rather than a stimulant.</span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<span style="font-size: small;"><br />
</span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<span lang="EN" style="font-size: small;">Faced with a variety of external and internal problems, the CCASG countries announced in March 2012 that the organisation would be evolving from a regional bloc to a confederation. Now the word confederation has two meanings, but in 21<sup>st</sup> century political terms it has come to mean a permanent union of several political entities to deal with other political entities. This will eventually lead to a central government, but in the early stages of development will mean joint economic and military endeavours. So purely hypothetically, let’s say that the Gulf States were becoming concerned about, oh I don’t know, Iran, just mentioning a country off the top of my head for no particular reason. Let’s just say that they, the Arab Gulf countries, decided to form a regional power block of Arab Monarchys, some more liberal and quasi-democratic than others, but all enjoying greater or lesser tribal links and similar cultures and the same language. And lets suppose that this regional bloc had had to intervene militarily in a member state, which for the purposes of this article we’ll refer to as Bahrain, to preserve internal order. Or supress a revolt by the oppressed Shia majority, depending on your point of view. Let’s further suppose that the largest of these countries, having control over the holy city of Mecca, regarded itself as the de facto leader of the Islamic World. If you were the absolute monarch of such a country, the strongest military and economic entity in the evolving confederation, wouldn’t you sit in your desert palace and dream dreams of empire, or in modern 21<sup>st</sup> century terms, being the strong central government of a confederation? And of course, as an absolute monarch, you might feel moved to make your country more attractive to the citizens of the other confederation members by liberalising certain aspects of day to day life. You might even reflect on the fact that Switzerland is officially a confederation. Hmm, SaudGulfAbia? Switzerland sans cookoo clocks, chocolate and Alpenhorns. Dubai has a ski resort though.</span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<span style="font-size: small;"><br />
</span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<span lang="EN" style="font-size: small;">Straws in the wind?</span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<span lang="EN" style="font-size: small;">Perhaps.</span></div>
<div class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">
<span lang="EN" style="font-size: small;">Perhaps not.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: small;"><br />
</span><br />
<span style="font-size: small;">@PeterBernfeld<br />
</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-size: small;"><br />
</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1cm;">
<span style="font-size: small;"><br />
</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; line-height: 150%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1cm;">
<span style="font-size: small;"><br />
</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
<br /></div>Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-18925683208599372002012-05-09T20:41:00.002+12:002012-05-18T07:44:02.052+12:00Iran part two<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"> <u>Will they or won’t they?</u></i></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
If you haven’t got around to reading the IAEA fifteen page report, I think it’s fair to summarise it as; <i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;">smoking gun not found, but there was a whiff of cordite in the air.</i> Certainly the report could find no credible reason for enriching uranium to twenty percent, as Iran is currently doing, when the centrifuges work that is. They also were unconvinced of the need for Iran to investigate a trigger mechanism, whilst conceding that it could have some civilian applications. Iran did not appear to be pursuing any of those applications.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
Let’s consider why Iran would want a civilian nuclear power program. Why would any country want to pursue a nuclear power program? The two most obvious answers are little or no access to fosil fuels for a variety of reasons and a forecast increase in power demand which existing power generation facilities will not be able to meet. In fact, let’s take a brief overview of Iran as a country. I’ll give you some bald facts, most valid as of January 2012 and drawn from a variety of sources. Naturally, I can make no claim for the veracity of these figures, which in many cases are estimates (not mine).</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
The population was 77,891,220 as of July 2011. </div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
Of these, 70.9% were in the age group 14-64.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
The median age was 26.8 years</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
Population growth estimated at 1.24% pa</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
Life expectancy at birth 70.06 years (don’t you just love statistics)</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
The literacy rate of fifteen to twenty four year olds is claimed as 98.7%.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
HIV/AIDS adult prevelance rate 0.2% (2009 estimate)</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
For those like me who didn’t know, the prevelance rate is found by dividing the number of those living with HIV/AIDS by the total number of population.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
So all in all, apart from a low life expectancy, a reasonable picture. Not an aging population and population growth is reasonable but hardly explosive.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Ethnic groups</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">: </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Persian 61%, Azeri 16%, Kurd 10%, Lur 6%, Baloch 2%, Arab 2%, Turkmen and Turkic tribes 2%, other 1% (2008 est.)</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">OK, well I can see some potential problems there, bearing in mind that Iran is still a fairly tribal society outside of the major cities. The Kurds are a potential source of conflict because of pan-Kurdish aspirations to an independent Kurdistan and for anybody who might have been unsure, Iran is very definitely NOT an Arab nation.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Religions</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">: </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Muslim (official) 98% (Shia 89%, Sunni 9%), other (includes Zoroastrian, Jewish, Christian, and Baha'i) 2%. No surprises there, I’m sure.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Taking a brief overview of the economy, we find that most industries are state owned and run, inefficiently by all accounts, and there is an over- reliance on the oil industry. Inflation is high and no doubt getting higher whilst unemployment is in double-digit figures. There is an ongoing-problem with people leaving the country to seek employment.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";"> There are state subsidies on food and energy, which Ahmadinejad has been trying to cut for a number of years, no doubt why the Majlis (parliament) summoned him to explain the state of the economy.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">There is not much publicly available information on manufacturing industries, the inference being that these are small-scale family-run affairs. This is important when we come to look at the energy sector. What this does mean is that things like ‘white goods’ have to be imported and this is where sanctions will be biting.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Agriculture</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">: products listed are </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">wheat, rice, other grains, sugar beets, sugar cane, fruits, nuts, cotton; dairy products, wool; caviar. I could find no mention of meat production or fishing, but they must exist, if only on a family-enterprise level.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Natural resources</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">: </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">petroleum, natural gas, coal, chromium, copper, iron ore, lead, manganese, zinc, sulfur</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">The picture I have is of a non-industrial country, probably able to feed itself but nor particularly well or reliably. There have been reports of Iran trying to buy rice from other countries. Beef and veal imports have been falling quite dramatically since 2010. I can find nothing to suggest that Iranian meat production has risen to meet the drop in imports, so the implication is that meat consumption must be falling, probably either as a result of sanctions or lack of foreign currency. </span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Let’s take a look at the energy sector, again sorry for a stream of figures, but they tell an interesting story.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Oil - production</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">: </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">4.252 million bbl/day (2010 est)</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Oil - consumption</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">: </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">1.845 million bbl/day (2010 est)</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Oil - exports</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">: </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">2.523 million bbl/day (2009 est.)</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Oil - imports</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">: </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">297,100 bbl/day (2009 est.)</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">These figures include oil products. They do not take into account any fluctuation in oil reserves. Overall, a healthy picture one would say, provided of course the oil exports continue. But remember the question, why would Iran want to develop a civilian nuclear industry?</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Proven Oil reserves</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">: </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">137 billion bbl based on Iranian claims. <br />
Iran has about 10% of world reserves (1 January 2011 est.) </span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">My maths is not of the highest calibre, but I reckon that’s about one hundred years worth of oil in the ground, assuming they don’t find any more. For a democratically elected government, not a real looming problem but for a theocracy with perhaps a longer view, well maybe. Oil of course is not everything.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Natural gas reserves</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">: 41.41 Trillion (yup, trillion) cu m</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Natural gas production</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">: </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">138.5 billion cu m (2010 est.)</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Natural gas consumption</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">: 137 billion cu m (2010 est)</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">I’m beginning to think that Iran might just possibly be in great shape, from an energy perspective, particularly when a further gas reserve estimated at 1.42 trillion cu m was discovered in the Iranian part of the Caspian Sea in late 2011. Then there’s renewable energy sources, which brings us to the final set of figures, electricity (or electrickery if you prefer).</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";"> These figures show the annual electricity generated expressed in kilowatt-hours. There are figures available which show estimated losses in power transmission and electricity exported, but let’s keep it simple.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Electricity generated</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">: </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">212.8 billion kWh (2009 est.)</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Electricity - consumption</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">: </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">206.7 billion kWh (2009 est.)</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Electricity from renewable sources</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">: 7.46 billion kWh (2009.)</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">My friends, Iran needs nuclear energy with all its associated problems like a hole in the head. There is no push for rapid industrialisation hence no plausible claim of a dramatic future increase in demand for power. If, a big if, a decision had been taken to leave the oil and gas in the ground and look for other energy sources then why would you re-invent the wheel and go for old nuclear technology? You’d want the latest, safest most future-proof ‘kit’ that you could buy or persuade somebody to give you and if that meant you had make a few new friends in order to lay your hands on this equipment without upsetting a lot of people then you’d do that. As we all know, Iran has not chosen to do this, so there are two possible conclusions:</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";"> 1) The new friends that they would have to make are unnaceptable to them.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36.0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo5; tab-stops: list 36.0pt; text-align: justify; text-indent: -18.0pt;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">2)<span style="font: 7pt "Times New Roman";"> </span></span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">They are developing nuclear weapons and need the cover of a civilian nuclear industry.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; margin-left: 36pt; text-align: justify; text-indent: -18pt;">
<br /></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";"> <u>The Great Satan and The Little Satan</u></span></b><b><u><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">.</span></u></b></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Just in case you’ve been holidaying off the planet for the last thirty-three years, the above is how Iran refers to America and Israel respectively. Now America has nuclear weapons and a civilian nuclear energy program. Israel has a 1950s nuclear plant at Dimona, built with the French, which is widely believed to produce weapons grade plutonium. To avoid reliance on imported coal and seeking a clean form of electricity, they proposed a joint civilian nuclear program with Jordan, under French supervision, but this was rejected by Jordan as inapropriate until the question of a Palestinian state had been resolved. Currently both Israel and Jordan import Egyptian natural gas, but recently Israel has accelerated development of off-shore gas fields and has large reserves of Shale Oil, but there are environmental concerns connected with developing those.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">So, if you were Iran you’d probably turn to France for nuclear expertise if you didn’t want to talk to America. Nope, impressed by the technology of Chernobyl they went to Russia. If you believe the CIA, and I mean who wouldn’t, they also sought advice from Pakistan and North Korea, both of whom have nuclear weapons but not much in the way of a civilian nuclear power industry. Hmmm. It certainly looks like a duck as it waddles and quacks its way across the farmyard, but why would Iran want nuclear weapons?</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">The conventional answer to that would be to make themselves safe from attack, but attack by whom? Well, America and Israel obviously, but would having nuclear weapons, or trying to acquire them, actually make them safer? Iran would probably point to North Korea as proof that having some sort of nuclear capability would mean they were safe from attack. I would direct your and their attention to Pakistan, whose sovereignty is regularly ignored by American ground forces and drones in pursuit of Taliban forces and the odd remaining Al Qaeda figure. I am saying that Pakistan having nuclear weapons hasn’t prevented American incursions whether in hot pursuit, intelligence gathering operations or targeted assasinations. Given that American /Iranian relations since the 1979 revolution in Iran have been rocky to put it mildly, I can see that the Iranians would be looking over their shoulders much of the time. There have been armed clashes between the two countries (America and Iran) and of course Iran sponsors both Hezbollah and Hamas. The former has directly attacked American forces in Lebanon whilst they were there and both organisations launch attacks against Israel. There is absolutely no love lost between either Iran and America and Iran and Israel. I won’t detail all the clashes, they’re in the public domain. Iran offered an olive branch after the invasion of Iraq and Bush (2) rejected it. Obama offered an olive branch and Iran rejected it. Round and round we go and it might be tempting to be slightly sympathetic to Iran’s desire to obtain a credible deterent except for one thing.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";"> <u> Iranian regional ambitions and Religion.</u></span></b></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">OK I know, that’s two things. Let’s look at Religion, as that and regional ambitions are closely linked.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">The Iranian vesion of Islam is Shia. The split between Shia and Sunni Islam occurred roughly eleven hundred years ago and they’ve been at each others’ throats ever since. For those interested there is much information readily available about this and I don’t intend to rehash it here. It is true to say that Shia hate Sunni almost as much, occasionally more, than they hate Christians and Jews. It’s also true to say that more Muslims have been killed by Muslims than anybody else combined and this can lead to some interesting although largely under-reported problems in the Persian Gulf area.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";"> Kuwait. </span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Predominantly Sunni, 15-20% Shia, many Farsi speaking.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Bahrain. </span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">The Royal family is Sunni but the Muslim population is predominantly Shia (66-70%).</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Qatar.</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";"> Sunni, but 10% of the population are ethnically Iranian</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">UAE</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">. Mainly Sunni.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Iraq</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">. 60% of the population is Shia, government is Sunni.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Although Iran can and does ferment trouble in Arab countries with Shia minorities, one has to realise that there is no love lost between Iranians and Arabs in general. The chances of Iran establishing a Shia ‘empire’ in the Gulf area are slim, but that doesn’t stop them trying. One reason why they were unable to export their 1979 revolution was that there is a long-standing suspicion, historically correct, that Iran (previously Persia) wanted to establish leadership of the Muslim world. 88% of the Muslim World is Sunni, so this is unlikely to happen, but there are regular clashes. Probably the only thing that prevents the Arabs and Iranians having a re-run of the 1980s Iran/Iraq war is a mutual hatred of Israel, but sometimes it is a close-run thing. The Muslim world is adept at keeping these internal divisions out of the public gaze, again usually by attacking Israel in some way or other. For those who might be tempted to think that if Israel suddenly ceased to exist, or that suddenly the Palestinians achieved statehood all would be sweeetness and light in the Middle East, think again.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Iranian Shias are ‘twelvers’, that is they believe that the Twelth Iman, Muhhamad ibn al-Hassan never actually died and exists in what is referred to as the Occultation. They expect his return, as the Mahdi, at the end times. I suggest you Google these terms to gain a deeper understanding as I’ve decided that this is not going to be a three-part posting, and as I’m no Islamic scholar I have no wish to misinform in my ignorance.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Now I’m going to make a bit of a sweeping generalisation here for the sake of brevity. Most religions have some version of ‘end times’, with a variety of signs and portents, but most seem content for God to work in his own time. The Iranian Shias however, whilst believing that one of the signs of the approaching end of times is widespread destruction and death, in common with other adherents of the general belief, also believe that Mankind can hasten the arrival of the Mahdi by actually causing this widespread destruction. They, in the form of Ahmadinejad who is only a mouthpiece remember and the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, have on occasions publicly called for the destruction of the State of Israel, the physical destruction that is. There is an annual ‘Holocaust Denial Day’ in Iran and public demonstrations against both Israel and America, but more of that in a moment. Perhaps most chillingly, given that he is the real power, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was quoted by Iranian state television as saying, in 2006, </span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b><i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">“The Islamic Republic of Iran has made its own decision and in the nuclear case, God willing, with patience and power, will continue its path.”</span></i></b></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">In a public address in 2008 Khamenei claimed that in the event of war against “enemies,” Iran</span><b><span style="font-size: 10pt;"> </span></b></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<b><span style="font-size: 10pt;"> </span></b><b><i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">“will strike at them with all our capabilities”</span></i></b></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Others in the Iranian government structure regularly make calls for war against Israel and war against America. Given the nature of the government, one might assume that they are not going out on a limb by making such statements.</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-size: 10pt;"></span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">There are glimmers of hope. Ali Khameni is not known as a radical cleric, despite the above quotes and has shown himself capable of holding the more conservative clerics in check. He is clearly concerned about Irans’ economic woes, not the concern one would associate with a man who is both prepared and preparing to pull the house down on his own head. Countering that, in 2008 he implied that Iran would use nuclear weapons in a war and was vague as to whether their use would depend on Iran being attacked or if they would be used if Iran initiates the war. If you couple that with the calls for the destruction of Israel, Iran’s logistical support for Hamas, a Sunni organisation which ideologically they detest, in their fight against Israel and the support for Hezbollah, it’s no wonder that Israeli leaders are losing sleep. They aren’t the only ones in the region either. Sunni and non-Shia Muslim countries view Iran with the deepest suspicions.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">So would they or wouldn’t they? I’m afraid it really comes down to can any country afford to take the chance. In Israel’s case, they physically cannot absorb a nuclear attack. In America’s case, although the ‘homeland’ might not be directly physically threatened, most certainly American interests in the region are vulnerable. Arab states worry about ‘nuclear blackmail’ and local Shia populations causing internal trouble.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Up to now, Israel has employed a sort of ‘good cop/bad cop’ routine in order to convince the rest of the World of the urgency of pressing Iran to cease weapons development. Both a former head of the Mossad and a former head of Shin Bet (internal security) have publicly cautioned Prime Minister Netanyahu against precipitate action, stating that an attack on Iran would provoke a wider regional conflict. They also both stated that Iran’s leadership (unspecified as to who they were referring) was ‘logical’. Although there might have been a degree of internal politics intruding, both presented a sound case for doing nothing <b><u>right now</u></b>. Neither said ‘don’t’, they really said ‘not yet’. A former head of the IDF has spoken in general terms about the problems in mounting an attack on Iran and also spoke of causing a wider conflict. President Obama has acknowledged that Israel’s timetable for possible action is shorter and more urgent than America’s, but has shown no signs of easing up the pressure on Iran. On the contrary, air ‘assets’ have reportedly been moved into SW Asia. The war drums are beating, with many saying better sooner, before they have any chance of developing a weapon.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Will Israel attack alone? I could easily be proven wrong here but I think the answer is probably not, or at least not yet. Israel would face formidable logistical challenges in mounting an effective attack and would not want to be seen as dragging America into an escalating conflict that Obama is not seeking. Or at least not seeking yet. America has a long memory and the humiliating 1979 hostage situation still rankles. In the meantime there is an election for Obama to win.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">I’ll end with some random thoughts. </span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Post 9/11 Iranian women spontaniously held a candle-lit vigil for the victims. The vigil was dispersed.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">The ‘possibly up to 20 million’ Basjid Militia indicate where the security concerns of the Iranian government actually lay.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Iran could not hope to win in a military confrontation with America, so why give the Americans a ready-made excuse to attack them? Maybe a way of unifying the country? Wearing America down by repeated conflicts?</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">If America attacks, it had better be ready, and plan, for ‘boots on the ground’ and regime change. Both sides must know this, so is Iran preparing for a climb-down after playing brinkmanship?</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Are sanctions causing internal problems of such magnitude that the Iranian government is actually fearful of a counter-revolution and wishes to provoke an attack, thus unifying the people against an external threat?</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">Israeli President Shimon Peres addressed the Iranian people in an Iranian new years’ message. He said there was a long history of friendship between the Iranian/Persian people and the Jews and Israel did not seek a conflict with the <b><i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><u>Iranian people </u></i></b> . The point about the history of friendship is actually quite true and I have not added any emphasis.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">There is growing evidence of internal unrest in Iran, probably encouraged by both Israel and America. An ‘undeclared cyber way’ is also being played out.</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">There is a long history of mutual misunderstanding between America and Revolutionary Iran and it could just be that Iran has overplayed their hand. Time will tell, but I fear the sands of time are rapidly running out.</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman";">@PeterBernfeld </span></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify;">
<br /></div>Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-21878211741499996722012-05-07T22:50:00.001+12:002012-05-15T07:30:51.212+12:00Iran, part one<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: center;"><i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><u>Are they or aren’t they? Will they or won’t they?</u></i></div><div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: center;"><br />
</div><div class="MsoBodyTextIndent">Before I answer my own questions, it might be as well to give a necessarily brief overview of the Iranian Government structure. Most people will have no difficulty as identifying Iran as a theocratic state, in point of fact the only one in the world today unless you were to count the Vatican as a country, but it’s instructive to look at the actual structure, reporting paths, which positions are filled by elected representatives and where the power actually resides.</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;"><br />
</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">The Islamic republic of Iran is run on the principles of <i>velayat e faqih, </i><i><span style="font-style: normal;">or the Rule of Islamic Jurisprudence. These principles give the Supreme leader, a cleric, power</span></i> over secular institutions, whether elected or appointed. The current Supreme Leader of Iran is Grand Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the second person to hold the post since the founding of the Islamic republic of Iran, the first of course being Grand Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomenei. There are quite possibly thousands of Ayatollahs in Iran, Ayatollah simply meaning one who is well versed in Islamic law, is qualified to act as a judge and can issue edicts. Wikipedia suggests that an equivalent ‘rank’, if one can use that word, would be a bishop, and who am I to argue with the font of all knowledge. A Grand Ayatolla is simply one to whom other Ayatollahs frequently refer to for guidance in interpreting Islamic matters and who publishes this guidance in book form. Important to note that we are talking about Shia Islam, not Sunni, in case there was any question in the readers’ minds.</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;"><br />
</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">The Supreme Leader was/is elected by the Assembly of Experts, eighty six Islamic scholars who are elected to an eight year term of office by direct public vote. Whether any more than the chosen eighty six ever stand for election might be open to debate, however they are the only clerical body selected by direct public election and in theory at least can hold the Supreme Leader to account. They have a busy schedule, being charged with meeting twice a year, each meeting to last at least two days. I have not been able to unearth any reports of these meetings so am unable to comment on their ability to censure the Supreme Leader, although in theory at least they are able to replace him.</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;"><br />
</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">Next we have the Guardian Council. This consists of twelve members, six appointed by the Supreme Leader and six nominated by the judiciary. The six nominees are then approved by Parliament. One point to note here is that the head of the Judiciary is appointed by the Supreme leader and can presumably be summarily removed from office by him, should the six Judiciary nominees not meet with the Supreme leader’s approval. I have not delved deep enough to assertain whether Parliament has ever not approved the six nominated candidates, but it would come as something of a surprise to me if they had ever rejected a candidate. The powers of the Guardian Council include that of vetoing any bill passed by Parliament that they consider violates Islamic principles or the Iranian constitution and all passed bills must be approved by the Council before becoming law. Finally, the Guardian Council must approve all presidential candidates before they are able to stand for election. This means that a female President of Iran is unlikely any time soon, although in fairness I should point out that several women do hold the ‘equivalent rank’ of Ayatollah and they are known as Lady Mujtahideh.</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;"><br />
</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">At the pinnacle of all this we have the Supreme Leader. Apart from selecting six members of the Guardian Council and appointing the head of the Judiciary, he also appoints the chief judge and the chief prosecutor, not to mention all special tribunals. At the risk of sounding a bit like ‘what have the Romans ever done for us?’ he also appoints the heads of all the armed forces, he himself being Commander of the same. He appoints the head of national radio and television network, all prayer leaders in city mosques, the heads of all religious foundations and members of all National Security Councils. Not a lad to be trifled with and doubtless why he is occasionally pictured smiling. Politicians and other Ayatollahs have fallen out with Khamenei in the past. He is still Supreme Leader whilst in the main they get to spend a lot of time at home. Under house arrest.</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;"><br />
</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">So much for the clerics. The President of Iran is elected by direct vote, those over the age of eighteen, male or female, being eligible to vote. Remember though, all candidates have to be approved by the Guardian Council, which in effect means the Supreme Leader. The President has no control over either the military or foreign policy, or even questions of national security. He does however get to nominate the Ministers for Security and defence, subject to approval by the Supreme Leader. The Parliament or Majlis then confirm or not (think so???) these nominees.</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;"><br />
</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">The Majlis consists of two hundred and ninety directly elected members, but all candidates must be approved by…… you’ve guessed, the Guardian Council. You remember them, six members appointed by the Supreme Leader and six candidates nominated by the Judiciary for approval by the Majlis. The head of the Judiciary being of course appointed by the Supreme leader (beginning to see a common thread here?). The Majlis are responsible for formulating and voting on all bills, which then have to be vetted by the Guardian Council before becoming law. The Majlis ratifies all international treaties, which considering Foreign Policy is the preserve of the Supreme Leader, the debate probably consists of ‘sign here’. They approve the budget, an interesting process at the moment I should imagine, and can impeach the President. Recently the current incumbent, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, was summoned to appear before the Majlis to explain the dismal economic performance of the country. Would it be naive to suggest that the Supreme leader was unhappy about the way things are going?</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;"><br />
</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">We’re nearly there, stay with me. I know all this is in the public domain, but for those who aren’t familiar with it (my dears, on the Clapham Omnibus I’m told they speak of nothing else) or don’t commute on the aforementioned omnibus, it’s important that you realise who exercises the real power in Iran. Speaking of which, we now come to the Expediency Council, which mediates between the Majlis and the Guardian Council (scroll up to see who selects them) in the event of a passed proposed law being vetoed by the Guardian Council. The Expediency Council consists of around twenty to thirty members appointed by…. the Supreme leader, who appoints them for five year terms but can re-appoint them indefinately. Nothing like having an unbiased mediation council, and from the sound of it this is nothing like an unbiased mediation council. There are other government bodies but for our purposes, and most probably the Supreme leader’s, they are irrelevant.</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;"><br />
</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">Finally, wake up there boy/girl at the back! We have the Military, and we all remember who appoints the heads of each of the branches. Iran has an Army, Navy and Airforce, as well as the Revolutionary Guard, who are in charge of Internal Security. There are believed to be approximately eight hundred thousand members of the armed forces and around one hundred and twenty five thousand or so members of the revolutionary Guard. These figures however disguise the true story, because the revolutionary Guard also control an organisation known as the Basjid Militia. Estimates of their numbers varies from four hundred thousand to close to <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><i>twenty million</i></b>. This lot function as a cross between the Saudi religious police and the French CRS. They are called upon to ‘deal’ with any civil unrest, but as they are not technically a government force but volunteers, when they throw people out of high rise buildings the government can deny all responsibility. Seems pretty clear to me where the Supreme Leader thinks the real danger to the Islamic republic is.</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;"><br />
</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">Right then, now I can answer my own questions, the first one being ‘are they or aren’t they?’ Pursuing the development of Nuclear Weapons that is. Leaving aside the pronouncements of the Rabid Right, be they in America, Israel or elsewhere the nearest we can come to answering this question is the fifteen page report of the IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency), dated the eigth of November 2011. Yes, I did say fifteen pages, read it for yourselves at: </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 150%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;"><a href="http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2011/gov2011-65.pdf">http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2011/gov2011-65.pdf</a></div><div class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="margin-top: 12.0pt;">The IAEA expresses concern on page 10, section K para 53. I won’t quote it directly because Amazon apparently don’t like it, even though it is in the public domain. Suffice it to say the IAEA finds reports of activities concerned with non-civilian applications of nuclear power credible. As far as Iran is concerned, the sting in the tale of the report comes in the annexe. There one finds detailed evidence of development of ‘triggers’ necessary to cause a nuclear detonation. Because the IAEA report deals in facts not speculation, it does say that these triggers can have civilian applications, although so limited as to be unlikely to be connected with anything but the development of a nuclear weapon. Pretty conclusive stuff, fact-based and not speculation. Read it for yourself and you’ll understand why the World (OK, most of the World) drew a sharp breath and all of a sudden sanctions were being agreed on.</div><div class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="margin-top: 12.0pt;"><br />
</div><div class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="margin-top: 12.0pt;">Are those sanctions working? Well the Majlis (possibly following a subtle hint from the Supreme Leader) summoned Ahmadinejad to explain the under-performance of the Iranian economy. Since then, ‘something’ (please excuse my wry smile) appears to have disrupted operations at the main Iranian Oil Terminal at Kharg Island albeit on a temporary basis and Iranian banks are finding it difficult if not quite impossible to conduct business. There are still countries importing Iranian oil, but they are finding it impossible due to sanctions to obtain insurance cover from companies in the EU and the US and almost impossible to get coverage elsewhere. China did make vague noises about providing such insurance cover but as the old football supporters chant goes ‘it’s all gone quiet over there’. India has said that state run insurance agencies will provide up to $50 million Protection and Indemnity coverage per voyage, but insurance industry commentators have said that this falls below the amount of liability that might arise from any incident. By way of contrast, Japan has offered just $8 million insurance cover per voyage and China is talking about Sovereign Indemnity. That sounds suspiciously like my insurance cover when I hit the reef in Fiji and means that in the event of any liability China will have to open its wallet and say ‘help yourself.</div><div class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="margin-top: 12.0pt;">Sunil Thapar of Shipping Corp of India, the country's largest shipping firm with a fleet of 29 crude carriers, has said that it may take some time for this facility to become available, due to risk to the state insurers. In the meantime, India during fiscal year 2011/12 was contracted to import 362,000 bpd (barrels per day) of Iranian oil but actually imported less than 340,000 bpd. Currently the imports are running at 280,000 bpd. Iran exports most of its 2.2 million bpd to Asia, but for how much longer? Well certainly up to July 1<sup>st</sup>, when all EU cover ceases for oil spills. Unnamed Indian Shipping Indusry sources have said (last month) that they would continue to transport Iranian oil regardless. They will, until something goes wrong.</div><div class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="margin-top: 12.0pt;">Based on the above, I would say that sanctions are biting, and nor just on the Iranian Government. Following the introduction of sanctions in the banking sector, namely refusing to allow Iranian banks to use SWIFT code transactions, the folks back home are going to find it impossible to get money from the folks overseas. Just possibly the up to twenty million members of the Basjid Militia might find themselves gainfully employed in the not too distant future.</div><div class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="margin-top: 12.0pt;"><br />
</div><div class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="margin-top: 12.0pt;">So now <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><i><u>‘will they or won’t they?</u></i></b>’</div><div class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="margin-top: 12.0pt;">This is really a two-part question. Will they continue to develop nuclear weapons and if they do, will they use them before they get unwanted guests?</div><div class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="margin-top: 12.0pt;">Now I’ve marginally exceeded my two thousand word self-imposed limit, so you’re going to have to wait a couple of days for the answer, or at least what I think the answer might be. I won’t make you wait a week, but it will be a couple of days. In the meantime, if you see President Ahmadinejad making a statement about Iran’s nuclear program, remember it isn’t his statement, he’s acting as a deniable mouthpiece. He has no say in foreign policy or defence matters. It’s what the Supreme Leader says that counts and although he doesn’t make many public statements, those he has made are providing many people with sleepless night, although they aren’t talking about it much either.</div>Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-43345181166408829232012-05-04T07:18:00.002+12:002012-05-04T20:54:33.446+12:00For those of you with a KindleI'm writing this on the 4th of May in Fiji at 0730, the blog will be available on Kindle in the next couple of days. It will be listed on Amazon as 'Roast Beef on Sundays', author Peter. N. Bernfeld. There will be a cost, however you'll be contributing to my cruising fund, now sadly depleted. For those of you without a Kindle my witterings will still be available free here, or you might like to consider clicking on one of the links and purchasing a Kindle.<br />
<br />
Thanks to all of you who do take the time to read the blog. I'm constantly amazed at how many of you are interested in my thoughts, and what a geographically diverse bunch you are. Speaking of which, I know that the blog is available in the UK and the USA. I believe it is available worlde-wide, but I'm Amazon will say 'non' if it isn't and you try to subscribe.Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7196541415604471867.post-39988481504482279962012-05-03T23:08:00.000+12:002012-05-03T23:08:50.616+12:00Chapter One. What do you think?Mildly amusing, nearly wet yourself or a bit boring? Let me know.<br />
---------------------------------------------------------------------<br />
<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
<w:WordDocument>
<w:View>Normal</w:View>
<w:Zoom>0</w:Zoom>
<w:DoNotOptimizeForBrowser/>
</w:WordDocument>
</xml><![endif]-->
<br />
<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: center;">
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman Bold"; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt;">Late August evening, Christmas Day,
Boxing Day morning</span></b></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
A beautiful early evening in late August, the sort of evening that
middle-aged people think that every evening in late August was like when they
were young, only usually of course they weren’t. Mind you, those same people
looking at photos of themselves taken during those misremembered beautiful
evenings in late August always seem to remark that somehow or other they
miraculously look slimmer, chicer and altogether more attractive than they felt
themselves to be when the photos were taken. This only goes to prove that
either most middle-aged people need to visit an optician as a matter of some
urgency or they missed an awful lot of opportunities when they were younger.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
Situated in a picturesque small river valley surrounded by gently rolling
heavily-wooded hills and built in the 1950’s complete with thatched roof,
authentic oak-type beams and a tourist-tempting history that was total bollocks
but nethertheless highly imaginative and vaguely entertaining, the old
Cornishire smugglers pub ‘The Cocked Pistol’ boasted a family-friendly garden.
A slightly rotund, pixie-like figure five and a half feet tall, un-
athletically built with a bald pate and a one inch wide band of curly hair
running around his head starting from his ears and meeting at the back, was
sitting on a quaint but uncomfortable and guano-encrusted wooden bench. Taking
a reflective sip of his pint of the acclaimed local bitter, Fetid Old Socks,
Detective Chief Inspector Leon Karno, inevitably ‘Fred’ to his schoolmates and
contempories, was looking at just such a photo, taken on just such an evening.
‘Guv’ to those detectives who worked under his somewhat quixotic direction in
the Cornishire CID and ‘bastard’ to a fairly impressive number of local and not
so local villains in Cornishire, he saw that the photo revealed a much younger
but still recognisable version of himself and a friend, William Hiscock, whose
cremation he had just attended. He and ‘Wild Bill’ had been quite the local
lotharios, able to out drink all of their contempories and still stand up after
six (usually claimed to be sixteen) pints of the local cider known as scrumpy.
They had the best chat-up lines most of which Karno fondly remembered as
starting with a cheerful ‘ello my luvver’. He also remembered that usually the
hoped-for romantic encounters ended with the friendly riposte of ‘my friend
says why don’t you fuck off and stop bothering her!’ Encouraged by this early
success with the opposite sex which he put down to his manly physique and air
of latent authority, Karno had got a haircut and graduated from the police
training college at Hendon, eventually to become a Detective Constable in the
CID. Wild Bill graduated from the local scrumpy and eventually became a fully-fledged
alkie and professional ‘gentleman of the road’. They had kept in irregular
touch, meeting whenever Karno’s beat took him past whatever hedge Wild Bill was
currently residing in. Middle age found the two old pals respectively a DCI and
a DOA, Wild Bill having been found genteely decomposing under a chic hedge in a
more upmarket part of Cornishire, clutching a half-empty bottle of non-vintage
Chateau Methalaite, the preferred tipple of his later years. Karno’s
professional suspicions had been mildly raised by this because he thought it
unlikely that the Wild Bill he knew would voluntarily leave a half-full bottle.
Doc Carver, the duty police surgeon, had said that he didn’t have much choice
in the matter due to a massive heart attack. Karno had to concede that that
would in all probability prevent Wild Bill from finishing the bottle, and had
been the sole attendee at his send off. A sudden, harsh roaring sound from
above interrupted his reflections on the strange twists and turns that life
could take, and he looked skywards. Drifting over the top of the tree line, a
lurid blue hot air balloons’ propane burner had been switched on and the
contraption rose rapidly and gracefully into the calm evening air. Karno was
just thinking that Wild Bill’s last few seconds of bodily existence must have
been accompanied by much the same sound and that it was all right for some,
swanning around in balloons on a summers evening, when there was a bright
flash, an explosion and a flaming fiery plunge towards the tree-clad sweet-scented
hill on the other side of the river. Just before the impact there was a further
explosion and the balloon, a now unrecognisable ball of fire, settled onto the
sweet-scented, attractively colourful and picturesque hillside and set it
alight in a colourful and picturesque way. Pausing only to think ‘fuck me’ and
then ‘fuck it’ when he realised that there was no mobile phone signal Karno
rushed into the pub to find that young Everard the barman was already calling
the fire brigade. Unable to think of anything else that he might usefully do he
ambled back out to the garden to find that some bugger had quaintly finished
-off his beer.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
Earlier that same evening Denzil Kliskey, owner and sole pilot of The
Flaming Great Balloon Company, had welcomed his latest punters to the field
known locally as Bigton International Airport, adjacent to his rambling manor
house. Demelza (nee Mutton) and Julyan Lamb, self-proclaimed local dignitaries
and scrap metal merchants, had decided to celebrate ten years of happy marriage
in style and so for their thirtieth anniversary succumbed to Denzil’s marketing
hype and booked an evenings flight and supper on the St Louis, the large blue
balloon currently sitting half-inflated at Bigton International. Denzil’s
original marketing ploy had been ‘look down on those you despise and drop
chicken bones on them’ but the Civil Aviation Authority (CAA or ‘Campaign
Against Aviation’ as it was sometimes referred to) had objected pointing out
that it was illegal to drop chicken bones or indeed anything else from a
balloon. Having generated a lot of local press comment, not to say several
‘Incensed and Outraged of Bigton’ letters to the Cornishshire Clarion, Denzil
now marketed his balloon experience flights with the slogan ‘look down on those
beneath you’ and honour was satisfied all-round. Mind you, he hadn’t hit upon
this snappy advertising slogan immediately, no siree bob. His first
alternative, ‘enjoy a scenic flight and piss on the buggers below’, had also
attracted much comment, a reminder from the CAA that this could also be
construed as dropping something from a balloon and an unamused letter from the
County Council’s environmental health officer. Other options he considered but
eventually rejected included “Why not pop round for a balloon flight?’ and
somewhat prophetically ‘Wanna burn up in my balloon?’</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
Provisions on the supper flights consisted of cold roast chicken, potato
salad, coleslaw, pâté de fois grás, a brace of baguettes, locally produced blue
cheese, biscuits and the obligatory bottle of bubbly. Another advertising
slogan that briefly saw the light of day was ‘pop your cork on an evening
flight’ but after one particularly memorable occasion, due to a slight
misunderstanding as to what the slogan actually referred to Denzil had changed
it to save his further blushes. Be that as it may, not realising that this was
their usual evening out attire, Denzil was pleased to see that the Lamb’s had
apparently entered into the spirit of things, dressing in Edwardian clothing
for the flight. He took pleasure in informing them that the odd chicken bone
lobbed over the side of the basket would probably go unremarked by those below
but was immensely satisfying nethertheless. Once all three were safely
ensconced in the wicker basket, Scrotum the faithful old Kliskey family
retainer manhandled the groaning picnic hamper up after them, it’s groans only
being matched by his own groaning comments about his lumbago. Playfully
smacking him around the head to ‘take your mind off your lumbago you malingering
old sod’, Denzil told him to follow the flight in the support vehicle and
instructed him to keep young Jethro off the scrumpy until after they’d deflated
the balloon and put it onto the trailer. With that, he fired the propane burner
and inflated the balloon, which obligingly rose to the height of its tethering
ropes and bobbed uncertainly in the calm evening air. Judging his moment
carefully, he shouted to Scrotum and Jethro to release the tethering ropes,
dropped a bag of sand ballast on them which always amused the punters and the
St Louis rose majestically into the evening sky to go wherever the wind blew
it.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“I’ve got a special surprise for you” he told the entranced couple.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
Six months later, Detective Chief Inspector Fred Karno was looking
forward to his Christmas lunch with considerably pleasure. Having received a
seasons greetings card from his ex-wife expressing the sentiment that she was
bloody glad he wasn’t there (a condominium in Florida) and that the kids didn’t
miss him much either, he’d decided to cheer himself up and push the boat out
for Christmas lunch and the hell with the expense. Weighing-up the exotic and
traditional options offered by the local food emporium and jealous of his
departmental-wide reputation for culinary expertise, he’d gone the adventurous,
non-traditional route and plumped for a curried Cornishire pasty (Madras)
served with slightly al dente oven chips and marginally burnt baked beans. To
finish he’d decided on a spectacular microwave pudding and proposed to wash it
all down with a couple of bottles of vintage scrumpy. Having just finished
resetting the house’s electric circuit breakers after spectacularly forgetting
to remove the pudding from its foil container, he sat down and was about to
open the first bottle of scrumpy when the phone rang.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“That you Karno?” The voice of Assistant Chief Constable (should have
been Chief Constable but the force is still sexist and if I’d have been a man
the perfectly-understandable shooting of the seven Japanese tourists who had
been mistaken for a North Korean terrorist cell hell-bent on photographing to
death the local flower show would have overlooked) Miniver Vanne demanded.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
Karno carefully considered his options. He could simply deny it claiming
a wrong number; he could admit to it on the admittedly unlikely off chance that
his boss was ringing to wish him a ‘Happy Christmas’ and claim to be pissed if
it turned out that she actually hadn’t rung for that reason or he could remain
non-committal until he found out exactly what it was she wanted. He opted for
the non-committal approach and decided to use the local patois (not to be
confused with the local<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>pâté).</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Err….” He began.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Right; there’s been a terrorist attack in Letsbe Avenue, get down there
before Special Branch grab all the glory.” So much for the non-committal
approach then; he looked ruefully at his rapidly cooling gourmet lunch. Well
OK, he looked ruefully at the two bottles of vintage scrumpy that were
seductively sighing ‘drink me, drink me’ and regarded the pasty with a
speculative air. There is an art to eating a pasty generously smothered in
mango and lime chutney whilst driving at high speed and Karno had never yet
mastered it but always speculated that one day he might. Who was to say, today
might be that day?</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“What’s the address?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Letsbe Avenue. I think you’ll find that it’ll probably be the house with
the fire engine outside and the gnomes in the front garden tastefully decorated
with various body-bits. You’d better get the rest of your circus on the job as
well. I want a preliminary report by tonight.” The phone was forcefully put
down, which coincidentally mirrored Karno’s thoughts on what the future ought
to hold for Assistant Chief Constable Miniver Vanne. </div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
Muttering irritably to himself, he gathered up the rapidly cooling pasty,
wrapped it in a sheet of paper kitchen towel and headed for his front door.
During the drive to Letsbe Avenue he proved conclusively to himself that today
wasn’t to be the day that he mastered the pasty eating whilst driving at high
-speed technique and he pulled up to a screeching, colourfully-stained-trouser
halt outside number seventeen. Throwing open the car door he narrowly failed to
catch it with his hand on its abrupt return but luckily managed to insert his
right knee between the rapidly- returning dented door and the undented car body
when it bounced off the unfortunately placed lamppost. He hobbled along the
pavement to number twenty-one, where a group of firemen were admiring the
interestingly decorated front garden.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Hello Freddy Boy; dragged you out as well have they?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Yeah. Still never mind, I’ve recorded the Queen’s speech so I won’t miss
anything important. What happened?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
Divisional Officer Cotton Levi removed his helmet and scratched his
close-cropped grey hair with a suspiciously stained fingernail.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Err, don’t quote me on this but some sort of bomb, I reckon.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Err right. Couldn’t have been something they ate, I suppose?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
Levi turned to look at him, glanced at his interestingly stained trousers
and speculated on the probability of Karno’s suggestion.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Err could have been; tricky thing, eating. All sorts of unexpected
things can happen when you least expect it, particularly if you’re a bit off
with your aim like.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“But you’d put your money on it being a bomb?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Err right; most likely. I might be wrong of course and I wouldn’t want
to commit myself at this early stage in the investigation you understand.
However, my first impression, taking all things into consideration, is it’s
probably a bomb. The fact that the three people in the room were blown to bits
and the fact that remains of the dining room wall have been found on the other
side of the road, well I just thought it was more suggestive of a bomb than
some sort of digestive malfunction.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Hmmm; well I can follow your reasoning; still, let’s not jump to
conclusions eh?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Soco here?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Inside, along with Special Branch.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Bloody hell, they were a bit quick off the mark weren’t they?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Yes and no.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“How so?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Special Branch lives directly opposite and a gnome which had been hit by
a bit of blasted masonry got launched through his dining-room window and landed
in his soup. Made a right mess of his shirt, maybe you could buy it off of him,
it would go lovely with your trousers.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Err yeah, well I’ll bear that in mind, thanks Cotton.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
With that, Karno wandered inside through the remains of the wall and
sought out Special Branch.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“What the bloody hell do you think you’re doing? Go on, clear off out of
it, bloody tourist!” The speaker was a tall man with short brown hair and a
colourful shirt that would have invited approving comments at a Caribbean
Carnival. Karno turned to face him and was recognised although he didn’t recall
having seen the man before.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Oh sorry, didn’t recognise you from the back. We haven’t met,” he held
out his hand,” Trees, Jonathan Trees, Special Branch. Just been transferred
down here, thought I’d escaped all this sort of thing.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
Karno took the proffered hand whilst eying up the man’s shirt. “Karno.
Pity, wrong size it might have gone quite well.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“What?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Sorry, just thinking out loud. What have we got here?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Looks like a bomb.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“A bomb? In Paignmouth? Bit of a turn up for the books that. The DO said
there were three people in here?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Yup. Dad and two kids, Mum was in the kitchen.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Ah, that would account for it then.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Account for what?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“The fact that everybody seems to know there were three people in here.
You officially investigating?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“If it is a bomb then I think that falls into SB’s province, don’t you?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“If it’s a bomb then maybe. On the other hand why don’t we pretend for
just a minute that it doesn’t and you tell me, thinking of yourself as an eye
witness like, what it was you saw.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“More of an ear witnesses really Karno. Bloody great bang and then a
gnome landed in my soup. I can give you a description if you like?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“The soup?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“I was thinking more of the gnome, but since you asked carrot and
potato.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“The gnome?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“The soup.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Ah; no doubt tasty as well as very fetching, my compliments to the chef.
Who were the deceased?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Now there you have me, only moved in two days ago.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Right, right. Still, surprised that Special Branch wouldn’t have checked
out their new neighbours?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“The local boys gave me the OK.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Of course. Bit causal though; I mean if the bomber had taken the same
approach, well he might have blown up the wrong house. Didn’t upset anybody in
your last place did you by any chance?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
Trees shook his head. “Barking up the wrong tree.” He said.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Oh very good; yes I like that, barking up the wrong tree, very droll.
Well, if you’re not here officially maybe you’d like to get back to your lunch
and I’ll get on here. Don’t let me keep you.” Karno half turned away and caught
the eye of a uniformed sergeant.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Endean, isn’t it?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Err yes sir.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Well what have we here sergeant?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Err parts of the Kory family sir, Henry Icarus Kory, or at least what
remains of him, son Damien and daughter Demelza. The missus, Maria, is next
door lying down; she was in the kitchen when the explosion occurred. Lucky for
her.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Convenient at any rate. Right well I’d better let Soco get on with their
job and I’ll limp round next door and talk to the widow Kory. If anybody wants
me, you know where I am. Which side?” </div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Err, number twenty three; the one on the left as you stand on the
pavement looking towards the houses.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Thank you sergeant; I expect the number on the door would have given me
a clue but you’ve help preserve what’s left of my eyesight. Wouldn’t want to go
and use it all up before I retire, now would I?” He limped off.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
The following morning saw the rest of the circus, displaying various
degrees of enthusiasm and alertness, assembled in Karno’s office.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Right Boys and Girl, what we have here are three dead members of the
Kory family. Henry Icarus Kory, a classic car restorer who won’t be celebrating
his forty seventh birthday next week, daughter Demelza Imelda Kory aged
seventeen and a bit and Damien Oscar Kory aged fourteen and three quarters.
Over here, we have Maria Una Kory nee Trebartha. The more astute amongst you
may have noticed that her picture is where we usually have pictures of any
suspects and may possibly be asking yourselves why that is.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
Detective Constable Gordon Fetcher, newly arrived circus member who had
immediately acquired the nickname of ‘Go’ and hadn’t yet worked out why,
stirred himself.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Err yeah, Guv. I was wondering why Ma Kory’s picture was where we
usually……..”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Thank you DC Fetcher. Glad to see that you’re on the ball. She’s a
suspect because very conveniently she was in the kitchen getting a corkscrew
when whatever it was that blew up the rest of her family went off.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
Detective Inspector Rosetta Stone, the highly computer literate but
somewhat anally retentive geek of the circus raised an elegantly manicured
finger.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Convenient Guv? Lucky certainly but convenient?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Convenient. See whilst you lot were enjoying your lunch yesterday I
spoke to Madame Kory and had a poke around the house. In the kitchen, I found
four bottles of Chateau Le Boot in a cardboard case. Two bottles were missing
from the case…”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Six in a case Guv.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“You astound me Fetcher; I step back in sheer amazement; how did you work
that out?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Err well see……”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“It was a rhetorical question. What do you think happened to the other
two bottles? That’s an actual question by the way.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Err; drunk I suppose.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Drunk or on the dining-room table ready to be drunk with the Christmas
lunch. Yes well done Fetcher. Now I can’t say that Chateau Le Boot is a
particular favourite of mine, a bit rubbery on the tongue and the bouquet is
always a little overwhelming in my opinion, but the thing is that Madame Kory,
according to her, went into the kitchen to get a corkscrew…..”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Seems a natural sort of thing to do Guv.” Commented Detective Sergeant
Henry (Preppie) Pyle.</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Yes indeed, it would be except for one thing. Chateau Le Boot, fine wine
that it undoubtably is, comes in convenient, no corkscrew required screw top
bottles. Now if this was a new wine to maison Kory then I wouldn’t have thought
anything of it, but according to Madame Kory it was a family favourite; one
they would always drink and not just on special occasions like a successful
business deal, some sporting feat of the boy, listening to a favourite radio
program or Christmas lunch.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“So she would have known that it had a screw top.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Indeed she would.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“Brilliant! Cracked it Guv. What’s the next case?”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
“What’s next DC Gundry is we wait for forensics to tell us exactly what
it was that went off. In the meantime, the widow Kory is a suspect and we need
to find out what she had to gain by murdering her entire family. Rosie, I want
you to see if you can turn up any recent insurance policies taken out, or even
not so recent come to that. Old hat, bloody obvious I know but nethertheless
that’s what I want you to do. Gundry, Fetcher; talk to the neighbours. Any
whispers of La Kory, or Herr Kory come to that, playing away from home; any
angry words between them, any crying on somebody’s shoulder for sympathy, you
know the sort of thing but be discreet though. Pyle, you and I are going to
take a gander at Herr Kory’s car restoration business. I can’t imagine why
anybody would want to kill a car restorer, but just in case, we’d better take a
look at it. Actually, bearing in mind my one foray into the world of restored
cars I can imagine why somebody might want to kill a car restorer. Right; back
here for tea and crumpets at four and let’s see if we or forensics have come up
with anything interesting.”</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 200%; text-align: justify; text-indent: 1.0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>Peter Bernfeldhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09610453074897799057noreply@blogger.com6